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FINAL+4UTA
UTA

UTA

39-30-6

62
SEA

SEA

32-31-11

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

NHLThu, Apr 2FinalSeriesUTA wins series 3-0VegasUTAH -142

Recap · NHL

tah Mammoth went into Seattle Kraken and beat them, 6–2.

UTA -1.5 cashed (won by 4). Total cleared the 6.5 OVER by 1.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

UTA · top performer

UTA
Logan Cooley

Logan Cooley

C · #92

3Points

2

G

1

A

—

SOG

SEA · top performer

SEA
Jordan Eberle

Jordan Eberle

RW · #7

1Points

1

G

0

A

—

SOG

NHL · Utah Mammoth at Seattle Kraken · final

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final
6
2
UTA39-30-6SEA32-31-11
UTA

UTA

39-30-6

6
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%
SEA

SEA

32-31-11

2
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

6

PIM

12

Season series

UTA wins series 3-0

Dec 13SEASEA3@UTAUTA5
Jan 17SEASEA3@UTAUTA6
Apr 3UTAUTA6@SEASEA2today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

UTA -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

UTAUTA-14259%
SEASEA+12045%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet UTA -1.5↗SpreadBet UTA -1.5↗

Line movement · 15 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

UTA beat SEA 6-2.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team123T
UTA1236
SEA2002

Period scoring

UTA won 2 · SEA won 1

1
2

1

2
0

2

3
0

3

UTA
SEA

Play-by-play · 318 plays

period
event
player
  1. 3rd·20:00

    Game End

    UTA 6·SEA 2

  2. 3rd·20:00

    End of 3rd Period

    UTA 6·SEA 2

  3. 3rd·19:37

    Vince Dunn Backhand saved by Karel Vejmelka

    ·

    UTA 6·SEA 2

  4. 3rd·19:24

    Brandon Tanev hit Jacob Melanson

    ·

    UTA 6·SEA 2

  5. 3rd·19:04

    Berkly Catton Wrist Shot Wide Right

    ·

    UTA 6·SEA 2

  6. 3rd·18:31

    Giveaway by Lawson Crouse

    UTA 6·SEA 2

  7. 3rd·18:27

    Takeaway by Nick Schmaltz

    UTA 6·SEA 2

  8. 3rd·18:19

    Giveaway by Nick Schmaltz

    UTA 6·SEA 2

  9. 3rd·17:49

    Kaapo Kakko hit Alexander Kerfoot

    ·

    UTA 6·SEA 2

  10. 3rd·17:44

    Ryker Evans hit JJ Peterka

    ·

    UTA 6·SEA 2

  11. 3rd·17:26

    Giveaway by Kaapo Kakko

    UTA 6·SEA 2

  12. 3rd·17:11

    Jacob Melanson hit Ian Cole

    ·

    UTA 6·SEA 2

  13. 3rd·16:55

    Jacob Melanson hit Sean Durzi

    ·

    UTA 6·SEA 2

  14. 3rd·16:53

    Giveaway by Berkly Catton

    UTA 6·SEA 2

  15. 3rd·16:37

    Oscar Fisker Molgaard faceoff won against Kevin Stenlund

    ·

    UTA 6·SEA 2

  16. 3rd·16:37

    Michael Carcone Goal (15) Deflected, assists: none

    UTA 6·SEA 2

  17. 3rd·16:26

    Alexander Kerfoot faceoff won against Chandler Stephenson

    ·

    UTA 5·SEA 2

  18. 3rd·16:26

    Puck in Crowd

    UTA 5·SEA 2

  19. 3rd·15:57

    Chandler Stephenson faceoff won against Alexander Kerfoot

    ·

    UTA 5·SEA 2

  20. 3rd·15:57

    On-Ice Official

    UTA 5·SEA 2

  21. 3rd·15:47

    Dylan Guenther Wrist Shot High and Wide Left

    ·

    UTA 5·SEA 2

  22. 3rd·15:23

    Dylan Guenther shot blocked by Adam Larsson

    ·

    UTA 5·SEA 2

  23. 3rd·15:19

    Dylan Guenther shot blocked by Freddy Gaudreau

    ·

    UTA 5·SEA 2

  24. 3rd·15:01

    Adam Larsson hit Clayton Keller

    ·

    UTA 5·SEA 2

  25. 3rd·14:35

    Logan Cooley faceoff won against Freddy Gaudreau

    ·

    UTA 5·SEA 2

  26. 3rd·14:35

    TV Timeout

    UTA 5·SEA 2

  27. 3rd·14:35

    Jordan Eberle High-sticking - double minor against Kevin Stenlund

    ·

    UTA 5·SEA 2

  28. 3rd·14:29

    Lawson Crouse Wrist Shot High and Wide Right

    ·

    UTA 5·SEA 2

  29. 3rd·14:10

    Jordan Eberle Wrist Shot saved by Karel Vejmelka

    ·

    UTA 5·SEA 2

  30. 3rd·13:49

    Vince Dunn Wrist Shot saved by Karel Vejmelka

    ·

    UTA 5·SEA 2

Team stats

UTA

Away

Stat

SEA

Home

31

Shots

27

50.0

PCT

0.0

6

PIM

12

36

Faceoffs W

25

13

Blocks

11

20

Giveaways

11

7

Takeaways

4

Betting line

UTA -1.5·O/U 6.5·UTA -142/SEA +120

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 13 skaters with EDGE
  • Bobby McMannSEA · C
    SKATE MPH24.399
  • Brandon MontourSEA · D
    SHOT MPH101.698
  • Matty BeniersSEA · C
    DIST MI267.798
  • Jared McCannSEA · LW
    SHOT MPH94.496
  • Jordan EberleSEA · RW
    DIST MI236.192

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · SEA favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(SEA win)

    33%

    weight

  • Goalie Starter

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(SEA win)

    32%

    weight

  • Xg Blend

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(SEA win)

    34%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

+120

Close price

+120

Open no-vig

43.7%

Close no-vig

43.7%

Line barely moved · Graded: miss

Data via ESPN · NHL API · hockeyR