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ARI#9 · National League
Arizona Diamondbacks
37-35 (51.4%) · W2 · L10 4-6
Model verdict
Where they stand
The verdict · Pythagorean expectation (1.83 exponent)
#19 of 30
Pyth(1.83) .472 · exp 34-38 vs act 37-35 · n=72 · luck +3.0W · thru 2026-06-15 · mlb_game_results
Rank within the full 30-team population on a published metric — no invented composites. How we grade
Last 5 form
2026-06-11 → 2026-06-15 · Full ATS profile →
Lost by 2 at MIA, 0-2, 2026-06-11. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
Won by 3 at CIN, 5-2, 2026-06-12. Covered the spread (closing line).
Lost by 1 at CIN, 1-2, 2026-06-13. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
Won by 2 at CIN, 5-3, 2026-06-14. Covered the spread (closing line).
Won by 1 vs LAA, 4-3, 2026-06-15. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
Stat leaders
Who carries them
OPS
- 1Corbin Carroll69 G.907
- 2Ketel Marte68 G.747
- 3Nolan Arenado67 G.726
- 4Ildemaro Vargas62 G.721
- 5Geraldo Perdomo69 G.720
Home runs
- 1Corbin Carroll69 G12
- 2Ketel Marte68 G11
- 3Nolan Arenado67 G8
- 4Ildemaro Vargas62 G7
- 5Geraldo Perdomo69 G4
RBI
- 1Ketel Marte68 G41
- 2Ildemaro Vargas62 G37
- 3Corbin Carroll69 G34
- 4Nolan Arenado67 G31
- 5Geraldo Perdomo69 G25
Batting average
- 1Corbin Carroll69 G.277
- 2Ildemaro Vargas62 G.267
- 3Ketel Marte68 G.255
- 4Geraldo Perdomo69 G.246
- 5Nolan Arenado67 G.243
Stolen bases
- 1Geraldo Perdomo69 G11
- 2Corbin Carroll69 G9
- 3Nolan Arenado67 G3
- 4Ildemaro Vargas62 G1
- 5Ketel Marte68 G0
ERA
- 1Eduardo Rodriguez81.3 IP2.55
- 2Michael Soroka81.0 IP3.11
- 3Ryne Nelson83.3 IP4.97
- 4Zac Gallen75.7 IP5.35
WHIP
- 1Michael Soroka81.0 IP1.07
- 2Eduardo Rodriguez81.3 IP1.23
- 3Ryne Nelson83.3 IP1.24
- 4Zac Gallen75.7 IP1.53
Strikeouts
- 1Michael Soroka81.0 IP79
- 2Ryne Nelson83.3 IP62
- 3Eduardo Rodriguez81.3 IP60
- 4Zac Gallen75.7 IP50
2026 season · MLB Stats API · MLB-qualified pool (3.1 PA / 1.0 IP per team game; min 20 G hitters / 20 IP pitchers) — counting boards draw from the same qualified pool
Team rate stats · 2026
Hitting + pitching vs league
MLB Stats API
Hitting
AVG
.237vs .243Slight gap
OBP
.307vs .319Slight gap
SLG
.385vs .398Slight gap
OPS
.692vs .717Slight gap
HR
65
R / G
4.2
K / G
7.5
Pitching
ERA
4.17vs 4.18League avg
FIP (approx)
4.42vs 4.19Below avg
WHIP
1.27vs 1.31Slight edge
K / 9
7.2vs 8.5Below avg
BB / 9
3.0vs 3.5Above avg
BAA
.245
HR / 9
1.2
GP
72
Tick mark on each bar is the league average for the 2026 season. ERA / FIP / WHIP / BB-9 are inverted (lower is better); the tone label still reads intuitively. FIP is approximate — fixed 3.10 constant, not the season-derived one.
Inning identity
When they score
Pattern by inning
12 games · for vs against
ForAgainst
2.6 avg / 5.0 allowed
Plate signature
The strike zone
Plate identity
From the catcher's view · last 30 games
Avg runs / game
4.17
Blowout wins (4+)
5
Shutout games
3
Form last 30
17-13
Pitch heat density activates with Statcast pitch-location ingest. Until then, the signature is the team's aggregate scoring identity.
Run-scoring identity
How they score
Scoring distribution
30 games · avg 4.2 runs
Form heatmap
The margin trail
Margin trail
Last 30 games · 2026-05-15 → 2026-06-15
Record
17-13
Win pct
56.7%
Avg margin
+0.2
Longest W
5
Longest L
3
Upset wins
4
Favorite losses
4
Each cell = one game. Color = outcome. Intensity = margin. Diagonal slash = model called the wrong side. Click any cell to open that game's page.
Model rating arc
The Elo timeline
163 games · 2025-06-17 → 2026-06-15
Peak 1522 · Now 1489 · Trough 1461
Recent transactions
Latest player movement
- Jun 12
Designated C Aramis Garcia for assignment. Reinstated UTL Jordan Lawlar from the 60-day IL.
- Jun 10
Sent 1B Carlos Santana on a rehab assignment to Reno (PCL).
- Jun 8
Sent LF Lourdes Gurriel Jr. on a rehab assignment to ACL D-Backs. Agreed to terms with RHP Oscar Echegarreta on a minor league contract.
- Jun 7
Reinstated RHP Taylor Clarke. Optioned LHP Philip Abner to Reno (PCL). Agreed to terms with OF Max Kepler on a one-year contract, who remains on the restricted list.
Source · ESPN
Position players · 26
Hitters & fielders
A
A. Del Castillo
DH · #25
B. Garcia
RP · #55
C. Carroll
RF · #7
D. Jameson
RP · #99
E. Rodriguez
SP · #57
G. Moreno
C · #14
G. Perdomo
SS · #2
I. Vargas
1B · #6
J. Loaisiga
RP · #43
J. Lawlar
LF · #10
J. Barrosa
CF · #1
J. Morillo
RP · #62
K. Marte
2B · #4
K. Ginkel
RP · #37
L. Gurriel Jr.
LF · #12
L. Groover
3B · #16
M. Kelly
SP · #29
M. Soroka
SP · #34
N. Arenado
3B · #28
P. Sewald
RP · #38
P. Smith
DH · #26
R. Thompson
RP · #81
R. Nelson
SP · #19
T. Clarke
RP · #45
T. Troy
LF · #9
Z. Gallen
SP · #23