Free during beta —to track favorites + alerts
FINAL+1CAR
NYI

NYI

42-31-5

34
CAR

CAR

49-21-6

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

NHLSat, Apr 4FinalSeriesCAR leads series 2-0VegasCAR -258

Recap · NHL

arolina Hurricanes held off New York Islanders, 4–3.

NYI +1.5 cashed (CAR won by 1). Total cleared the 6.5 OVER by 0.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

NYI · top performer

NYI
Mathew Barzal

Mathew Barzal

C · #13

1Points

0

G

1

A

—

SOG

CAR · top performer

CAR
Seth Jarvis

Seth Jarvis

C · #24

3Points

2

G

1

A

—

SOG

NHL · New York Islanders at Carolina Hurricanes · final

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final
3
4
NYI42-31-5CAR49-21-6
NYI

NYI

42-31-5

3
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%
CAR

CAR

49-21-6

4
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

8

PIM

4

Season series

CAR leads series 2-0

Oct 30NYINYI2@CARCAR6
Apr 4NYINYI3@CARCAR4today
Apr 14CARCAR2@NYINYI1

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

CAR -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

NYINYI+21032%
CARCAR-25872%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet CAR -1.5↗SpreadBet CAR -1.5↗

Line movement · 15 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

CAR beat NYI 4-3.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team123T
NYI1113
CAR1214

Period scoring

NYI won 0 · CAR won 1

1
1

1

1
2

2

1
1

3

NYI
CAR

Play-by-play · 303 plays

period
event
player
  1. 3rd·20:00

    Game End

    NYI 3·CAR 4

  2. 3rd·20:00

    End of 3rd Period

    NYI 3·CAR 4

  3. 3rd·19:50

    Seth Jarvis Wrist Shot Wide Left

    NYI 3·CAR 4

  4. 3rd·19:43

    Bo Horvat shot blocked by Jaccob Slavin

    ·

    NYI 3·CAR 4

  5. 3rd·19:36

    Matthew Schaefer Snap Shot saved by Brandon Bussi

    ·

    NYI 3·CAR 4

  6. 3rd·19:33

    Anders Lee Wrist Shot saved by Brandon Bussi

    ·

    NYI 3·CAR 4

  7. 3rd·19:11

    Mathew Barzal shot blocked by Jordan Staal

    ·

    NYI 3·CAR 4

  8. 3rd·18:47

    Jordan Staal faceoff won against Jean-Gabriel Pageau

    ·

    NYI 3·CAR 4

  9. 3rd·18:47

    Icing

    NYI 3·CAR 4

  10. 3rd·18:23

    Bo Horvat faceoff won against Jordan Staal

    ·

    NYI 3·CAR 4

  11. 3rd·18:23

    Anders Lee Goal (19) Tip-In, assists: Matthew Schaefer (36), Mathew Barzal (51)

    · ·

    NYI 3·CAR 4

  12. 3rd·18:16

    Jean-Gabriel Pageau faceoff won against Jordan Staal

    ·

    NYI 2·CAR 4

  13. 3rd·18:16

    Puck in Netting

    NYI 2·CAR 4

  14. 3rd·18:06

    Giveaway by Andrei Svechnikov

    NYI 2·CAR 4

  15. 3rd·18:04

    Jean-Gabriel Pageau hit Sean Walker

    ·

    NYI 2·CAR 4

  16. 3rd·17:42

    Jean-Gabriel Pageau faceoff won against Sebastian Aho

    ·

    NYI 2·CAR 4

  17. 3rd·17:42

    Icing

    NYI 2·CAR 4

  18. 3rd·17:33

    Mathew Barzal Wrist Shot saved by Brandon Bussi

    ·

    NYI 2·CAR 4

  19. 3rd·17:28

    Bo Horvat Snap Shot High and Wide Right

    ·

    NYI 2·CAR 4

  20. 3rd·17:10

    Mathew Barzal Wrist Shot saved by Brandon Bussi

    ·

    NYI 2·CAR 4

  21. 3rd·17:08

    Bo Horvat faceoff won against Jordan Staal

    ·

    NYI 2·CAR 4

  22. 3rd·17:08

    Icing

    NYI 2·CAR 4

  23. 3rd·16:23

    Jordan Martinook shot blocked by Mathew Barzal

    ·

    NYI 2·CAR 4

  24. 3rd·16:19

    Jordan Staal faceoff won against Bo Horvat

    ·

    NYI 2·CAR 4

  25. 3rd·16:19

    Goalie Stopped

    NYI 2·CAR 4

  26. 3rd·16:17

    Jackson Blake Snap Shot saved by Ilya Sorokin

    ·

    NYI 2·CAR 4

  27. 3rd·16:12

    Takeaway by Logan Stankoven

    NYI 2·CAR 4

  28. 3rd·15:29

    Scott Mayfield Wrist Shot Above Crossbar

    ·

    NYI 2·CAR 4

  29. 3rd·15:11

    Mark Jankowski Backhand Wide Left

    ·

    NYI 2·CAR 4

  30. 3rd·14:33

    Jordan Staal Snap Shot saved by Ilya Sorokin

    ·

    NYI 2·CAR 4

Team stats

NYI

Away

Stat

CAR

Home

16

Shots

40

0.0

PCT

0.0

8

PIM

4

30

Faceoffs W

27

19

Blocks

7

15

Giveaways

6

4

Takeaways

5

Betting line

CAR -1.5·O/U 6.5·NYI +210/CAR -258

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 27 skaters with EDGE
  • Matthew SchaeferNYI · D
    BURSTS26999+
  • Ryan PulockNYI · D
    SHOT MPH103.099+
  • Mathew BarzalNYI · C
    DIST MI274.399
  • Emil HeinemanNYI · LW
    SHOT MPH97.399
  • Sean WalkerCAR · D
    SKATE MPH22.998

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.2%

ensemble · CAR favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(CAR win)

    33%

    weight

  • Goalie Starter

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(CAR win)

    32%

    weight

  • Xg Blend

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(CAR win)

    34%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

+210

Close price

+210

Open no-vig

30.9%

Close no-vig

30.9%

Line barely moved · Graded: miss

Data via ESPN · NHL API · hockeyR