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FINAL+2STL
STL

STL

34-33-12

53
CHI

CHI

28-38-14

NHLSat, Apr 11FinalSeriestied 2-2VegasSTL -148

Recap · NHL

t. Louis Blues went into Chicago Blackhawks and beat them, 5–3.

STL -1.5 cashed (won by 2). Total cleared the 5.5 OVER by 2.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

NHL · St. Louis Blues at Chicago Blackhawks · final

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

Forwards

Defensemen

Goalies

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

4

PIM

2

Season series

Series tied 2-2

Oct 16CHICHI8@STLSTL3
Dec 13CHICHI2@STLSTL3
Jan 8STLSTL3@CHICHI7
Apr 11STLSTL5@CHICHI3today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

STL -1.5

Total

5.5

Defensive · -3.0 vs avg

Moneyline

STLSTL-14860%
CHICHI+12445%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

Line movement · 45 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

5.5

0.0 since open

Headlines · top performers

STLSTL
J. Snuggerud

J. Snuggerud

RW

Top skater

1 G · 4 SOG

J. Hofer

J. Hofer

G

Goaltender

31 SV · 3 GA · .912

CHICHI
I. Mikheyev

I. Mikheyev

RW

Top skater

2 G · 3 SOG

A. Soderblom

A. Soderblom

G

Goaltender

23 SV · 5 GA · .821

How it ended

STL beat CHI 5-3. J. Snuggerud led the way — 1 G · 4 SOG.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team123T
STL1315
CHI1113

Period scoring

STL won 1 · CHI won 0

1
1

1

3
1

2

1
1

3

STL
CHI

Play-by-play · 293 plays

period
event
player
  1. 3rd·20:00

    Game End

    STL 5·CHI 3

  2. 3rd·20:00

    End of 3rd Period

    STL 5·CHI 3

  3. 3rd·19:53

    Connor Bedard Wrist Shot Wide Left

    ·

    STL 5·CHI 3

  4. 3rd·19:45

    Ryan Greene shot blocked by Jimmy Snuggerud

    ·

    STL 5·CHI 3

  5. 3rd·19:35

    Jake Neighbours hit Ryan Greene

    ·

    STL 5·CHI 3

  6. 3rd·19:21

    Anton Frondell Snap Shot High and Wide Right

    ·

    STL 5·CHI 3

  7. 3rd·19:19

    Connor Bedard shot blocked by Tyler Bertuzzi

    ·

    STL 5·CHI 3

  8. 3rd·18:59

    Anton Frondell Slap Shot saved by Joel Hofer

    ·

    STL 5·CHI 3

  9. 3rd·18:53

    Tyler Bertuzzi Tip-In Wide Right

    ·

    STL 5·CHI 3

  10. 3rd·18:48

    Connor Bedard Wrist Shot saved by Joel Hofer

    ·

    STL 5·CHI 3

  11. 3rd·18:44

    Ryan Donato faceoff won against Robert Thomas

    ·

    STL 5·CHI 3

  12. 3rd·18:44

    Goalie Stopped

    STL 5·CHI 3

  13. 3rd·18:42

    Ryan Donato Wrist Shot saved by Joel Hofer

    ·

    STL 5·CHI 3

  14. 3rd·18:41

    Ryan Donato Tip-In Wide Right

    ·

    STL 5·CHI 3

  15. 3rd·18:36

    Teuvo Teravainen Slap Shot saved by Joel Hofer

    ·

    STL 5·CHI 3

  16. 3rd·18:06

    Jonatan Berggren shot blocked by Nick Lardis

    ·

    STL 5·CHI 3

  17. 3rd·17:56

    Jonatan Berggren Backhand Wide Right

    STL 5·CHI 3

  18. 3rd·16:48

    Jordan Kyrou shot blocked by Louis Crevier

    ·

    STL 5·CHI 3

  19. 3rd·16:27

    Giveaway by Anton Frondell

    STL 5·CHI 3

  20. 3rd·16:21

    Alex Vlasic shot blocked by Jordan Kyrou

    ·

    STL 5·CHI 3

  21. 3rd·15:58

    Oskar Sundqvist hit Kevin Korchinski

    ·

    STL 5·CHI 3

  22. 3rd·15:10

    Pius Suter faceoff won against Connor Bedard

    ·

    STL 5·CHI 3

  23. 3rd·15:10

    Icing

    STL 5·CHI 3

  24. 3rd·14:52

    Giveaway by Philip Broberg

    STL 5·CHI 3

  25. 3rd·14:35

    Sacha Boisvert Wrist Shot saved by Joel Hofer

    ·

    STL 5·CHI 3

  26. 3rd·13:55

    Giveaway by Jimmy Snuggerud

    STL 5·CHI 3

  27. 3rd·13:48

    Anton Frondell Wrist Shot saved by Joel Hofer

    ·

    STL 5·CHI 3

  28. 3rd·13:46

    Takeaway by Anton Frondell

    STL 5·CHI 3

  29. 3rd·13:35

    Anton Frondell faceoff won against Robert Thomas

    ·

    STL 5·CHI 3

  30. 3rd·13:35

    Ilya Mikheyev Goal (18) Wrist Shot, assists: Tyler Bertuzzi (25), Anton Frondell (6)

    · ·

    STL 5·CHI 3

Team stats

STL

Away

Stat

CHI

Home

28

Shots

34

100.0

PCT

0.0

4

PIM

2

28

Faceoffs W

29

9

Blocks

12

23

Giveaways

15

4

Takeaways

6

Betting line

STL -1.5·O/U 5.5·STL -148/CHI +124

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 25 skaters with EDGE
  • Louis CrevierCHI · D
    SHOT MPH102.899
  • Philip BrobergSTL · D
    BURSTS15898
  • Jimmy SnuggerudSTL · RW
    SHOT MPH95.697
  • Tyler BertuzziCHI · LW
    iXG30.396
  • Connor BedardCHI · C
    BURSTS19595

NHL EDGE · Possession & xG

Our PBP model

Shot-share, expected goals, and goalie goals-saved-above-expected — the control layer the box score can't show.

  • Ryan Donato · CHI0.5665.1%81.8%17:18 TOI · 0.56 iXG · 65.1% CF · 81.8% xGF
  • Jimmy Snuggerud · STL0.5245.0%54.3%17:42 TOI · 0.52 iXG · 45.0% CF · 54.3% xGF
  • Ilya Mikheyev · CHI0.4642.9%35.5%18:00 TOI · 0.46 iXG · 42.9% CF · 35.5% xGF
  • Anton Frondell · CHI0.4562.8%53.1%19:30 TOI · 0.45 iXG · 62.8% CF · 53.1% xGF
  • Tyler Tucker · STL0.3958.1%69.3%19:12 TOI · 0.39 iXG · 58.1% CF · 69.3% xGF
  • Ryan Greene · CHI0.3473.3%67.1%15:30 TOI · 0.34 iXG · 73.3% CF · 67.1% xGF
  • Joel Hofer · STL-1.37313 · .912 SV% · -1.37 GSAx
  • Arvid Soderblom · CHI-2.76235 · .821 SV% · -2.76 GSAx

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

48.5%

ensemble · STL favored

  • Elo Static

    50.2%

    P(CHI win)

    68%

    weight

  • Goalie Starter

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.2%

    P(CHI win)

    16%

    weight

  • Xg Blend

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.2%

    P(CHI win)

    16%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

1 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

+124

Close price

+124

Open no-vig

42.8%

Close no-vig

42.8%

Line barely moved · Graded: miss

Data via ESPN · NHL API