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FINAL+2NJ
NJ

NJ

36-32-2

64
DAL

DAL

43-17-11

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

NHLTue, Mar 24FinalSeriestied 1-1VegasDAL -162

Recap · NHL

ew Jersey Devils went into Dallas Stars and beat them, 6–4.

NJ +1.5 cashed (DAL lost outright). Total cleared the 5.5 OVER by 4.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

NJ · top performer

NJ
Jesper Bratt

Jesper Bratt

LW · #63

2Points

1

G

1

A

—

SOG

DAL · top performer

DAL
Wyatt Johnston

Wyatt Johnston

C · #53

3Points

2

G

1

A

—

SOG

NHL · New Jersey Devils at Dallas Stars · final

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final
6
4
NJ36-32-2DAL43-17-11
NJ

NJ

36-32-2

6
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%
DAL

DAL

43-17-11

4
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

8

PIM

6

Season series

Series tied 1-1

Dec 4DALDAL3@NJNJ0
Mar 25NJNJ6@DALDAL4today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

DAL -1.5

Total

5.5

Defensive · -3.0 vs avg

Moneyline

NJNJ+13642%
DALDAL-16262%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet DAL -1.5↗SpreadBet DAL -1.5↗

Line movement · 10 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

5.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

NJ beat DAL 6-4.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team123T
NJ4026
DAL1214

Period scoring

NJ won 2 · DAL won 1

4
1

1

0
2

2

2
1

3

NJ
DAL

Play-by-play · 305 plays

period
event
player
  1. 3rd·20:00

    Game End

    NJ 6·DAL 4

  2. 3rd·20:00

    End of 3rd Period

    NJ 6·DAL 4

  3. 3rd·19:00

    Cody Glass faceoff won against Justin Hryckowian

    ·

    NJ 6·DAL 4

  4. 3rd·19:00

    Dougie Hamilton Goal (10) Snap Shot, assists: none

    NJ 6·DAL 4

  5. 3rd·18:55

    Jamie Benn shot blocked by Matt Duchene

    ·

    NJ 5·DAL 4

  6. 3rd·18:10

    Wyatt Johnston Snap Shot saved by Jake Allen

    ·

    NJ 5·DAL 4

  7. 3rd·18:04

    Nico Hischier shot blocked by Thomas Harley

    ·

    NJ 5·DAL 4

  8. 3rd·18:01

    Giveaway by Matt Duchene

    NJ 5·DAL 4

  9. 3rd·17:45

    Matt Duchene faceoff won against Nico Hischier

    ·

    NJ 5·DAL 4

  10. 3rd·17:45

    Timeout - Home

    NJ 5·DAL 4

  11. 3rd·17:45

    Icing

    NJ 5·DAL 4

  12. 3rd·17:40

    Dawson Mercer Snap Shot Wide Left

    NJ 5·DAL 4

  13. 3rd·17:38

    Jamie Benn hit Dougie Hamilton

    ·

    NJ 5·DAL 4

  14. 3rd·17:18

    Matt Duchene Batted Wide Right

    ·

    NJ 5·DAL 4

  15. 3rd·16:47

    Nico Hischier faceoff won against Wyatt Johnston

    ·

    NJ 5·DAL 4

  16. 3rd·16:47

    Puck Frozen - Goalie

    NJ 5·DAL 4

  17. 3rd·16:43

    Giveaway by Cody Glass

    NJ 5·DAL 4

  18. 3rd·16:03

    Matt Duchene hit Connor Brown

    ·

    NJ 5·DAL 4

  19. 3rd·16:01

    Jamie Benn shot blocked by Johnathan Kovacevic

    ·

    NJ 5·DAL 4

  20. 3rd·15:54

    Giveaway by Luke Hughes

    ·

    NJ 5·DAL 4

  21. 3rd·15:45

    Nils Lundkvist shot blocked by Connor Brown

    ·

    NJ 5·DAL 4

  22. 3rd·15:14

    Giveaway by Jack Hughes

    ·

    NJ 5·DAL 4

  23. 3rd·14:30

    Giveaway by Dougie Hamilton

    NJ 5·DAL 4

  24. 3rd·14:17

    Wyatt Johnston Snap Shot Wide Right

    ·

    NJ 5·DAL 4

  25. 3rd·13:48

    Mavrik Bourque hit Jonas Siegenthaler

    ·

    NJ 5·DAL 4

  26. 3rd·13:44

    Wyatt Johnston faceoff won against Cody Glass

    ·

    NJ 5·DAL 4

  27. 3rd·13:44

    Puck in Benches

    NJ 5·DAL 4

  28. 3rd·13:40

    Takeaway by Michael Bunting

    NJ 5·DAL 4

  29. 3rd·13:34

    Jamie Benn faceoff won against Cody Glass

    ·

    NJ 5·DAL 4

  30. 3rd·13:34

    Goalie Stopped

    NJ 5·DAL 4

Team stats

NJ

Away

Stat

DAL

Home

25

Shots

27

0.0

PCT

25.0

8

PIM

6

30

Faceoffs W

30

22

Blocks

13

12

Giveaways

15

4

Takeaways

9

Betting line

DAL -1.5·O/U 5.5·NJ +136/DAL -162

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

1 of 14 skaters with EDGE
  • Tyler MyersDAL · D
    SHOT MPH90.770

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · DAL favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(DAL win)

    33%

    weight

  • Goalie Starter

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(DAL win)

    32%

    weight

  • Xg Blend

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(DAL win)

    34%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

-162

Close price

-162

Open no-vig

59.3%

Close no-vig

59.3%

Line barely moved · Graded: miss

Player projections

DAL vs NJ.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

141

projections · 132 high confidence

Shots on goal

  • Jack HughesNJ
    4.3± 1.7high
  • Jason RobertsonDAL
    3.9± 2.0high
  • Timo MeierNJ
    3.3± 3.0high

Goals

  • Jason RobertsonDAL
    0.8± 0.6high
  • Wyatt JohnstonDAL
    0.6± 0.7high
  • Jack HughesNJ
    0.6± 0.8high

Points

  • Jack HughesNJ
    1.6± 1.7high
  • Jason RobertsonDAL
    1.3± 0.9high
  • Matt DucheneDAL
    1.2± 1.2high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Data via ESPN · NHL API · hockeyR