NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+3UTA

UTA

40-30-6

VAN

22-46-8

NHLSat, Apr 4FinalSeriesUTA wins series 3-0VegasUTAH -230

Recap · NHL

tah Mammoth went into Vancouver Canucks and beat them, 7–4.

UTA -1.5 cashed (won by 3). Total cleared the 6.5 OVER by 4.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

UTA · top performer

Clayton Keller

RW · #9

4Points

—

SOG

VAN · top performer

Linus Karlsson

C · #94

2Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
M. CarconeLW · #53	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	12:53
L. CooleyC · #92	0	2	1	1	0	1	0	14:45
L. CrouseLW · #67	1	1	2	2	0	1	0	15:09
D. GuentherRW · #11	1	1	1	2	1	0	0	17:03
C. KellerRW · #9	3	1	3	3	0	1	0	17:21
A. KerfootC · #15	0	0	1	0	1	1	0	16:00
L. O'BrienC · #38	1	0	1	1	6	1	0	10:21
J. PeterkaRW · #77	0	0	0	2	0	0	2	14:00
N. SchmaltzC · #8	0	1	2	3	0	1	0	19:44
K. StenlundC · #82	0	0	1	0	0	4	0	15:53
B. TanevLW · #13	0	1	1	1	0	3	0	10:32
K. YamamotoRW · #56	1	0	0	2	2	0	0	11:13

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
I. ColeD · #28	0	1	2	0	1	0	4	17:27
N. DeSimoneD · #57	0	1	1	1	0	1	0	15:54
S. DurziD · #50	0	0	1	2	1	0	4	19:31
J. MarinoD · #6	0	1	2	0	0	0	0	20:02
N. SchmidtD · #88	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	18:45
M. SergachevD · #98	0	1	0	3	0	1	2	25:01

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
K. VejmelkaG · #70	23	4	19	.826	60:00

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
T. BluegerC · #53	0	1	1	2	0	1	2	14:06
B. BoeserRW · #6	0	1	-3	2	1	0	0	19:57
J. DeBruskLW · #74	1	0	0	3	1	0	0	16:36
E. KaneLW · #91	0	0	-2	1	1	0	0	11:52
L. KarlssonC · #94	2	0	0	3	1	0	2	14:04
T. MuellerC · #39	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	9:21
D. O'ConnorLW · #18	0	0	-3	0	0	0	0	15:58
L. OhgrenLW · #92	0	1	-1	1	0	1	0	16:29
E. PetterssonC · #40	0	0	-2	0	0	2	0	18:58
A. RatyC · #54	0	0	0	2	7	0	0	12:04
M. RossiC · #93	1	0	-4	2	0	0	0	17:53
M. SassonC · #63	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	12:08

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Z. BuiumD · #24	0	0	-3	2	1	0	0	20:11
F. HronekD · #17	0	2	-2	3	2	2	2	26:59
P. JosephD · #7	0	1	1	0	3	1	2	13:00
V. ManciniD · #90	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	13:21
M. PetterssonD · #29	0	0	-2	0	2	1	0	21:54
T. WillanderD · #5	0	0	-2	1	1	1	0	19:14

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
N. TolopiloG · #60	24	6	18	.750	58:21

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Season series

UTA wins series 3-0

Dec 6

UTA4@

VAN1

Feb 3

VAN2@

UTA6

Apr 4

UTA7@

VAN4today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

UTA -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

UTA-23070%

VAN+19034%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet UTA -1.5↗SpreadBet UTA -1.5↗

Line movement · 27 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

Headlines · top performers

UTA

C. Keller

Top skaterHat trick

3 G · 1 A · 3 SOG

K. Vejmelka

Goaltender

19 SV · 4 GA · .826

VAN

L. Karlsson

Top skater

2 G · 3 SOG

N. Tolopilo

Goaltender

18 SV · 6 GA · .750

How it ended

UTA beat VAN 7-4. C. Keller led the way — 3 G · 1 A · 3 SOG.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	T
UTA	2	2	3	7
VAN	1	1	2	4

Period scoring

UTA won 3 · VAN won 0

UTA

VAN

Play-by-play · 293 plays

period

event

player

3rd·20:00
Game End
UTA 7·VAN 4
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
UTA 7·VAN 4
3rd·19:52
Aatu Räty hit Kevin Stenlund
·
UTA 7·VAN 4
3rd·19:47
Ty Mueller Wrist Shot Wide Left
·
UTA 7·VAN 4
3rd·19:40
Liam Ohgren Tip-In saved by Karel Vejmelka
·
UTA 7·VAN 4
3rd·19:20
Kevin Stenlund faceoff won against Aatu Räty
·
UTA 7·VAN 4
3rd·19:20
Hand Pass
UTA 7·VAN 4
3rd·19:07
Kevin Stenlund faceoff won against Ty Mueller
·
UTA 7·VAN 4
3rd·19:07
Clayton Keller Goal (25) Wrist Shot, assists: Nick Schmaltz (40), Ian Cole (19)
· ·
UTA 7·VAN 4
3rd·18:48
Giveaway by Ian Cole
UTA 6·VAN 4
3rd·18:33
Filip Hronek shot blocked by Nick Schmaltz
·
UTA 6·VAN 4
3rd·17:49
Jake DeBrusk Tip-In saved by Karel Vejmelka
·
UTA 6·VAN 4
3rd·17:45
Elias Pettersson shot blocked by Kevin Stenlund
· ·
UTA 6·VAN 4
3rd·16:37
Logan Cooley faceoff won against Aatu Räty
·
UTA 6·VAN 4
3rd·16:37
Goalie Stopped
UTA 6·VAN 4
3rd·16:35
Nick Schmaltz Wrist Shot saved by Nikita Tolopilo
·
UTA 6·VAN 4
3rd·15:52
Nick Schmaltz faceoff won against Drew O'Connor
·
UTA 6·VAN 4
3rd·15:52
JJ Peterka Hooking against Elias Pettersson
· ·
UTA 6·VAN 4
3rd·15:22
Alexander Kerfoot faceoff won against Elias Pettersson
· ·
UTA 6·VAN 4
3rd·15:22
Goalie Stopped
UTA 6·VAN 4
3rd·15:19
Aatu Räty Snap Shot saved by Karel Vejmelka
·
UTA 6·VAN 4
3rd·15:14
Marcus Pettersson shot blocked by Mikhail Sergachev
· ·
UTA 6·VAN 4
3rd·15:06
Aatu Räty faceoff won against Logan Cooley
·
UTA 6·VAN 4
3rd·15:06
Off-side
UTA 6·VAN 4
3rd·14:59
Aatu Räty faceoff won against Nick Schmaltz
·
UTA 6·VAN 4
3rd·14:59
TV Timeout
UTA 6·VAN 4
3rd·14:59
Teddy Blueger Slashing against Michael Carcone
·
UTA 6·VAN 4
3rd·14:43
Brock Boeser hit Sean Durzi
·
UTA 6·VAN 4
3rd·14:38
Michael Carcone shot blocked by Liam Ohgren
·
UTA 6·VAN 4
3rd·14:29
Sean Durzi Snap Shot Wide Left
·
UTA 6·VAN 4

Team stats

UTA

Away

Stat

VAN

Home

Shots

33.3

PCT

50.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Betting line

UTA -1.5·O/U 6.5·UTA -230/VAN +190

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 13 skaters with EDGE

Brock BoeserVAN · RW
SHOT MPH96.498
Jake DeBruskVAN · LW
iXG34.998
Filip HronekVAN · D
DIST MI292.398
Pierre-Olivier JosephVAN · D
SKATE MPH23.092
Liam OhgrenVAN · LW
SHOT MPH91.990

NHL EDGE · Possession & xG

Our PBP model

Shot-share, expected goals, and goalie goals-saved-above-expected — the control layer the box score can't show.

Skater · drove playTOIiXGCF%xGF%

Jake DeBrusk · VAN17:060.7466.7%66.9%17:06 TOI · 0.74 iXG · 66.7% CF · 66.9% xGF
Kailer Yamamoto · UTA11:300.3744.4%38.7%11:30 TOI · 0.37 iXG · 44.4% CF · 38.7% xGF
Linus Karlsson · VAN14:180.2748.0%46.4%14:18 TOI · 0.27 iXG · 48.0% CF · 46.4% xGF
Nick Schmaltz · UTA19:480.2551.7%60.9%19:48 TOI · 0.25 iXG · 51.7% CF · 60.9% xGF
Clayton Keller · UTA17:180.2551.9%58.1%17:18 TOI · 0.25 iXG · 51.9% CF · 58.1% xGF
Dylan Guenther · UTA17:060.2051.9%47.1%17:06 TOI · 0.20 iXG · 51.9% CF · 47.1% xGF

GoalieSV–GASV%GSAx

Karel Vejmelka · UTA19–4.826-2.4919–4 · .826 SV% · -2.49 GSAx
Nikita Tolopilo · VAN18–6.750-4.4318–6 · .750 SV% · -4.43 GSAx

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

25.1%

ensemble · UTA favored

Elo Static
39.4%
P(VAN win)
68%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
39.4%
P(VAN win)
16%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
39.4%
P(VAN win)
16%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

1 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

+190

Close price

+190

Open no-vig

33.1%

Close no-vig

33.1%

Line barely moved · Graded: miss