NBA·Model edges

Where the modeldisagrees with Vegas.

Every game on tonight's slate, ranked by the gap between our win-probability projection and the implied probability of the current moneyline. Larger gap = sharper edge.

Slate

1 games

With odds

1

Top edge

12.1pp

NBA · model edges · tonight

Where the model disagrees with the price.

1 games priced · top 1 surfaced

All sports →
+12.1ppon PHI
PHIPHIvsBOSBOS
Model45%
Market33%
BandLock

Magnitude is the percentage-point gap between our model's home win probability and the moneyline's implied probability. Edges under ~3pp are at the edge of model noise; meaningful sharps tend to live at 5+ on the same side.