HomeScoresLiveTonight's picksPlay
LAST NIGHT · MLBC. Sanchez (PHI): 6.0 IP · 11 K in a win over BAL — Standout Index 93
LAST NIGHT · MLBH. Goodman (COL): 4 H · 2 HR · 5 RBI in a win over KC — Standout Index 93
TRANSACTION · MLBGiants: Placed C Jesus Rodriguez on the 10-day injured reserve list (Aug 1)
LAST NIGHT · MLBD. Rasmussen (TB): 6.0 IP · 10 K in a win over CHW — Standout Index 91
LAST NIGHT · WNBAA. Wilson (LV): 36 PTS · 12 REB · 4 AST against CHI
TRANSACTION · MLBDodgers: Designated LHP Cole Irvin for assignment (Aug 1)
LAST NIGHT · WNBAS. Ionescu (NY): 27 PTS · 7 REB · 10 AST in a win over PHX
LAST NIGHT · MLBM. Perez (ATL): 7.0 IP · 6 K in a win over WSH
TRANSACTION · MLBCubs: Sent RHP Andrew Wantz outright to Iowa (IL) (Aug 1)
TRANSACTION · WNBALynx: Released G Eliska Hamzova (Aug 1)
TRANSACTION · NFLFalcons: Signed G Matthew Bergeron to a 4-year, $96M contract extension (Aug 1)
TRANSACTION · NFLBroncos: Reverted DB Blake Cotton to injured reserve after clearing waivers (Aug 1)
TONIGHT · WNBATOR @ GS, 8/2 - 8:30 PM EDT — GS -12.5
LAST NIGHT · MLBC. Sanchez (PHI): 6.0 IP · 11 K in a win over BAL — Standout Index 93
LAST NIGHT · MLBH. Goodman (COL): 4 H · 2 HR · 5 RBI in a win over KC — Standout Index 93
TRANSACTION · MLBGiants: Placed C Jesus Rodriguez on the 10-day injured reserve list (Aug 1)
LAST NIGHT · MLBD. Rasmussen (TB): 6.0 IP · 10 K in a win over CHW — Standout Index 91
LAST NIGHT · WNBAA. Wilson (LV): 36 PTS · 12 REB · 4 AST against CHI
TRANSACTION · MLBDodgers: Designated LHP Cole Irvin for assignment (Aug 1)
LAST NIGHT · WNBAS. Ionescu (NY): 27 PTS · 7 REB · 10 AST in a win over PHX
LAST NIGHT · MLBM. Perez (ATL): 7.0 IP · 6 K in a win over WSH
TRANSACTION · MLBCubs: Sent RHP Andrew Wantz outright to Iowa (IL) (Aug 1)
TRANSACTION · WNBALynx: Released G Eliska Hamzova (Aug 1)
TRANSACTION · NFLFalcons: Signed G Matthew Bergeron to a 4-year, $96M contract extension (Aug 1)
TRANSACTION · NFLBroncos: Reverted DB Blake Cotton to injured reserve after clearing waivers (Aug 1)
TONIGHT · WNBATOR @ GS, 8/2 - 8:30 PM EDT — GS -12.5
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Cleveland Guardians
CLE#6 · American League

Cleveland Guardians

56-56 (50.0%) · L2 · L10 2-8

Model verdict

Where they stand

The verdict · Pythagorean expectation (1.83 exponent)

#18 of 30

Pyth(1.83) .479 · exp 53.6-58.4 vs act 56-56 · n=112 · luck +2.4W · thru 2026-08-01 · mlb_game_results

Rank within the full 30-team population on a published metric — no invented composites. How we grade

Last 5 form

2026-07-28 → 2026-08-01 · Full ATS profile →

LLost by 2 at CIN, 0-2, 2026-07-28. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
 
WWon by 1 at CIN, 6-5, 2026-07-28. Covered the spread (closing line).
 
WWon by 5 at CIN, 6-1, 2026-07-29. Covered the spread (closing line).
 
LLost by 3 vs ARI, 1-4, 2026-07-31. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
 
LLost by 4 vs ARI, 8-12, 2026-08-01. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
 

Stat leaders

Who carries them

OPS

  1. 1Chase DeLauter94 G.785
  2. 2Travis Bazzana80 G.734
  3. 3José Ramírez81 G.722
  4. 4Brayan Rocchio109 G.709
  5. 5Kyle Manzardo101 G.687

Home runs

  1. 1Kyle Manzardo101 G13
  2. 2Chase DeLauter94 G12
  3. 3José Ramírez81 G10
  4. 4Brayan Rocchio109 G9
  5. 5Travis Bazzana80 G9

RBI

  1. 1Chase DeLauter94 G52
  2. 2Brayan Rocchio109 G50
  3. 3Kyle Manzardo101 G38
  4. 4José Ramírez81 G35
  5. 5Travis Bazzana80 G34

Batting average

  1. 1Chase DeLauter94 G.276
  2. 2Brayan Rocchio109 G.261
  3. 3Steven Kwan103 G.256
  4. 4Travis Bazzana80 G.243
  5. 5José Ramírez81 G.233

Stolen bases

  1. 1José Ramírez81 G27
  2. 2Brayan Rocchio109 G15
  3. 3Travis Bazzana80 G15
  4. 4Steven Kwan103 G8
  5. 5Chase DeLauter94 G6

ERA

  1. 1Parker Messick129.7 IP2.57
  2. 2Gavin Williams133.3 IP3.71
  3. 3Tanner Bibee132.3 IP3.81
  4. 4Joey Cantillo113.7 IP3.88

WHIP

  1. 1Parker Messick129.7 IP1.06
  2. 2Gavin Williams133.3 IP1.07
  3. 3Tanner Bibee132.3 IP1.15
  4. 4Joey Cantillo113.7 IP1.45

Strikeouts

  1. 1Gavin Williams133.3 IP168
  2. 2Parker Messick129.7 IP128
  3. 3Joey Cantillo113.7 IP124
  4. 4Tanner Bibee132.3 IP100

2026 season · MLB Stats API · MLB-qualified pool (3.1 PA / 1.0 IP per team game; min 20 G hitters / 20 IP pitchers) — counting boards draw from the same qualified pool

Team rate stats · 2026

Hitting + pitching vs league

MLB Stats API

Hitting

AVG

.231vs .244Below avg

OBP

.310vs .318Slight gap

SLG

.370vs .402Below avg

OPS

.680vs .720Below avg

HR

108

R / G

3.9

K / G

8.3

Pitching

ERA

3.79vs 4.18Above avg

FIP (approx)

3.86vs 4.19Above avg

WHIP

1.27vs 1.31Slight edge

K / 9

9.3vs 8.5Above avg

BB / 9

3.3vs 3.4Slight edge

BAA

.239

HR / 9

1.1

GP

112

Tick mark on each bar is the league average for the 2026 season. ERA / FIP / WHIP / BB-9 are inverted (lower is better); the tone label still reads intuitively. FIP is approximate — fixed 3.10 constant, not the season-derived one.

Inning identity

When they score

Pattern by inning

12 games · for vs against

0.40.81.11.51st · 0.92 for / 0.25 against · margin +0.67PEAK1st2nd · 0.42 for / 0.33 against · margin +0.082nd3rd · 0.25 for / 0.25 against · margin +0.003rd4th · 0.25 for / 1.00 against · margin -0.754th5th · 0.58 for / 0.50 against · margin +0.085th6th · 0.25 for / 0.25 against · margin +0.006th7th · 0.50 for / 0.75 against · margin -0.257th8th · 0.58 for / 1.17 against · margin -0.588th9th · 0.33 for / 0.17 against · margin +0.179thINNINGS · LAST 12 GAMES
ForAgainst

4.1 avg / 4.7 allowed

Plate signature

The strike zone

Plate identity

From the catcher's view · last 30 games

Zone 1-1 · edge · placeholder heat 11%Zone 2-1 · edge · placeholder heat 20%Zone 3-1 · edge · placeholder heat 11%Zone 1-2 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 43%Zone 2-2 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 60%Zone 3-2 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 43%Zone 1-3 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 60%Zone 2-3 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 100%Zone 3-3 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 60%Zone 1-4 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 43%Zone 2-4 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 60%Zone 3-4 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 43%Zone 1-5 · edge · placeholder heat 11%Zone 2-5 · edge · placeholder heat 20%Zone 3-5 · edge · placeholder heat 11%STRIKE ZONE

Avg runs / game

4.00

Blowout wins (4+)

3

Shutout games

3

Form last 30

14-16

Pitch heat density activates with Statcast pitch-location ingest. Until then, the signature is the team's aggregate scoring identity.

Run-scoring identity

How they score

Scoring distribution

30 games · avg 4.0 runs

2356AVG 4.030612333455667891011121314RUNS PER GAME

Form heatmap

The margin trail

Margin trail

Last 30 games · 2026-06-27 → 2026-08-01

Record

14-16

Win pct

46.7%

Avg margin

-0.4

Longest W

4

Longest L

6

Favorite losses

12

2026-06-27 · vs SEA · W 4-3 · model gave 63%SEA2026-06-28 · vs SEA · W 6-5 · model gave 63%SEA2026-06-29 · vs TEX · L 3-6 · model gave 57%TEX2026-06-30 · vs TEX · L 2-4 · model gave 57%TEX2026-07-01 · vs TEX · W 9-4 · model gave 60%TEX2026-07-02 · vs CHW · W 6-5 · model gave 62%CHW2026-07-03 · vs CHW · W 4-3 · model gave 60%CHW2026-07-04 · vs CHW · L 1-3 · model gave 60%CHW2026-07-05 · vs CHW · L 6-7 · model gave 59%CHW2026-07-07 · @ MIN · L 1-3 · model gave 50%MIN2026-07-08 · @ MIN · L 5-6 · model gave 52%MIN2026-07-09 · @ MIN · W 5-2 · model gave 52%MIN2026-07-10 · @ MIA · W 3-2 · model gave 53%MIA2026-07-11 · @ MIA · W 4-1 · model gave 53%MIA2026-07-12 · @ MIA · W 5-2 · model gave 53%MIA2026-07-18 · vs PIT · L 1-7 · model gave 62%PIT2026-07-18 · vs PIT · W 5-3 · model gave 62%PIT2026-07-19 · vs PIT · L 1-7 · model gave 61%PIT2026-07-20 · vs MIN · W 13-4 · model gave 57%MIN2026-07-21 · vs MIN · W 5-2 · model gave 58%MIN2026-07-22 · vs MIN · L 6-10 · model gave 57%MIN2026-07-23 · vs MIN · L 1-3 · model gave 56%MIN2026-07-24 · @ TB · L 3-11 · model gave 41%TB2026-07-25 · @ TB · L 0-3 · model gave 41%TB2026-07-26 · @ TB · L 0-1 · model gave 41%TB2026-07-28 · @ CIN · L 0-2 · model gave 58%CIN2026-07-28 · @ CIN · W 6-5 · model gave 58%CIN2026-07-29 · @ CIN · W 6-1 · model gave 58%CIN2026-07-31 · vs ARI · L 1-4 · model gave 58%ARI2026-08-01 · vs ARI · L 8-12 · model gave 58%ARI

Each cell = one game. Color = outcome. Intensity = margin. Diagonal slash = model called the wrong side. Click any cell to open that game's page.

Model rating arc

The Elo timeline

168 games · 2025-08-02 → 2026-08-01

Peak 1571 · Now 1538 · Trough 1473

Recent transactions

Latest player movement

1 move
  1. Jun 12

    Recalled RHP Daniel Espino from Columbus (IL).

Source · ESPN

Position players · 26

Hitters & fielders

Angel Martinez

A. Martinez

LF · #1

Austin Hedges

A. Hedges

C · #27

Brayan Rocchio

B. Rocchio

SS · #4

Cade Smith

C. Smith

RP · #36

Chase DeLauter

C. DeLauter

RF · #24

Colin Holderman

C. Holderman

RP · #35

David Fry

D. Fry

RF · #6

Erik Sabrowski

E. Sabrowski

RP · #62

Franco Aleman

F. Aleman

RP · #55

Gabriel Arias

G. Arias

3B · #13

Gavin Williams

G. Williams

SP · #32

Hunter Gaddis

H. Gaddis

RP · #33

Joey Cantillo

J. Cantillo

SP · #54

Jose Ramirez

J. Ramirez

3B · #11

Kyle Manzardo

K. Manzardo

1B · #9

Matt Festa

M. Festa

RP · #52

Parker Messick

P. Messick

SP · #77

Patrick Bailey

P. Bailey

C · #16

Petey Halpin

P. Halpin

CF · #0

Rhys Hoskins

R. Hoskins

1B · #8

Slade Cecconi

S. Cecconi

SP · #44

Steven Kwan

S. Kwan

LF · #38

Tanner Bibee

T. Bibee

SP · #28

Tim Herrin

T. Herrin

RP · #29

Travis Bazzana

T. Bazzana

2B · #37

Will Dion

W. Dion

RP · #98

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Model heartbeat

Cross-sport · last 14 days

61%Last 7 · 59-38
60%Last 30 · 249-169
Receipts →

Model picks on CLE

30-24 graded · 55.6% (95% CI 42.4-68.0) · break-even 52.4% · since 2026-04-03

All MLB · 698-590 graded

Tonight's graded board →