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FINAL+2CHI
CHI

CHI

28-35-14

42
SEA

SEA

32-32-11

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

NHLSat, Apr 4FinalSeriesSEA wins series 2-1VegasSEA -170

Recap · NHL

hicago Blackhawks went into Seattle Kraken and beat them, 4–2.

CHI +1.5 cashed (SEA lost outright). Total stayed UNDER 6.5 by 0.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

CHI · top performer

CHI
Connor Bedard

Connor Bedard

C · #98

2Points

0

G

2

A

—

SOG

SEA · top performer

SEA
Jaden Schwartz

Jaden Schwartz

C · #17

2Points

1

G

1

A

—

SOG

NHL · Chicago Blackhawks at Seattle Kraken · final

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final
4
2
CHI28-35-14SEA32-32-11
CHI

CHI

28-35-14

4
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%
SEA

SEA

32-32-11

2
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

4

PIM

6

Season series

SEA wins series 2-1

Nov 4CHICHI1@SEASEA3
Nov 21SEASEA3@CHICHI2
Apr 5CHICHI4@SEASEA2today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

SEA -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

CHICHI+14241%
SEASEA-17063%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet SEA -1.5↗SpreadBet SEA -1.5↗

Line movement · 10 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

CHI beat SEA 4-2.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team123T
CHI0224
SEA0022

Period scoring

CHI won 1 · SEA won 0

0
0

1

2
0

2

2
2

3

CHI
SEA

Play-by-play · 324 plays

period
event
player
  1. 3rd·20:00

    Game End

    CHI 4·SEA 2

  2. 3rd·20:00

    End of 3rd Period

    CHI 4·SEA 2

  3. 3rd·19:55

    Ryker Evans Wrist Shot Wide Left

    ·

    CHI 4·SEA 2

  4. 3rd·19:44

    Ethan Del Mastro shot blocked by Brandon Montour

    ·

    CHI 4·SEA 2

  5. 3rd·19:31

    Kaapo Kakko shot blocked by Alex Vlasic

    ·

    CHI 4·SEA 2

  6. 3rd·19:08

    Takeaway by Kaapo Kakko

    CHI 4·SEA 2

  7. 3rd·19:06

    Alex Vlasic shot blocked by Frank Nazar

    ·

    CHI 4·SEA 2

  8. 3rd·19:03

    Brandon Montour Slap Shot saved by Arvid Soderblom

    ·

    CHI 4·SEA 2

  9. 3rd·18:58

    Frank Nazar hit Kaapo Kakko

    ·

    CHI 4·SEA 2

  10. 3rd·18:48

    Matty Beniers faceoff won against Frank Nazar

    ·

    CHI 4·SEA 2

  11. 3rd·18:48

    Ilya Mikheyev Goal (16) Wrist Shot, assists: Wyatt Kaiser (10), Connor Bedard (41)

    · ·

    CHI 4·SEA 2

  12. 3rd·18:41

    Connor Bedard faceoff won against Chandler Stephenson

    ·

    CHI 3·SEA 2

  13. 3rd·18:41

    Icing

    CHI 3·SEA 2

  14. 3rd·18:25

    Connor Bedard faceoff won against Chandler Stephenson

    ·

    CHI 3·SEA 2

  15. 3rd·18:25

    Off-side

    CHI 3·SEA 2

  16. 3rd·18:11

    Takeaway by Bobby McMann

    CHI 3·SEA 2

  17. 3rd·18:07

    Connor Bedard faceoff won against Chandler Stephenson

    ·

    CHI 3·SEA 2

  18. 3rd·18:07

    Off-side

    CHI 3·SEA 2

  19. 3rd·17:39

    Eeli Tolvanen hit Frank Nazar

    ·

    CHI 3·SEA 2

  20. 3rd·17:01

    Frank Nazar faceoff won against Matty Beniers

    ·

    CHI 3·SEA 2

  21. 3rd·17:01

    Puck Frozen - Goalie

    CHI 3·SEA 2

  22. 3rd·16:57

    Ryan Donato shot blocked by Adam Larsson

    ·

    CHI 3·SEA 2

  23. 3rd·15:54

    Anton Frondell hit Jordan Eberle

    ·

    CHI 3·SEA 2

  24. 3rd·15:50

    Brandon Montour Slap Shot Wide Right

    ·

    CHI 3·SEA 2

  25. 3rd·15:47

    Landon Slaggert hit Matty Beniers

    ·

    CHI 3·SEA 2

  26. 3rd·15:17

    Matty Beniers faceoff won against Anton Frondell

    ·

    CHI 3·SEA 2

  27. 3rd·15:17

    Icing

    CHI 3·SEA 2

  28. 3rd·15:09

    Matty Beniers shot blocked by Wyatt Kaiser

    ·

    CHI 3·SEA 2

  29. 3rd·14:18

    Connor Bedard faceoff won against Chandler Stephenson

    ·

    CHI 3·SEA 2

  30. 3rd·14:18

    Kaapo Kakko Goal (13) Snap Shot, assists: Berkly Catton (10), Jaden Schwartz (12)

    · ·

    CHI 3·SEA 2

Team stats

CHI

Away

Stat

SEA

Home

31

Shots

27

33.3

PCT

0.0

4

PIM

6

29

Faceoffs W

36

20

Blocks

12

16

Giveaways

13

6

Takeaways

6

Betting line

SEA -1.5·O/U 6.5·CHI +142/SEA -170

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 27 skaters with EDGE
  • Louis CrevierCHI · D
    SHOT MPH102.899
  • Bobby McMannSEA · C
    SKATE MPH24.399
  • Brandon MontourSEA · D
    SHOT MPH101.698
  • Matty BeniersSEA · C
    DIST MI267.798
  • Jared McCannSEA · LW
    SHOT MPH94.496

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.6%

ensemble · SEA favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(SEA win)

    33%

    weight

  • Goalie Starter

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(SEA win)

    32%

    weight

  • Xg Blend

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(SEA win)

    34%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

-170

Close price

-170

Open no-vig

60.4%

Close no-vig

60.4%

Line barely moved · Graded: miss

Data via ESPN · NHL API · hockeyR