NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+3SEA

CGY

32-38-9

SEA

34-34-11

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

NHLSat, Apr 11FinalSeriesSEA wins series 2-1VegasSEA -130

Recap · NHL

eattle Kraken held off Calgary Flames, 4–1.

SEA -1.5 cashed (won by 3). Total stayed UNDER 6.5 by 1.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

CGY · top performer

Matt Coronato

RW · #27

1Points

—

SOG

SEA · top performer

Matty Beniers

C · #10

1Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

CGY32-38-9

SEA34-34-11

CGY32-38-9SEA34-34-11

CGY

32-38-9

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Goalie	Skating	Goalie
Player	GA	SA	SV	SV%

SEA

34-34-11

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Goalie	Skating	Goalie
Player	GA	SA	SV	SV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Season series

SEA wins series 2-1

Dec 19

SEA2@

CGY4

Jan 6

SEA5@

CGY1

Apr 11

CGY1@

SEA4today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

SEA -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

CGY+11048%

SEA-13057%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet SEA -1.5↗SpreadBet SEA -1.5↗

Line movement · 11 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

SEA beat CGY 4-1.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	T
CGY	0	1	0	1
SEA	0	3	1	4

Period scoring

CGY won 0 · SEA won 2

CGY

SEA

Play-by-play · 276 plays

period

event

player

3rd·20:00
Game End
CGY 1·SEA 4
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
CGY 1·SEA 4
3rd·19:21
Kaapo Kakko faceoff won against Ryan Strome
·
CGY 1·SEA 4
3rd·19:21
Goalie Stopped
CGY 1·SEA 4
3rd·19:20
Jared McCann Tip-In saved by Devin Cooley
·
CGY 1·SEA 4
3rd·18:56
Ryan Winterton Tip-In Wide Right
·
CGY 1·SEA 4
3rd·18:47
Martin Pospisil hit Jamie Oleksiak
·
CGY 1·SEA 4
3rd·18:40
Martin Pospisil hit Oscar Fisker Molgaard
·
CGY 1·SEA 4
3rd·18:31
Oscar Fisker Molgaard faceoff won against Tyson Gross
·
CGY 1·SEA 4
3rd·18:31
Jordan Eberle Goal (26) Wrist Shot, assists: Ryker Evans (9)
·
CGY 1·SEA 4
3rd·18:24
Blake Coleman Wrist Shot saved by Nikke Kokko
·
CGY 1·SEA 3
3rd·17:24
Matty Beniers faceoff won against Matt Coronato
·
CGY 1·SEA 3
3rd·17:24
High Stick
CGY 1·SEA 3
3rd·17:19
Nikke Kokko shot blocked by Morgan Frost
·
CGY 1·SEA 3
3rd·17:01
Morgan Frost hit Jaden Schwartz
·
CGY 1·SEA 3
3rd·16:55
Freddy Gaudreau faceoff won against Yegor Sharangovich
·
CGY 1·SEA 3
3rd·16:55
Goalie Stopped
CGY 1·SEA 3
3rd·16:53
Hunter Brzustewicz Wrist Shot saved by Nikke Kokko
·
CGY 1·SEA 3
3rd·15:59
Takeaway by Eeli Tolvanen
CGY 1·SEA 3
3rd·15:37
Connor Zary Wrist Shot saved by Nikke Kokko
·
CGY 1·SEA 3
3rd·15:30
Ryan Winterton hit Zayne Parekh
·
CGY 1·SEA 3
3rd·15:04
Ryker Evans hit Olli Maatta
·
CGY 1·SEA 3
3rd·15:01
Tyson Gross shot blocked by Jamie Oleksiak
·
CGY 1·SEA 3
3rd·14:26
Mikael Backlund shot blocked by Freddy Gaudreau
·
CGY 1·SEA 3
3rd·14:18
Abram Wiebe Wrist Shot Wide Right
·
CGY 1·SEA 3
3rd·14:00
Mikael Backlund faceoff won against Freddy Gaudreau
·
CGY 1·SEA 3
3rd·14:00
Goalie Stopped
CGY 1·SEA 3
3rd·13:58
Matty Beniers Snap Shot saved by Devin Cooley
·
CGY 1·SEA 3
3rd·13:47
Hunter Brzustewicz Snap Shot saved by Nikke Kokko
·
CGY 1·SEA 3
3rd·13:38
Giveaway by Brandon Montour
CGY 1·SEA 3

Team stats

CGY

Away

Stat

SEA

Home

Shots

0.0

PCT

0.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Betting line

SEA -1.5·O/U 6.5·CGY +110/SEA -130

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 27 skaters with EDGE

Bobby McMannSEA · C
SKATE MPH24.399
Brandon MontourSEA · D
SHOT MPH101.698
Matty BeniersSEA · C
DIST MI267.798
Yan KuznetsovCGY · D
SHOT MPH100.297
Jared McCannSEA · LW
SHOT MPH94.496

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · SEA favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(SEA win)
33%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(SEA win)
32%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(SEA win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

-130

Close price

-130

Open no-vig

54.3%

Close no-vig

54.3%

Line barely moved · Graded: hit

Player projections

SEA vs CGY.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

144

projections · 129 high confidence

Shots on goal

Bobby McMannSEA
3.0± 1.8high
Brandon MontourSEA
3.0± 1.3high
Blake ColemanCGY
2.7± 1.6high

Goals

Blake ColemanCGY
0.4± 0.7high
Morgan FrostCGY
0.4± 0.7high
Joel FarabeeCGY
0.3± 0.5high

Points

Matt CoronatoCGY
0.8± 0.8high
Morgan FrostCGY
0.7± 1.0high
Blake ColemanCGY
0.6± 0.7high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands