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CLE#4 · Eastern Conference

Cleveland Cavaliers

52-30 (63.4%) · W1 · L10 7-3

Model verdict

Where they stand

The verdict · Elo rating

#30 of 30

Elo rating 1429.0 · as of 2026-06-14 · nba_team_ratings

Rank within the full 30-team population on a published metric — no invented composites. How we grade

Final 5 · 2026

2026-05-17 → 2026-05-25 · Full ATS profile →

Model picks on CLE

Below the 30-pick gate (n=6)

Team efficiency

The possession economy

ORtg

117.4

#5 of 30

DRtg

112.5

#15 of 30

Net rating

+4.9

#6 of 30

Pace

102.6

#10 of 30

2025-26 regular season · ESPN advanced team statistics (per 100 possessions; pace = possessions / 48) · DRtg derived as points allowed (ESPN standings) ÷ pace × 100

Stat leaders

Who carries them

Points per game

1Donovan Mitchell70 G27.9
2James Harden26 G20.5
3Evan Mobley65 G18.2
4Jarrett Allen56 G15.4
5Jaylon Tyson66 G13.2

Rebounds per game

1Evan Mobley65 G9.0
2Jarrett Allen56 G8.5
3Max Strus12 G5.4
4Jaylon Tyson66 G5.1
5James Harden26 G4.8

Assists per game

True shooting %

1Jarrett Allen56 G66.9%
2Sam Merrill52 G64.4%
3James Harden26 G63.9%
4Keon Ellis29 G62.9%
5Donovan Mitchell70 G61.3%

Effective FG %

1Jarrett Allen56 G63.9%
2Sam Merrill52 G62.4%
3Keon Ellis29 G60.0%
4Jaylon Tyson66 G59.2%
5Evan Mobley65 G58.2%

Usage %

1Donovan Mitchell70 G32.7%
2James Harden26 G25.7%
3Evan Mobley65 G22.8%
4Dennis Schroder30 G20.3%
5Jarrett Allen56 G19.7%

2025-26 regular season · ESPN per-athlete season statistics (team stint; same API family as the efficiency strip) · counting boards min 10 GP · TS% / eFG% / USG% min 20 GP & 15.0 MPG · current roster only

Shooting profile

How they shoot

Shooting profile · 2026

Splits vs league

100 games · hoopR

Effective FG%

55.6%vs 54.4%+1.2

Field goal %

47.7%vs 47.0%+0.8

Three-point %

35.4%vs 0.0%+35.4

Free throw %

76.9%vs 78.1%-1.2

PPG

117.4

APG

27.1

TO/G

13.8

Synergy identity

How they generate offense

2025-26 Synergy · percentile vs NBA

Spot-Up1.07 PPP69th
Transition1.16 PPP69th
P&R Ball-Handler0.90 PPP72nd
Cut1.30 PPP48th
P&R Roll Man1.07 PPP28th
Isolation0.99 PPP90th
Putbacks1.17 PPP69th
Handoff0.93 PPP45th

Defense · play-type efficiency allowed

Spot-Up1.08 PPP17th
Transition1.11 PPP79th
P&R Ball-Handler0.85 PPP83rd
Isolation0.90 PPP69th
Cut1.26 PPP79th
P&R Roll Man1.11 PPP48th

Strong p&r ball-handler — 72nd pct, 0.90 PPP. P&R Roll Man (28th pct) the soft spot.

Lineups & on/off

Best units, biggest lifts

Net rating per 100

Best 5-man units

min 150 off poss

1Mitchell · Allen · Wade · Mobley · Tyson163 off poss · 80m+16.5
2Mitchell · Hunter · Garland · Mobley · Tyson186 off poss · 89m-14.4

Team eFG% on − off

Shooting lift

1Donovan Mitchell+3.4
2Jarrett Allen+3.2
3Sam Merrill+2.6
4Max Strus+2.3

Quarter identity

When they score

Pattern by quarter

12 games · for vs against

ForAgainst

104.8 avg / 108.8 allowed

Shot diet

Where the shots come from

They take 2.8% more of their shots from above the break than the league average.

3PT attempt rate 44.3% · lg 41.4%

eFG% 56.0% · lg 54.5%

Rim

28.5% of FGA · lg 28.4% (+0.1pp)

FG 68.3% · lg 67.0% · +1.3pp

Paint (non-RA)

19.8% of FGA · lg 20.1% (-0.3pp)

FG 47.7% · lg 44.4% · +3.3pp

Mid-range

7.4% of FGA · lg 10.1% (-2.7pp)

FG 45.0% · lg 41.6% · +3.4pp

Corner 3

10.8% of FGA · lg 10.7% (+0.1pp)

FG 36.7% · lg 38.5% · -1.8pp

Above the break 3

33.5% of FGA · lg 30.7% (+2.8pp)

FG 35.4% · lg 35.0% · +0.4pp

Bar = share of team FGA · tick = league share · 2025-26 season · nba_shots · NBA Stats play-by-play · n=8,206 team FGA of 229,273 league-wide · backcourt heaves excluded

Scoring identity