NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+3CBJ

CBJ

40-28-12

MTL

47-23-10

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

NHLSat, Apr 11FinalSeriesCBJ win series 2-1VegasMTL -130

Recap · NHL

olumbus Blue Jackets went into Montreal Canadiens and beat them, 5–2.

CBJ +1.5 cashed (MTL lost outright). Total cleared the 6.5 OVER by 0.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

CBJ · top performer

Charlie Coyle

C · #3

2Points

—

SOG

MTL · top performer

Josh Anderson

RW · #17

1Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

CBJ40-28-12

MTL47-23-10

CBJ40-28-12MTL47-23-10

CBJ

40-28-12

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Goalie	Skating	Goalie
Player	GA	SA	SV	SV%

MTL

47-23-10

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Goalie	Skating	Goalie
Player	GA	SA	SV	SV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Season series

CBJ win series 2-1

Nov 18

MTL3@

CBJ4

Mar 26

CBJ1@

MTL2

Apr 11

CBJ5@

MTL2today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

MTL -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

CBJ+11048%

MTL-13057%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet MTL -1.5↗SpreadBet MTL -1.5↗

Line movement · 10 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

CBJ beat MTL 5-2.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	T
CBJ	2	2	1	5
MTL	1	0	1	2

Period scoring

CBJ won 2 · MTL won 0

CBJ

MTL

Play-by-play · 303 plays

period

event

player

3rd·20:00
Game End
CBJ 5·MTL 2
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
CBJ 5·MTL 2
3rd·19:47
Joseph Veleno hit Dante Fabbro
·
CBJ 5·MTL 2
3rd·19:34
Boone Jenner Snap Shot saved by Jakub Dobes
·
CBJ 5·MTL 2
3rd·19:30
Giveaway by Adam Engstrom
CBJ 5·MTL 2
3rd·18:57
Kirby Dach Snap Shot Hit Left Post
·
CBJ 5·MTL 2
3rd·18:26
Phillip Danault Slap Shot Wide Right
·
CBJ 5·MTL 2
3rd·18:24
Phillip Danault faceoff won against Sean Monahan
·
CBJ 5·MTL 2
3rd·18:24
Icing
CBJ 5·MTL 2
3rd·18:17
Ivan Demidov Slap Shot saved by Jet Greaves
·
CBJ 5·MTL 2
3rd·17:50
Alexandre Texier Snap Shot Wide Right
·
CBJ 5·MTL 2
3rd·17:41
Ivan Demidov Slap Shot Above Crossbar
·
CBJ 5·MTL 2
3rd·17:36
Ivan Demidov Snap Shot saved by Jet Greaves
·
CBJ 5·MTL 2
3rd·17:29
Lane Hutson hit Kent Johnson
·
CBJ 5·MTL 2
3rd·17:18
Sean Monahan Slap Shot saved by Jakub Dobes
·
CBJ 5·MTL 2
3rd·16:53
Boone Jenner faceoff won against Oliver Kapanen
·
CBJ 5·MTL 2
3rd·16:53
Goalie Stopped
CBJ 5·MTL 2
3rd·16:51
Mike Matheson Snap Shot saved by Jet Greaves
·
CBJ 5·MTL 2
3rd·16:38
Giveaway by Zach Werenski
CBJ 5·MTL 2
3rd·16:16
Kirill Marchenko Backhand Wide Left
·
CBJ 5·MTL 2
3rd·15:52
Giveaway by Nick Suzuki
CBJ 5·MTL 2
3rd·15:20
Boone Jenner faceoff won against Nick Suzuki
·
CBJ 5·MTL 2
3rd·15:20
Puck Frozen - Goalie
CBJ 5·MTL 2
3rd·15:17
Charlie Coyle faceoff won against Oliver Kapanen
·
CBJ 5·MTL 2
3rd·15:17
Icing
CBJ 5·MTL 2
3rd·15:09
Charlie Coyle faceoff won against Oliver Kapanen
·
CBJ 5·MTL 2
3rd·15:09
Off-side
CBJ 5·MTL 2
3rd·14:36
Cole Sillinger shot blocked by Arber Xhekaj
·
CBJ 5·MTL 2
3rd·14:33
Conor Garland shot blocked by Jake Evans
·
CBJ 5·MTL 2
3rd·14:20
Zach Werenski shot blocked by Arber Xhekaj
·
CBJ 5·MTL 2

Team stats

CBJ

Away

Stat

MTL

Home

Shots

25.0

PCT

25.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Betting line

MTL -1.5·O/U 6.5·CBJ +110/MTL -130

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 28 skaters with EDGE

Lane HutsonMTL · D
DIST MI71.899+
Ivan ProvorovCBJ · D
DIST MI299.999+
Josh AndersonMTL · RW
BURSTS7699+
Mike MathesonMTL · D
DIST MI62.999
Cole CaufieldMTL · RW
DIST MI56.699

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · MTL favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(MTL win)
33%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(MTL win)
32%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(MTL win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

-130

Close price

-130

Open no-vig

54.3%

Close no-vig

54.3%

Line barely moved · Graded: miss

Player projections

MTL vs CBJ.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

141

projections · 126 high confidence

Shots on goal

Zach WerenskiCBJ
3.4± 2.5high
Kirill MarchenkoCBJ
2.8± 1.6high
Cole CaufieldMTL
2.8± 1.4high

Goals

Cole CaufieldMTL
0.5± 0.5high
Alex NewhookMTL
0.4± 0.7high
Adam FantilliCBJ
0.3± 0.5high

Points

Cole CaufieldMTL
0.9± 0.7high
Lane HutsonMTL
0.9± 0.7high
Nick SuzukiMTL
0.9± 1.2high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands