NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+1WPG

WPG

33-31-12

CBJ

38-27-12

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

NHLSat, Apr 4FinalSeriesWPG wins series 2-0VegasCBJ -148

Recap · NHL

innipeg Jets went into Columbus Blue Jackets and beat them, 2–1.

WPG +1.5 cashed (CBJ lost outright). Total stayed UNDER 5.5 by 2.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

WPG · top performer

Kyle Connor

LW · #81

2Points

—

SOG

CBJ · top performer

Kirill Marchenko

RW · #86

1Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

WPG33-31-12

CBJ38-27-12

WPG33-31-12CBJ38-27-12

WPG

33-31-12

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Goalie	Skating	Goalie
Player	GA	SA	SV	SV%

CBJ

38-27-12

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Goalie	Skating	Goalie
Player	GA	SA	SV	SV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Season series

WPG wins series 2-0

Nov 19

CBJ2@

WPG5

Apr 4

WPG2@

CBJ1today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

CBJ -1.5

Total

5.5

Defensive · -3.0 vs avg

Moneyline

WPG+12445%

CBJ-14860%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet CBJ -1.5↗SpreadBet CBJ -1.5↗

Line movement · 13 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

5.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

WPG beat CBJ 2-1.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	T
WPG	0	1	1	2
CBJ	1	0	0	1

Period scoring

WPG won 2 · CBJ won 1

WPG

CBJ

Play-by-play · 257 plays

period

event

player

3rd·20:00
Game End
WPG 2·CBJ 1
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
WPG 2·CBJ 1
3rd·19:54
Adam Fantilli Snap Shot saved by Connor Hellebuyck
· ·
WPG 2·CBJ 1
3rd·19:51
Boone Jenner faceoff won against Adam Lowry
·
WPG 2·CBJ 1
3rd·19:51
Timeout - Home
WPG 2·CBJ 1
3rd·19:51
Mark Scheifele Tripping against Kirill Marchenko
·
WPG 2·CBJ 1
3rd·19:25
Charlie Coyle Snap Shot saved by Connor Hellebuyck
· ·
WPG 2·CBJ 1
3rd·19:19
Giveaway by Mark Scheifele
WPG 2·CBJ 1
3rd·19:11
Zach Werenski Slap Shot Above Crossbar
·
WPG 2·CBJ 1
3rd·19:04
Mason Marchment shot blocked by Alex Iafallo
·
WPG 2·CBJ 1
3rd·17:01
Zach Aston-Reese hit Dylan DeMelo
·
WPG 2·CBJ 1
3rd·16:38
Giveaway by Josh Morrissey
WPG 2·CBJ 1
3rd·15:44
Denton Mateychuk Wrist Shot Wide Left
·
WPG 2·CBJ 1
3rd·15:40
Mason Marchment shot blocked by Cole Koepke
·
WPG 2·CBJ 1
3rd·15:37
Mason Marchment Snap Shot saved by Connor Hellebuyck
· ·
WPG 2·CBJ 1
3rd·15:35
Zach Werenski shot blocked by Mason Marchment
·
WPG 2·CBJ 1
3rd·15:24
Kirill Marchenko Snap Shot High and Wide Right
·
WPG 2·CBJ 1
3rd·15:09
Adam Fantilli faceoff won against Morgan Barron
·
WPG 2·CBJ 1
3rd·15:09
Off-side
WPG 2·CBJ 1
3rd·15:01
Takeaway by Dylan DeMelo
WPG 2·CBJ 1
3rd·14:34
Cole Perfetti Tip-In saved by Jet Greaves
·
WPG 2·CBJ 1
3rd·13:58
Charlie Coyle faceoff won against Mark Scheifele
·
WPG 2·CBJ 1
3rd·13:58
Goalie Stopped
WPG 2·CBJ 1
3rd·13:56
Neal Pionk Wrist Shot saved by Jet Greaves
·
WPG 2·CBJ 1
3rd·13:37
Mark Scheifele Tip-In Wide Right
·
WPG 2·CBJ 1
3rd·13:30
Giveaway by Boone Jenner
WPG 2·CBJ 1
3rd·13:19
Cole Koepke shot blocked by Boone Jenner
·
WPG 2·CBJ 1
3rd·13:08
Cole Koepke Snap Shot saved by Jet Greaves
·
WPG 2·CBJ 1
3rd·12:39
Boone Jenner Snap Shot Wide Left
·
WPG 2·CBJ 1
3rd·12:35
Boone Jenner faceoff won against Jonathan Toews
·
WPG 2·CBJ 1

Team stats

WPG

Away

Stat

CBJ

Home

Shots

0.0

PCT

0.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Betting line

CBJ -1.5·O/U 5.5·WPG +124/CBJ -148

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 25 skaters with EDGE

Ivan ProvorovCBJ · D
DIST MI299.999+
Kyle ConnorWPG · LW
DIST MI293.099+
Cole KoepkeWPG · LW
SKATE MPH24.299
Kirill MarchenkoCBJ · RW
BURSTS30199
Zach WerenskiCBJ · D
DIST MI289.198

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · CBJ favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CBJ win)
33%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CBJ win)
32%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CBJ win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

-148

Close price

-148

Open no-vig

57.2%

Close no-vig

57.2%

Line barely moved · Graded: miss

Player projections

CBJ vs WPG.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

141

projections · 120 high confidence

Shots on goal

Kyle ConnorWPG
3.7± 1.8high
Zach WerenskiCBJ
3.4± 2.5high
Kirill MarchenkoCBJ
2.8± 1.6high

Goals

Kyle ConnorWPG
0.6± 0.8high
Adam FantilliCBJ
0.3± 0.5high
Boone JennerCBJ
0.3± 0.5high

Points

Mark ScheifeleWPG
1.4± 1.2high
Kyle ConnorWPG
1.0± 0.9high
Gabriel VilardiWPG
0.9± 1.0high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands