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LAA#15 · American League

Los Angeles Angels

43-70 (38.1%) · L1 · L10 2-8

Model verdict

Where they stand

The verdict · Pythagorean expectation (1.83 exponent)

#27 of 30

Pyth(1.83) .432 · exp 48.8-64.2 vs act 43-70 · n=113 · luck -5.8W · thru 2026-08-04 · mlb_game_results

Rank within the full 30-team population on a published metric — no invented composites. How we grade

Last 5 form

2026-07-29 → 2026-08-04 · Full ATS profile →

Model picks on LAA

Below the 30-pick gate (n=12)

Stat leaders

Who carries them

OPS

1Mike Trout94 G.841
2Zach Neto110 G.741
3Nolan Schanuel93 G.734
4Jorge Soler86 G.664

Home runs

1Zach Neto110 G19
2Mike Trout94 G18
3Jorge Soler86 G12
4Nolan Schanuel93 G6

RBI

1Jorge Soler86 G49
2Zach Neto110 G47
3Mike Trout94 G40
4Nolan Schanuel93 G37

Batting average

1Nolan Schanuel93 G.275
2Mike Trout94 G.245
3Zach Neto110 G.230
4Jorge Soler86 G.203

Stolen bases

1Zach Neto110 G14
2Mike Trout94 G8
3Nolan Schanuel93 G1
4Jorge Soler86 G0

ERA

1José Soriano123.0 IP3.29
2Reid Detmers125.0 IP4.03

WHIP

1Reid Detmers125.0 IP1.10
2José Soriano123.0 IP1.25

Strikeouts

1Reid Detmers125.0 IP145
2José Soriano123.0 IP127

2026 season · MLB Stats API · MLB-qualified pool (3.1 PA / 1.0 IP per team game; min 20 G hitters / 20 IP pitchers) — counting boards draw from the same qualified pool

Team rate stats · 2026

Hitting + pitching vs league

MLB Stats API

Hitting

AVG

.238vs .244Slight gap

OBP

.313vs .318Slight gap

SLG

.382vs .401Slight gap

OPS

.695vs .720Slight gap

118

R / G

4.2

K / G

9.5

Pitching

ERA

4.48vs 4.18Below avg

FIP (approx)

4.31vs 4.19Slight gap

WHIP

1.36vs 1.30Slight gap

K / 9

9.1vs 8.5Above avg

BB / 9

4.3vs 3.4Below avg

BAA

.234

HR / 9

1.1

113

Tick mark on each bar is the league average for the 2026 season. ERA / FIP / WHIP / BB-9 are inverted (lower is better); the tone label still reads intuitively. FIP is approximate — fixed 3.10 constant, not the season-derived one.

Inning identity

When they score

Pattern by inning

12 games · for vs against

ForAgainst

2.8 avg / 4.0 allowed

Plate signature

The strike zone

Plate identity

From the catcher's view · last 30 games

Avg runs / game

3.13

Blowout wins (4+)

Shutout games

Form last 30

9-21

Pitch heat density activates with Statcast pitch-location ingest. Until then, the signature is the team's aggregate scoring identity.

Run-scoring identity

How they score

Scoring distribution

30 games · avg 3.1 runs

Model rating arc

The Elo timeline

163 games · 2025-08-05 → 2026-08-04

Peak 1491 · Now 1404 · Trough 1404

Recent transactions

Latest player movement

5 moves

Jun 11
Agreed to terms with RHP Taijuan Walker on a minor league contract.
Jun 10
Placed C Sebastián Rivero on the 10-day IL. Selected the contract of C Logan Porter from Salt Lake (PCL). Transferred RHP Jack Kochanowicz to the 60-day IL.
Jun 9
Sent RHP Ben Joyce on a rehab assignment to Rancho Cucamonga (CAL).
Jun 8
Transferred 3B Yoan Moncada to the 60-day IL. Placed 2B Vaughn Grissom on the 10-day IL, retroactive to June 5. Placed 2B Adam Frazier on the 10-day IL, retroactive to June 6. Recalled SS Denzer Guzman from Salt Lake (PCL). Selected the contract of 1B Trey Mancini from Salt Lake.
Jun 7
Placed RHP Jack Kochanowicz on the 15-day IL. Recalled LHP Sam Aldegheri from Salt Lake (PCL).

Source · ESPN