
DET
40-28-8

NYR
32-36-9
Historical comparables
Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates
basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year
Recap · NHL
ew York Rangers held off Detroit Red Wings, 4–1.
NYR +1.5 cashed (DET lost outright). Total stayed UNDER 6.5 by 1.5.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
DET · top performer

Emmitt Finnie
C · #58
0
G
1
A
—
SOG
NYR · top performer

Gabe Perreault
RW · #94
3
G
0
A
—
SOG
NHL · Detroit Red Wings at New York Rangers · final
NHL · Box scoreEDGE


DET
40-28-8
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Goalie | Skating | Goalie | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | GA | SA | SV | SV% |
NYR
32-36-9
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Goalie | Skating | Goalie | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | GA | SA | SV | SV% |
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
9
PIM
13
Season series
NYR win series 2-1
Vegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
DET -1.5
Total
6.5
Defensive · -2.0 vs avg
Moneyline
Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 15 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
1.5
0.0 since open
Total
6.5
0.0 since open
How it ended
NYR beat DET 4-1.
Last play
Game End
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DET | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| NYR | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
Period scoring
DET won 0 · NYR won 3
1
2
3
Play-by-play · 304 plays
- 3rd·20:00
Game End
DET 1·NYR 4
- 3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
DET 1·NYR 4
- 3rd·19:27
Emmitt Finnie faceoff won against Vincent Trocheck
·
DET 1·NYR 4
- 3rd·19:27
David Perron Goal (11) Wrist Shot, assists: Emmitt Finnie (16), James van Riemsdyk (15)
· ·
DET 1·NYR 4
- 3rd·18:46
Marco Kasper Tip-In saved by Jonathan Quick
·
DET 0·NYR 4
- 3rd·18:16
Noah Laba faceoff won against Marco Kasper
·
DET 0·NYR 4
- 3rd·18:16
Gabe Perreault Goal (10) Wrist Shot, assists: J.T. Miller (32), Adam Fox (40)
· ·
DET 0·NYR 4
- 3rd·18:01
Giveaway by J.T. Miller
DET 0·NYR 3
- 3rd·17:58
Alex DeBrincat shot blocked by Vladislav Gavrikov
·
DET 0·NYR 3
- 3rd·17:55
Patrick Kane Wrist Shot saved by Jonathan Quick
·
DET 0·NYR 3
- 3rd·17:44
Dylan Larkin faceoff won against Mika Zibanejad
·
DET 0·NYR 3
- 3rd·17:44
Puck Frozen - Goalie
DET 0·NYR 3
- 3rd·17:42
James van Riemsdyk Deflected saved by Jonathan Quick
·
DET 0·NYR 3
- 3rd·17:39
Dylan Larkin Backhand saved by Jonathan Quick
·
DET 0·NYR 3
- 3rd·17:31
Dylan Larkin faceoff won against J.T. Miller
·
DET 0·NYR 3
- 3rd·17:31
Goalie Stopped
DET 0·NYR 3
- 3rd·17:29
Patrick Kane Wrist Shot saved by Jonathan Quick
·
DET 0·NYR 3
- 3rd·17:17
Dylan Larkin shot blocked by Matthew Robertson
·
DET 0·NYR 3
- 3rd·16:32
James van Riemsdyk Tip-In Wide Left
·
DET 0·NYR 3
- 3rd·15:31
Patrick Kane Wrist Shot Wide Right
·
DET 0·NYR 3
- 3rd·15:22
Will Cuylle Backhand Hit Right Post
DET 0·NYR 3
- 3rd·14:40
Andrew Copp Wrist Shot saved by Jonathan Quick
·
DET 0·NYR 3
- 3rd·14:38
Dylan Larkin Deflected saved by Jonathan Quick
·
DET 0·NYR 3
- 3rd·14:22
Lucas Raymond Slap Shot saved by Jonathan Quick
·
DET 0·NYR 3
- 3rd·14:18
Moritz Seider Wrist Shot saved by Jonathan Quick
·
DET 0·NYR 3
- 3rd·14:15
Dylan Larkin faceoff won against Vincent Trocheck
·
DET 0·NYR 3
- 3rd·14:15
Noah Laba High-sticking against James van Riemsdyk
·
DET 0·NYR 3
- 3rd·14:15
Goalie Stopped
DET 0·NYR 3
- 3rd·14:13
Dylan Larkin Wrist Shot saved by Jonathan Quick
·
DET 0·NYR 3
- 3rd·13:49
Moritz Seider Snap Shot Off Crossbar
·
DET 0·NYR 3
Team stats
DET
Away
Stat
NYR
Home
33
Shots
20
0.0
PCT
50.0
9
PIM
13
22
Faceoffs W
34
15
Blocks
17
10
Giveaways
12
4
Takeaways
4
Betting line
DET -1.5·O/U 6.5·DET -148/NYR +124
NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts
5 of 27 skaters with EDGE
J.T. MillerNYR · LWSHOT MPH102.699+
Moritz SeiderDET · DDIST MI299.899
Alex DeBrincatDET · RWDIST MI252.196
Emmitt FinnieDET · CBURSTS19394
Dylan LarkinDET · CDIST MI243.094
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
50.1%
ensemble · NYR favored
Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(NYR win)
33%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(NYR win)
32%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(NYR win)
34%
weight
Disagreement
0.00 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
100% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
0 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.
The receipts
Closing-line value.
0.00
CLV pp
Open price
+124
Close price
+124
Open no-vig
42.8%
Close no-vig
42.8%
Line barely moved · Graded: hit