Free during beta —to track favorites + alerts
FINAL+4CAR
CBJ

CBJ

38-26-12

15
CAR

CAR

48-21-6

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

NHLThu, Apr 2FinalSeriesCAR wins series 3-1VegasCAR -198

Recap · NHL

arolina Hurricanes held off Columbus Blue Jackets, 5–1.

CAR -1.5 cashed (won by 4). Total stayed UNDER 6.5 by 0.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

CBJ · top performer

CBJ
Boone Jenner

Boone Jenner

C · #38

1Points

0

G

1

A

—

SOG

CAR · top performer

CAR
Sebastian Aho

Sebastian Aho

C · #20

2Points

0

G

2

A

—

SOG

NHL · Columbus Blue Jackets at Carolina Hurricanes · final

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final
1
5
CBJ38-26-12CAR48-21-6
CBJ

CBJ

38-26-12

1
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%
CAR

CAR

48-21-6

5
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

6

PIM

8

Season series

CAR wins series 3-1

Dec 10CBJCBJ1@CARCAR4
Mar 17CARCAR1@CBJCBJ5
Mar 31CARCAR5@CBJCBJ2
Apr 2CBJCBJ1@CARCAR5today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

CAR -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

CBJCBJ+16438%
CARCAR-19866%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet CAR -1.5↗SpreadBet CAR -1.5↗

Line movement · 10 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

CAR beat CBJ 5-1.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team123T
CBJ0101
CAR3115

Period scoring

CBJ won 0 · CAR won 2

0
3

1

1
1

2

0
1

3

CBJ
CAR

Play-by-play · 274 plays

period
event
player
  1. 3rd·20:00

    Game End

    CBJ 1·CAR 5

  2. 3rd·20:00

    End of 3rd Period

    CBJ 1·CAR 5

  3. 3rd·19:57

    Egor Zamula shot blocked by Logan Stankoven

    ·

    CBJ 1·CAR 5

  4. 3rd·19:15

    Takeaway by Dante Fabbro

    CBJ 1·CAR 5

  5. 3rd·19:02

    Sean Walker hit Kent Johnson

    ·

    CBJ 1·CAR 5

  6. 3rd·18:50

    Dante Fabbro shot blocked by Eric Robinson

    ·

    CBJ 1·CAR 5

  7. 3rd·18:50

    Dante Fabbro shot blocked by Sean Walker

    ·

    CBJ 1·CAR 5

  8. 3rd·17:52

    Isac Lundeström hit Jackson Blake

    ·

    CBJ 1·CAR 5

  9. 3rd·17:48

    Dante Fabbro shot blocked by Sean Walker

    ·

    CBJ 1·CAR 5

  10. 3rd·17:41

    Dante Fabbro shot blocked by Sean Walker

    ·

    CBJ 1·CAR 5

  11. 3rd·17:32

    Miles Wood Wrist Shot Wide Right

    ·

    CBJ 1·CAR 5

  12. 3rd·17:20

    Giveaway by Sean Walker

    CBJ 1·CAR 5

  13. 3rd·16:44

    Sebastian Aho Wrist Shot saved by Elvis Merzlikins

    ·

    CBJ 1·CAR 5

  14. 3rd·16:15

    Sebastian Aho faceoff won against Boone Jenner

    ·

    CBJ 1·CAR 5

  15. 3rd·16:15

    Puck in Crowd

    CBJ 1·CAR 5

  16. 3rd·15:25

    Danton Heinen Wrist Shot Wide Right

    ·

    CBJ 1·CAR 5

  17. 3rd·15:15

    Takeaway by Dante Fabbro

    CBJ 1·CAR 5

  18. 3rd·15:09

    Danton Heinen hit Logan Stankoven

    ·

    CBJ 1·CAR 5

  19. 3rd·15:06

    Logan Stankoven shot blocked by Denton Mateychuk

    ·

    CBJ 1·CAR 5

  20. 3rd·14:20

    Giveaway by Charlie Coyle

    CBJ 1·CAR 5

  21. 3rd·14:14

    Logan Stankoven faceoff won against Charlie Coyle

    ·

    CBJ 1·CAR 5

  22. 3rd·14:14

    Puck in Benches

    CBJ 1·CAR 5

  23. 3rd·13:57

    William Carrier shot blocked by Erik Gudbranson

    ·

    CBJ 1·CAR 5

  24. 3rd·13:42

    Egor Zamula Slap Shot saved by Frederik Andersen

    ·

    CBJ 1·CAR 5

  25. 3rd·13:38

    Erik Gudbranson Wrist Shot saved by Frederik Andersen

    ·

    CBJ 1·CAR 5

  26. 3rd·13:36

    Sean Monahan faceoff won against Mark Jankowski

    ·

    CBJ 1·CAR 5

  27. 3rd·13:36

    Puck in Netting

    CBJ 1·CAR 5

  28. 3rd·13:34

    Boone Jenner shot blocked by Andrei Svechnikov

    ·

    CBJ 1·CAR 5

  29. 3rd·13:26

    Boone Jenner Snap Shot Hit Right Post

    ·

    CBJ 1·CAR 5

  30. 3rd·13:16

    Dante Fabbro hit Jaccob Slavin

    ·

    CBJ 1·CAR 5

Team stats

CBJ

Away

Stat

CAR

Home

10

Shots

21

0.0

PCT

50.0

6

PIM

8

17

Faceoffs W

26

14

Blocks

19

17

Giveaways

19

8

Takeaways

5

Betting line

CAR -1.5·O/U 6.5·CBJ +164/CAR -198

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 27 skaters with EDGE
  • Ivan ProvorovCBJ · D
    DIST MI299.999+
  • Zach WerenskiCBJ · D
    DIST MI289.198
  • Sean WalkerCAR · D
    SKATE MPH22.998
  • Adam FantilliCBJ · C
    DIST MI256.696
  • Taylor HallCAR · LW
    BURSTS4696

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.2%

ensemble · CAR favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(CAR win)

    33%

    weight

  • Goalie Starter

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(CAR win)

    32%

    weight

  • Xg Blend

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(CAR win)

    34%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Data via ESPN · NHL API · hockeyR