HomeScoresLiveTonight's picksPlay
MLBBot 7
PHI 4@BAL 4
-2.9pppeak
MLBTop 8
STL 1@TOR 1
+5.3pppeak
MLBTop 1
KC 0@COL 0
-2.0ppmedium
MLBTop 8
ARI 0@CLE 1
+32.1ppmedium
MLBBot 7
MIA 5@NYM 2
-48.5pplow
MLBEnd 3
TEX 0@HOU 3
+40.1pplow
MLBBot 8
CHW 6@TB 1
-62.0pplow
MLBBot 7
WSH 1@ATL 6
+40.8pplow
WNBA3:53 - 4th
DAL 68@WSH 69
-0.4pppeak
WNBA9:05 - 4th
SEA 59@ATL 71
+9.3pplow
TONIGHTGraded picks 0-2 so far (MLB 0-2)
LAST NIGHT · MLBS. Burke (CHW): 6.0 IP · 10 K in a win over NYY — Standout Index 91
LAST NIGHT · WNBAA. Wilson (LV): 33 PTS · 10 REB · 6 AST in a win over NY
LAST NIGHT · MLBN. Cameron (KC): 8.0 IP · 7 K against MIN
TRANSACTION · MLBMariners: Placed SS J.P (Jul 31)
TRANSACTION · MLBAngels: Selected the contract of RHP Luke Murphy from Rocket City (SL) (Jul 31)
TRANSACTION · MLBTigers: Recalled LHP Enmanuel De Jesus from Toledo (IL) (Jul 31)
MLBBot 7
PHI 4@BAL 4
-2.9pppeak
MLBTop 8
STL 1@TOR 1
+5.3pppeak
MLBTop 1
KC 0@COL 0
-2.0ppmedium
MLBTop 8
ARI 0@CLE 1
+32.1ppmedium
MLBBot 7
MIA 5@NYM 2
-48.5pplow
MLBEnd 3
TEX 0@HOU 3
+40.1pplow
MLBBot 8
CHW 6@TB 1
-62.0pplow
MLBBot 7
WSH 1@ATL 6
+40.8pplow
WNBA3:53 - 4th
DAL 68@WSH 69
-0.4pppeak
WNBA9:05 - 4th
SEA 59@ATL 71
+9.3pplow
TONIGHTGraded picks 0-2 so far (MLB 0-2)
LAST NIGHT · MLBS. Burke (CHW): 6.0 IP · 10 K in a win over NYY — Standout Index 91
LAST NIGHT · WNBAA. Wilson (LV): 33 PTS · 10 REB · 6 AST in a win over NY
LAST NIGHT · MLBN. Cameron (KC): 8.0 IP · 7 K against MIN
TRANSACTION · MLBMariners: Placed SS J.P (Jul 31)
TRANSACTION · MLBAngels: Selected the contract of RHP Luke Murphy from Rocket City (SL) (Jul 31)
TRANSACTION · MLBTigers: Recalled LHP Enmanuel De Jesus from Toledo (IL) (Jul 31)
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Cleveland Cavaliers
CLE#4 · Eastern Conference

Cleveland Cavaliers

52-30 (63.4%) · W1 · L10 7-3

Model verdict

Where they stand

The verdict · Elo rating

#30 of 30

Elo rating 1429.0 · as of 2026-06-14 · nba_team_ratings

Rank within the full 30-team population on a published metric — no invented composites. How we grade

Final 5 · 2026

2026-05-17 → 2026-05-25 · Full ATS profile →

WWon by 31 at DET, 125-94, 2026-05-17. Covered the spread (closing line).
 
LLost by 11 at NY, 104-115, 2026-05-19. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
 
LLost by 16 at NY, 93-109, 2026-05-21. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
 
LLost by 13 vs NY, 108-121, 2026-05-23. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
 
LLost by 37 vs NY, 93-130, 2026-05-25. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
 

Team efficiency

The possession economy

ORtg

117.4

#5 of 30

DRtg

112.5

#15 of 30

Net rating

+4.9

#6 of 30

Pace

102.6

#10 of 30

2025-26 regular season · ESPN advanced team statistics (per 100 possessions; pace = possessions / 48) · DRtg derived as points allowed (ESPN standings) ÷ pace × 100

Stat leaders

Who carries them

Points per game

  1. 1Donovan Mitchell70 G27.9
  2. 2James Harden26 G20.5
  3. 3Evan Mobley65 G18.2
  4. 4Jarrett Allen56 G15.4
  5. 5Jaylon Tyson66 G13.2

Rebounds per game

  1. 1Evan Mobley65 G9.0
  2. 2Jarrett Allen56 G8.5
  3. 3Max Strus12 G5.4
  4. 4Jaylon Tyson66 G5.1
  5. 5James Harden26 G4.8

Assists per game

  1. 1James Harden26 G7.7
  2. 2Donovan Mitchell70 G5.7
  3. 3Dennis Schroder30 G4.3
  4. 4Evan Mobley65 G3.6
  5. 5Craig Porter Jr.64 G3.2

True shooting %

  1. 1Jarrett Allen56 G66.9%
  2. 2Sam Merrill52 G64.4%
  3. 3James Harden26 G63.9%
  4. 4Donovan Mitchell70 G61.3%
  5. 5Jaylon Tyson66 G60.8%

Effective FG %

  1. 1Jarrett Allen56 G63.9%
  2. 2Sam Merrill52 G62.4%
  3. 3Jaylon Tyson66 G59.2%
  4. 4Evan Mobley65 G58.2%
  5. 5James Harden26 G58.0%

Usage %

  1. 1Donovan Mitchell70 G32.7%
  2. 2James Harden26 G25.7%
  3. 3Evan Mobley65 G22.8%
  4. 4Dennis Schroder30 G20.3%
  5. 5Jarrett Allen56 G19.7%

2025-26 regular season · ESPN per-athlete season statistics (team stint; same API family as the efficiency strip) · counting boards min 10 GP · TS% / eFG% / USG% min 20 GP & 15.0 MPG · current roster only

Synergy identity

How they generate offense

2025-26 Synergy · percentile vs NBA

  1. Spot-Up1.07 PPP69th
  2. Transition1.16 PPP69th
  3. P&R Ball-Handler0.90 PPP72nd
  4. Cut1.30 PPP48th
  5. P&R Roll Man1.07 PPP28th
  6. Isolation0.99 PPP90th
  7. Putbacks1.17 PPP69th
  8. Handoff0.93 PPP45th

Defense · play-type efficiency allowed

  1. Spot-Up1.08 PPP17th
  2. Transition1.11 PPP79th
  3. P&R Ball-Handler0.85 PPP83rd
  4. Isolation0.90 PPP69th
  5. Cut1.26 PPP79th
  6. P&R Roll Man1.11 PPP48th

▸Strong p&r ball-handler — 72nd pct, 0.90 PPP. P&R Roll Man (28th pct) the soft spot.

Lineups & on/off

Best units, biggest lifts

Net rating per 100

Best 5-man units

min 150 off poss

  1. 1Mitchell · Allen · Wade · Mobley · Tyson163 off poss · 80m+16.5
  2. 2Mitchell · Hunter · Garland · Mobley · Tyson186 off poss · 89m-14.4

Team eFG% on − off

Shooting lift

  1. 1Donovan Mitchell+3.4
  2. 2Jarrett Allen+3.2
  3. 3Sam Merrill+2.6
  4. 4Max Strus+2.3

Quarter identity

When they score

Pattern by quarter

12 games · for vs against

7.414.822.129.5Q1 · 24.58 for / 28.50 against · margin -3.92Q1Q2 · 27.17 for / 26.00 against · margin +1.17Q2Q3 · 29.08 for / 26.17 against · margin +2.92PEAKQ3Q4 · 23.92 for / 28.08 against · margin -4.17Q4QUARTERS · LAST 12 GAMES
ForAgainst

104.8 avg / 108.8 allowed

Shot diet

Where the shots come from

They take 3.1% more of their shots from above the break than the league average.

3PT attempt rate 44.6% · lg 41.4%

eFG% 55.6% · lg 54.4%

Rim

28.3% of FGA · lg 28.4% (-0.1pp)

FG 67.9% · lg 66.9% · +1.0pp

Paint (non-RA)

19.8% of FGA · lg 20.0% (-0.2pp)

FG 47.4% · lg 44.3% · +3.1pp

Mid-range

7.4% of FGA · lg 10.1% (-2.7pp)

FG 45.7% · lg 41.6% · +4.1pp

Corner 3

10.7% of FGA · lg 10.8% (-0.1pp)

FG 37.2% · lg 38.6% · -1.4pp

Above the break 3

33.8% of FGA · lg 30.7% (+3.1pp)

FG 34.9% · lg 34.9% · +0.0pp

Bar = share of team FGA · tick = league share · 2025-26 season · nba_shots · NBA Stats play-by-play · n=8,857 team FGA of 233,599 league-wide · backcourt heaves excluded

Scoring identity

How they score

Scoring distribution

14 games · avg 107.8 points

1223AVG 107.885+390+95+2100+105+3110+2115+120+2125+130+POINTS PER GAME

Form heatmap

The margin trail

Margin trail

Last 14 games · 2026-04-29 → 2026-05-25

Record

6-8

Win pct

42.9%

Avg margin

-3.7

Longest W

3

Longest L

4

Favorite losses

1

2026-04-29 · vs TOR · W 125-120 · model gave 63%TOR2026-05-01 · @ TOR · L 110-112 · model gave 41%TOR2026-05-03 · vs TOR · W 114-102 · model gave 61%TOR2026-05-05 · @ DET · L 101-111 · model gave 36%DET2026-05-07 · @ DET · L 97-107 · model gave 38%DET2026-05-09 · vs DET · W 116-109 · model gave 62%DET2026-05-11 · vs DET · W 112-103 · model gave 54%DET2026-05-13 · @ DET · W 117-113 · model gave 60%DET2026-05-15 · vs DET · L 94-115 · model gave 78%DET2026-05-17 · @ DET · W 125-94 · model gave 58%DET2026-05-19 · @ NY · L 104-115 · model gave 13%NY2026-05-21 · @ NY · L 93-109 · model gave 11%NY2026-05-23 · vs NY · L 108-121 · model gave 22%NY2026-05-25 · vs NY · L 93-130 · model gave 22%NY

Each cell = one game. Color = outcome. Intensity = margin. Diagonal slash = model called the wrong side. Click any cell to open that game's page.

Model rating arc

The Elo timeline

14 games · 2026-04-29 → 2026-05-25

Peak 1589 · Now 1429 · Trough 1429

Recent transactions

Latest player movement

4 moves
  1. Mar 3

    Waived G Darius Brown.

  2. Feb 20

    Signed G Darius Brown to a two-way contract.

  3. Feb 13

    Signed F Riley Minix to a two-way contract.

  4. Feb 11

    Re-signed F Nae’Qwan Tomlin to a rest-of-season contract.

Source · ESPN

Roster · 18 players

The active roster

Guards

PG · SG

9 players

James Harden

J. Harden

G · #1

Max Strus

M. Strus

G · #2

Sam Merrill

S. Merrill

G · #5

Dennis Schroder

D. Schroder

G · #8

Craig Porter Jr.

C. Porter Jr.

G · #9

Jaylon Tyson

J. Tyson

G · #20

Tyrese Proctor

T. Proctor

G · #24

Donovan Mitchell

D. Mitchell

G · #45

Meleek Thomas

M. Thomas

G

Forwards

SF · PF

5 players

Riley Minix

R. Minix

F · #12

Tristan Enaruna

T. Enaruna

F · #21

Olivier Sarr

O. Sarr

F · #33

Nae'Qwan Tomlin

N. Tomlin

F · #35

Mario Hezonja

M. Hezonja

F

Centers

4 players

Thomas Bryant

T. Bryant

C · #3

Evan Mobley

E. Mobley

C · #4

Jarrett Allen

J. Allen

C · #31

E

E. Udeh Jr.

C

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Model heartbeat

Cross-sport · last 14 days

60%Last 7 · 56-37
60%Last 30 · 246-165
Receipts →

Model picks on CLE

Below the 30-pick gate (n=6)