HomeScoresLiveTonight's picksPlay
MLBEnd 2
CHW 1@NYY 1
-1.2pphigh
MLBBot 1
SF 1@ATL 1
-2.9ppmedium
MLBTop 3
TOR 1@BOS 0
-24.4pphigh
MLBBot 4
KC 0@WSH 2
+36.3pplow
MLBTop 2
NYM 0@CIN 4
+45.5pplow
MLBEnd 3
MIA 0@PHI 7
+43.3pplow
WNBA7:27 - 2nd
TOR 30@IND 34
+1.7ppmedium
LAST NIGHT · MLBC. Keith (DET): 3 H · 3 HR · 6 RBI in a win over HOU — Standout Index 96
LAST NIGHT · MLBD. May (STL): 9.0 IP · 9 K in a win over SD — Standout Index 95
LAST NIGHT · MLBE. Suarez (CIN): 2 H · 2 HR · 6 RBI in a win over NYM — Standout Index 91
TRANSACTION · MLBPhillies: Placed RHP Brad Keller on the 15-day IL, retroactive to June 14 (Jun 16)
TRANSACTION · MLBDodgers: Designated 3B Santiago Espinal for assignment (Jun 16)
TRANSACTION · MLBCubs: Placed RHP Daniel Palencia on the 15-day IL (Jun 16)
MLBEnd 2
CHW 1@NYY 1
-1.2pphigh
MLBBot 1
SF 1@ATL 1
-2.9ppmedium
MLBTop 3
TOR 1@BOS 0
-24.4pphigh
MLBBot 4
KC 0@WSH 2
+36.3pplow
MLBTop 2
NYM 0@CIN 4
+45.5pplow
MLBEnd 3
MIA 0@PHI 7
+43.3pplow
WNBA7:27 - 2nd
TOR 30@IND 34
+1.7ppmedium
LAST NIGHT · MLBC. Keith (DET): 3 H · 3 HR · 6 RBI in a win over HOU — Standout Index 96
LAST NIGHT · MLBD. May (STL): 9.0 IP · 9 K in a win over SD — Standout Index 95
LAST NIGHT · MLBE. Suarez (CIN): 2 H · 2 HR · 6 RBI in a win over NYM — Standout Index 91
TRANSACTION · MLBPhillies: Placed RHP Brad Keller on the 15-day IL, retroactive to June 14 (Jun 16)
TRANSACTION · MLBDodgers: Designated 3B Santiago Espinal for assignment (Jun 16)
TRANSACTION · MLBCubs: Placed RHP Daniel Palencia on the 15-day IL (Jun 16)
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Cleveland Guardians
CLE#4 · American League

Cleveland Guardians

39-33 (54.2%) · W2 · L10 4-6

Model verdict

Where they stand

The verdict · Pythagorean expectation (1.83 exponent)

#13 of 30

Pyth(1.83) .495 · exp 35.7-36.3 vs act 39-33 · n=72 · luck +3.3W · thru 2026-06-15 · mlb_game_results

Rank within the full 30-team population on a published metric — no invented composites. How we grade

Last 5 form

2026-06-08 → 2026-06-13 · Full ATS profile →

LLost by 2 vs NYY, 5-7, 2026-06-08. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
 
LLost by 1 vs NYY, 2-3, 2026-06-09. Covered the spread (closing line).
 
LLost by 4 vs NYY, 4-8, 2026-06-10. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
 
WWon by 1 vs DET, 3-2, 2026-06-12. Covered the spread (closing line).
 
WWon by 2 vs DET, 3-1, 2026-06-13. Covered the spread (closing line).
 

Stat leaders

Who carries them

OPS

  1. 1José Ramírez72 G.757
  2. 2Brayan Rocchio69 G.752
  3. 3Chase DeLauter66 G.745
  4. 4Angel Martínez66 G.718
  5. 5Steven Kwan64 G.585

Home runs

  1. 1Angel Martínez66 G11
  2. 2José Ramírez72 G10
  3. 3Chase DeLauter66 G7
  4. 4Brayan Rocchio69 G5
  5. 5Steven Kwan64 G1

RBI

  1. 1Chase DeLauter66 G34
  2. 2Angel Martínez66 G33
  3. 3José Ramírez72 G33
  4. 4Brayan Rocchio69 G32
  5. 5Steven Kwan64 G13

Batting average

  1. 1Brayan Rocchio69 G.274
  2. 2Chase DeLauter66 G.263
  3. 3Angel Martínez66 G.239
  4. 4José Ramírez72 G.239
  5. 5Steven Kwan64 G.215

Stolen bases

  1. 1José Ramírez72 G24
  2. 2Brayan Rocchio69 G12
  3. 3Angel Martínez66 G9
  4. 4Steven Kwan64 G3
  5. 5Chase DeLauter66 G2

ERA

  1. 1Parker Messick80.7 IP2.68
  2. 2Gavin Williams86.7 IP3.32
  3. 3Tanner Bibee84.0 IP3.96
  4. 4Joey Cantillo72.0 IP4.38
  5. 5Slade Cecconi72.7 IP4.83

WHIP

  1. 1Parker Messick80.7 IP1.09
  2. 2Gavin Williams86.7 IP1.10
  3. 3Tanner Bibee84.0 IP1.18
  4. 4Slade Cecconi72.7 IP1.44
  5. 5Joey Cantillo72.0 IP1.49

Strikeouts

  1. 1Gavin Williams86.7 IP99
  2. 2Parker Messick80.7 IP82
  3. 3Tanner Bibee84.0 IP71
  4. 4Joey Cantillo72.0 IP67
  5. 5Slade Cecconi72.7 IP61

2026 season · MLB Stats API · MLB-qualified pool (3.1 PA / 1.0 IP per team game; min 20 G hitters / 20 IP pitchers) — counting boards draw from the same qualified pool

Team rate stats · 2026

Hitting + pitching vs league

MLB Stats API

Hitting

AVG

.232vs .243Slight gap

OBP

.317vs .319League avg

SLG

.372vs .398Below avg

OPS

.689vs .717Slight gap

HR

66

R / G

4.0

K / G

7.8

Pitching

ERA

3.75vs 4.18Above avg

FIP (approx)

3.95vs 4.18Above avg

WHIP

1.26vs 1.31Slight edge

K / 9

9.3vs 8.5Above avg

BB / 9

3.4vs 3.5Slight edge

BAA

.237

HR / 9

1.2

GP

72

Tick mark on each bar is the league average for the 2026 season. ERA / FIP / WHIP / BB-9 are inverted (lower is better); the tone label still reads intuitively. FIP is approximate — fixed 3.10 constant, not the season-derived one.

Inning identity

When they score

Pattern by inning

12 games · for vs against

0.30.50.81.01st · 0.17 for / 0.50 against · margin -0.331st2nd · 0.50 for / 0.50 against · margin +0.002nd3rd · 0.67 for / 0.67 against · margin +0.003rd4th · 0.75 for / 0.42 against · margin +0.334th5th · 0.67 for / 0.25 against · margin +0.42PEAK5th6th · 0.33 for / 0.67 against · margin -0.336th7th · 0.08 for / 0.75 against · margin -0.677th8th · 0.42 for / 0.42 against · margin +0.008th9th · 0.08 for / 0.08 against · margin +0.009thINNINGS · LAST 12 GAMES
ForAgainst

3.7 avg / 4.2 allowed

Plate signature

The strike zone

Plate identity

From the catcher's view · last 30 games

Zone 1-1 · edge · placeholder heat 11%Zone 2-1 · edge · placeholder heat 20%Zone 3-1 · edge · placeholder heat 11%Zone 1-2 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 43%Zone 2-2 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 60%Zone 3-2 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 43%Zone 1-3 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 60%Zone 2-3 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 100%Zone 3-3 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 60%Zone 1-4 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 43%Zone 2-4 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 60%Zone 3-4 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 43%Zone 1-5 · edge · placeholder heat 11%Zone 2-5 · edge · placeholder heat 20%Zone 3-5 · edge · placeholder heat 11%STRIKE ZONE

Avg runs / game

3.87

Blowout wins (4+)

5

Shutout games

2

Form last 30

18-12

Pitch heat density activates with Statcast pitch-location ingest. Until then, the signature is the team's aggregate scoring identity.

Run-scoring identity

How they score

Scoring distribution

30 games · avg 3.9 runs

2468AVG 3.90128354567891011RUNS PER GAME

Form heatmap

The margin trail

Margin trail

Last 30 games · 2026-05-11 → 2026-06-13

Record

18-12

Win pct

60.0%

Avg margin

+0.0

Longest W

7

Longest L

4

Upset wins

5

Favorite losses

5

2026-05-11 · vs LAA · W 7-2 · model gave 62%LAA2026-05-12 · vs LAA · W 3-2 · model gave 62%LAA2026-05-13 · vs LAA · W 4-2 · model gave 61%LAA2026-05-15 · vs CIN · L 6-7 · model gave 56%CIN2026-05-16 · vs CIN · W 7-4 · model gave 56%CIN2026-05-17 · vs CIN · W 10-3 · model gave 53%CIN2026-05-18 · @ DET · W 8-2 · model gave 57%DET2026-05-19 · @ DET · W 4-3 · model gave 59%DET2026-05-20 · @ DET · W 3-2 · model gave 59%DET2026-05-21 · @ DET · W 3-1 · model gave 58%DET2026-05-22 · @ PHI · W 1-0 · model gave 49%PHI2026-05-23 · @ PHI · L 0-3 · model gave 49%PHI2026-05-24 · @ PHI · W 3-1 · model gave 48%PHI2026-05-25 · vs WSH · L 2-10 · model gave 61%WSH2026-05-26 · vs WSH · L 3-6 · model gave 61%WSH2026-05-27 · vs WSH · W 3-2 · model gave 60%WSH2026-05-29 · vs BOS · W 4-3 · model gave 60%BOS2026-05-30 · vs BOS · L 1-9 · model gave 60%BOS2026-05-31 · vs BOS · L 4-9 · model gave 60%BOS2026-06-02 · @ NYY · W 9-4 · model gave 40%NYY2026-06-03 · @ NYY · W 5-4 · model gave 41%NYY2026-06-04 · @ NYY · L 1-2 · model gave 40%NYY2026-06-05 · @ TEX · L 2-3 · model gave 49%TEX2026-06-06 · @ TEX · W 6-0 · model gave 49%TEX2026-06-07 · @ TEX · L 0-10 · model gave 48%TEX2026-06-08 · vs NYY · L 5-7 · model gave 41%NYY2026-06-09 · vs NYY · L 2-3 · model gave 42%NYY2026-06-10 · vs NYY · L 4-8 · model gave 42%NYY2026-06-12 · vs DET · W 3-2 · model gave 60%DET2026-06-13 · vs DET · W 3-1 · model gave 60%DET

Each cell = one game. Color = outcome. Intensity = margin. Diagonal slash = model called the wrong side. Click any cell to open that game's page.

Model rating arc

The Elo timeline

167 games · 2025-06-18 → 2026-06-13

Peak 1542 · Now 1517 · Trough 1459

Recent transactions

Latest player movement

1 move
  1. Jun 12

    Recalled RHP Daniel Espino from Columbus (IL).

Source · ESPN

Position players · 26

Hitters & fielders

Austin Hedges

A. Hedges

C · #27

Brayan Rocchio

B. Rocchio

SS · #4

Cade Smith

C. Smith

RP · #36

Chase DeLauter

C. DeLauter

RF · #24

Colin Holderman

C. Holderman

RP · #35

Daniel Espino

D. Espino

SP · #41

Daniel Schneemann

D. Schneemann

CF · #10

David Fry

D. Fry

RF · #6

Gabriel Arias

G. Arias

SS · #13

Gavin Williams

G. Williams

SP · #32

Hunter Gaddis

H. Gaddis

RP · #33

Joey Cantillo

J. Cantillo

SP · #54

Kyle Manzardo

K. Manzardo

1B · #9

Matt Festa

M. Festa

RP · #52

Parker Messick

P. Messick

SP · #77

Patrick Bailey

P. Bailey

C · #16

Petey Halpin

P. Halpin

CF · #0

Rhys Hoskins

R. Hoskins

1B · #8

Shawn Armstrong

S. Armstrong

RP · #43

Slade Cecconi

S. Cecconi

SP · #44

Steven Kwan

S. Kwan

CF · #38

Stuart Fairchild

S. Fairchild

RF · #17

Tanner Bibee

T. Bibee

SP · #28

Tim Herrin

T. Herrin

RP · #29

Travis Bazzana

T. Bazzana

2B · #37

Will Dion

W. Dion

SP · #98

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Model heartbeat

Cross-sport · last 14 days

64%Last 7 · 62-35
61%Last 30 · 299-189
Receipts →

Model picks on CLE

20-17 graded · 54.1% (95% CI 38.4-69.0) · break-even 52.4% · since 2026-04-03

All MLB · 594-464 graded

Tonight's graded board →