Live · 5
Free during beta —to track favorites + alerts
FINAL+1NSH
NSH

NSH

35-31-9

54
LA

LA

30-26-19

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

NHLThu, Apr 2FinalSeriesNSH leads series 2-0VegasLA -125

Recap · NHL

ashville Predators went into Los Angeles Kings and beat them, 5–4.

NSH +1.5 cashed (LA lost outright). Total cleared the 5.5 OVER by 3.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

NSH · top performer

NSH
Jonathan Marchessault

Jonathan Marchessault

RW · #81

2Points

1

G

1

A

—

SOG

LA · top performer

LA
Joel Armia

Joel Armia

RW · #40

2Points

1

G

1

A

—

SOG

NHL · Nashville Predators at Los Angeles Kings · final

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final/SO
5
4
NSH35-31-9LA30-26-19
NSH

NSH

35-31-9

5
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%
LA

LA

30-26-19

4
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

6

PIM

6

Season series

NSH leads series 2-0

Oct 26LALA4@NSHNSH5
Apr 3NSHNSH5@LALA4today
Apr 7NSHNSH2@LALA3

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

LA -1.5

Total

5.5

Defensive · -3.0 vs avg

Moneyline

NSHNSH+10549%
LALA-12556%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet LA -1.5↗SpreadBet LA -1.5↗

Line movement · 10 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

5.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

NSH beat LA 5-4.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team123OTSOT
NSH220015
LA031004

Period scoring

NSH won 2 · LA won 2

2
0

1

2
3

2

0
1

3

0
0

OT

1
0

SO

NSH
LA

Play-by-play · 396 plays

period
event
player
  1. SO·0:00

    Game End

    NSH 1·LA 0

  2. SO·0:00

    End of OT

    NSH 1·LA 0

  3. SO·0:00

    End of Shootout

    NSH 1·LA 0

  4. SO·0:00

    Luke Evangelista Goal Backhand

    NSH 1·LA 0

  5. SO·0:00

    Joel Armia Wrist Shot Wide Right

    ·

    NSH 1·LA 0

  6. SO·0:00

    Roman Josi Wrist Shot saved by Darcy Kuemper

    ·

    NSH 1·LA 0

  7. SO·0:00

    Quinton Byfield Backhand High and Wide Right

    ·

    NSH 1·LA 0

  8. SO·0:00

    Tyson Jost Wrist Shot saved by Darcy Kuemper

    ·

    NSH 1·LA 0

  9. SO·0:00

    Brandt Clarke Wrist Shot saved by Juuse Saros

    ·

    NSH 1·LA 0

  10. SO·0:00

    Erik Haula Wrist Shot saved by Darcy Kuemper

    ·

    NSH 1·LA 0

  11. SO·0:00

    Alex Laferriere Wrist Shot saved by Juuse Saros

    ·

    NSH 1·LA 0

  12. SO·0:00

    Jonathan Marchessault Wrist Shot Hit Left Post

    ·

    NSH 1·LA 0

  13. SO·0:00

    Anze Kopitar Wrist Shot saved by Juuse Saros

    ·

    NSH 1·LA 0

  14. SO·0:00

    Steven Stamkos Wrist Shot Wide Right

    ·

    NSH 1·LA 0

  15. SO·0:00

    Trevor Moore Wrist Shot saved by Juuse Saros

    ·

    NSH 1·LA 0

  16. SO·0:00

    Filip Forsberg Backhand saved by Darcy Kuemper

    ·

    NSH 1·LA 0

  17. SO·0:00

    Artemi Panarin Backhand saved by Juuse Saros

    ·

    NSH 1·LA 0

  18. SO·0:00

    Ryan O'Reilly Wrist Shot saved by Darcy Kuemper

    ·

    NSH 1·LA 0

  19. SO·0:00

    Adrian Kempe Wrist Shot saved by Juuse Saros

    ·

    NSH 1·LA 0

  20. SO·0:00

    Start of Shootout

    NSH 1·LA 0

  21. OT·5:00

    End of OT

    NSH 4·LA 4

  22. OT·4:51

    Roman Josi Wrist Shot saved by Darcy Kuemper

    ·

    NSH 4·LA 4

  23. OT·4:33

    Matthew Wood Wrist Shot Hit Right Post

    ·

    NSH 4·LA 4

  24. OT·3:29

    Adrian Kempe shot blocked by Steven Stamkos

    ·

    NSH 4·LA 4

  25. OT·3:08

    Filip Forsberg shot blocked by Scott Laughton

    ·

    NSH 4·LA 4

  26. OT·2:44

    Ryan O'Reilly faceoff won against Scott Laughton

    ·

    NSH 4·LA 4

  27. OT·2:44

    Puck in Netting

    NSH 4·LA 4

  28. OT·2:42

    Trevor Moore shot blocked by Roman Josi

    ·

    NSH 4·LA 4

  29. OT·2:28

    Jonathan Marchessault Backhand saved by Darcy Kuemper

    ·

    NSH 4·LA 4

  30. OT·2:05

    Jonathan Marchessault Wrist Shot Off Crossbar

    ·

    NSH 4·LA 4

Team stats

NSH

Away

Stat

LA

Home

34

Shots

33

0.0

PCT

0.0

6

PIM

6

32

Faceoffs W

41

16

Blocks

15

12

Giveaways

20

7

Takeaways

1

Betting line

LA -1.5·O/U 5.5·NSH +105/LA -125

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 12 skaters with EDGE
  • Ryan O'ReillyNSH · C
    DIST MI265.898
  • Brady SkjeiNSH · D
    SKATE MPH23.497
  • Filip ForsbergNSH · LW
    DIST MI246.195
  • Roman JosiNSH · D
    DIST MI245.490
  • Adam WilsbyNSH · D
    BURSTS6889

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · LA favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(LA win)

    33%

    weight

  • Goalie Starter

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(LA win)

    32%

    weight

  • Xg Blend

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(LA win)

    34%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Data via ESPN · NHL API · hockeyR