
STL
34-33-12

CHI
28-38-14
Recap · NHL
t. Louis Blues went into Chicago Blackhawks and beat them, 5–3.
STL -1.5 cashed (won by 2). Total cleared the 5.5 OVER by 2.5.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
STL · top performer

Jimmy Snuggerud
RW · #21
1
G
0
A
—
SOG
CHI · top performer

Ilya Mikheyev
RW · #95
2
G
0
A
—
SOG
NHL · St. Louis Blues at Chicago Blackhawks · final
NHL · Box scoreEDGE
Forwards
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:26 | |
| 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:29 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:52 | |
| 0 | 1 | -1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17:25 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12:41 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13:47 | |
| 1 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 17:35 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:00 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12:27 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14:49 | |
| 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:29 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14:20 |
Defensemen
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 20:52 | |
| 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:20 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 18:09 | |
| 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20:26 | |
| 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 22:08 | |
| 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18:45 |
Goalies
| Player | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 3 | 31 | .912 | 60:00 |
Forwards
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | -1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23:01 | |
| 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:30 | |
| 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11:52 | |
| 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15:28 | |
| 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16:53 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 19:11 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:20 | |
| 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9:33 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 13:27 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:27 | |
| 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:00 | |
| 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:24 | |
| 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:14 |
Defensemen
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 18:32 | |
| 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 23:18 | |
| 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 17:20 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20:43 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:43 |
Goalies
| Player | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 5 | 23 | .821 | 57:28 |
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
4
PIM
2
Season series
Series tied 2-2
Vegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
STL -1.5
Total
5.5
Defensive · -3.0 vs avg
Moneyline
Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 45 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
1.5
0.0 since open
Total
5.5
0.0 since open
Headlines · top performers
J. Snuggerud
RWTop skater
1 G · 4 SOG
J. Hofer
GGoaltender
31 SV · 3 GA · .912
I. Mikheyev
RWTop skater
2 G · 3 SOG
A. Soderblom
GGoaltender
23 SV · 5 GA · .821
How it ended
STL beat CHI 5-3. J. Snuggerud led the way — 1 G · 4 SOG.
Last play
Game End
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| STL | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| CHI | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
Period scoring
STL won 1 · CHI won 0
1
2
3
Play-by-play · 293 plays
- 3rd·20:00
Game End
STL 5·CHI 3
- 3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
STL 5·CHI 3
- 3rd·19:53
Connor Bedard Wrist Shot Wide Left
·
STL 5·CHI 3
- 3rd·19:45
Ryan Greene shot blocked by Jimmy Snuggerud
·
STL 5·CHI 3
- 3rd·19:35
Jake Neighbours hit Ryan Greene
·
STL 5·CHI 3
- 3rd·19:21
Anton Frondell Snap Shot High and Wide Right
·
STL 5·CHI 3
- 3rd·19:19
Connor Bedard shot blocked by Tyler Bertuzzi
·
STL 5·CHI 3
- 3rd·18:59
Anton Frondell Slap Shot saved by Joel Hofer
·
STL 5·CHI 3
- 3rd·18:53
Tyler Bertuzzi Tip-In Wide Right
·
STL 5·CHI 3
- 3rd·18:48
Connor Bedard Wrist Shot saved by Joel Hofer
·
STL 5·CHI 3
- 3rd·18:44
Ryan Donato faceoff won against Robert Thomas
·
STL 5·CHI 3
- 3rd·18:44
Goalie Stopped
STL 5·CHI 3
- 3rd·18:42
Ryan Donato Wrist Shot saved by Joel Hofer
·
STL 5·CHI 3
- 3rd·18:41
Ryan Donato Tip-In Wide Right
·
STL 5·CHI 3
- 3rd·18:36
Teuvo Teravainen Slap Shot saved by Joel Hofer
·
STL 5·CHI 3
- 3rd·18:06
Jonatan Berggren shot blocked by Nick Lardis
·
STL 5·CHI 3
- 3rd·17:56
Jonatan Berggren Backhand Wide Right
STL 5·CHI 3
- 3rd·16:48
Jordan Kyrou shot blocked by Louis Crevier
·
STL 5·CHI 3
- 3rd·16:27
Giveaway by Anton Frondell
STL 5·CHI 3
- 3rd·16:21
Alex Vlasic shot blocked by Jordan Kyrou
·
STL 5·CHI 3
- 3rd·15:58
Oskar Sundqvist hit Kevin Korchinski
·
STL 5·CHI 3
- 3rd·15:10
Pius Suter faceoff won against Connor Bedard
·
STL 5·CHI 3
- 3rd·15:10
Icing
STL 5·CHI 3
- 3rd·14:52
Giveaway by Philip Broberg
STL 5·CHI 3
- 3rd·14:35
Sacha Boisvert Wrist Shot saved by Joel Hofer
·
STL 5·CHI 3
- 3rd·13:55
Giveaway by Jimmy Snuggerud
STL 5·CHI 3
- 3rd·13:48
Anton Frondell Wrist Shot saved by Joel Hofer
·
STL 5·CHI 3
- 3rd·13:46
Takeaway by Anton Frondell
STL 5·CHI 3
- 3rd·13:35
Anton Frondell faceoff won against Robert Thomas
·
STL 5·CHI 3
- 3rd·13:35
Ilya Mikheyev Goal (18) Wrist Shot, assists: Tyler Bertuzzi (25), Anton Frondell (6)
· ·
STL 5·CHI 3
Team stats
STL
Away
Stat
CHI
Home
28
Shots
34
100.0
PCT
0.0
4
PIM
2
28
Faceoffs W
29
9
Blocks
12
23
Giveaways
15
4
Takeaways
6
Betting line
STL -1.5·O/U 5.5·STL -148/CHI +124
NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts
5 of 25 skaters with EDGE
Louis CrevierCHI · DSHOT MPH102.899
Philip BrobergSTL · DBURSTS15898
Jimmy SnuggerudSTL · RWSHOT MPH95.697
Tyler BertuzziCHI · LWiXG30.396
Connor BedardCHI · CBURSTS19595
NHL EDGE · Possession & xG
Our PBP modelShot-share, expected goals, and goalie goals-saved-above-expected — the control layer the box score can't show.
- Ryan Donato · CHI17:180.5665.1%81.8%17:18 TOI · 0.56 iXG · 65.1% CF · 81.8% xGF
- Jimmy Snuggerud · STL17:420.5245.0%54.3%17:42 TOI · 0.52 iXG · 45.0% CF · 54.3% xGF
- Ilya Mikheyev · CHI18:000.4642.9%35.5%18:00 TOI · 0.46 iXG · 42.9% CF · 35.5% xGF
- Anton Frondell · CHI19:300.4562.8%53.1%19:30 TOI · 0.45 iXG · 62.8% CF · 53.1% xGF
- Tyler Tucker · STL19:120.3958.1%69.3%19:12 TOI · 0.39 iXG · 58.1% CF · 69.3% xGF
- Ryan Greene · CHI15:300.3473.3%67.1%15:30 TOI · 0.34 iXG · 73.3% CF · 67.1% xGF
- Joel Hofer · STL31–3.912-1.3731–3 · .912 SV% · -1.37 GSAx
- Arvid Soderblom · CHI23–5.821-2.7623–5 · .821 SV% · -2.76 GSAx
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
48.5%
ensemble · STL favored
Elo Static
50.2%
P(CHI win)
68%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
50.2%
P(CHI win)
16%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
50.2%
P(CHI win)
16%
weight
Disagreement
0.00 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
100% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
1 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.
The receipts
Closing-line value.
0.00
CLV pp
Open price
+124
Close price
+124
Open no-vig
42.8%
Close no-vig
42.8%
Line barely moved · Graded: miss