NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+2NSH

CHI

22-27-9

NSH

27-24-7

NHLThu, Feb 26FinalSeriesNSH leads series 2-1VegasNSH -175

Recap · NHL

ashville Predators held off Chicago Blackhawks, 4–2.

NSH -1.5 cashed (won by 2). Total stayed UNDER 6.5 by 0.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

CHI · top performer

Connor Bedard

C · #98

1Points

—

SOG

NSH · top performer

Filip Forsberg

LW · #9

1Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

Forwards

forwards box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
Player	G	A	+/-	S	HT	BS	PIM	TOI
C. BedardC · #98	1	0	0	5	0	0	0	21:29
T. BertuzziLW · #59	1	0	-2	3	0	0	0	17:56
A. BurakovskyLW · #28	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	17:08
J. DickinsonC · #16	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	13:44
R. DonatoC · #8	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	11:55
N. FolignoLW · #17	0	0	-1	1	3	0	2	14:55
R. GreeneC · #20	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	16:44
I. MikheyevRW · #95	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	14:07
O. MooreC · #11	0	0	-1	0	0	0	0	12:54
F. NazarC · #91	0	0	-2	4	0	0	0	18:13
L. SlaggertLW · #84	0	0	-1	0	1	0	0	9:58
T. TeravainenC · #86	0	1	-2	2	0	0	0	19:49

Defensemen

defenses box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
Player	G	A	+/-	S	HT	BS	PIM	TOI
L. CrevierD · #46	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	17:11
M. GrzelcykD · #48	0	0	-2	1	0	2	0	16:16
A. LevshunovD · #55	0	0	-1	0	2	1	0	17:47
C. MurphyD · #5	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	15:12
S. RinzelD · #6	0	1	-1	3	0	1	2	20:53
A. VlasicD · #72	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	22:39

Goalies

goalies box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
Player	SA	GA	SV	SV%	TOI
S. KnightG · #30	25	3	22	.880	59:15

Forwards

forwards box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
Player	G	A	+/-	S	HT	BS	PIM	TOI
M. BuntingLW · #58	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	11:28
L. EvangelistaRW · #77	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	14:20
F. ForsbergLW · #9	1	0	1	4	2	0	0	17:40
E. HaulaLW · #56	0	1	2	0	6	0	4	15:56
T. JostC · #17	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	13:20
Z. L'HeureuxLW · #68	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	9:45
J. MarchessaultRW · #81	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	14:23
M. McCarronC · #47	0	0	0	2	2	1	4	14:40
R. O'ReillyC · #90	1	0	0	3	0	0	0	18:40
C. SmithRW · #36	0	0	1	0	2	1	0	16:20
S. StamkosC · #91	1	0	1	4	0	0	0	14:54
M. WoodRW · #71	1	0	0	1	2	0	0	10:07

Defensemen

defenses box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
Player	G	A	+/-	S	HT	BS	PIM	TOI
N. BlankenburgD · #37	0	0	1	1	4	1	0	19:52
N. HagueD · #41	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	22:03
R. JosiD · #59	0	1	1	0	0	2	0	25:25
N. PerbixD · #48	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	19:57
B. SkjeiD · #76	0	0	2	1	2	3	0	17:17
A. WilsbyD · #83	0	0	0	1	1	2	2	14:02

Goalies

goalies box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
Player	SA	GA	SV	SV%	TOI
J. AnnunenG · #29	23	2	21	.913	60:00

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Season series

NSH leads series 2-1

Nov 29

NSH4@

CHI3

Jan 11

CHI3@

NSH0

Feb 27

CHI2@

NSH4today

Mar 22

NSH3@

CHI2

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

NSH -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

CHI+14541%

NSH-17564%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet NSH -1.5↗SpreadBet NSH -1.5↗

Line movement · 12 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

NSH beat CHI 4-2.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	T
CHI	0	1	1	2
NSH	1	0	3	4

Period scoring

CHI won 1 · NSH won 2

CHI

NSH

Play-by-play · 265 plays

period

event

player

3rd·20:00
Game End
CHI 2·NSH 4
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
CHI 2·NSH 4
3rd·19:12
Nick Foligno faceoff won against Michael McCarron
·
CHI 2·NSH 4
3rd·19:12
Steven Stamkos Goal (29) Wrist Shot, assists: none
CHI 2·NSH 4
3rd·19:11
Giveaway by Frank Nazar
CHI 2·NSH 3
3rd·18:37
Takeaway by Roman Josi
CHI 2·NSH 3
3rd·18:03
Connor Bedard faceoff won against Erik Haula
·
CHI 2·NSH 3
3rd·18:03
On-Ice Official
CHI 2·NSH 3
3rd·17:08
Ryan Greene Wrist Shot saved by Justus Annunen
·
CHI 2·NSH 3
3rd·16:44
Connor Bedard faceoff won against Cole Smith
·
CHI 2·NSH 3
3rd·16:44
Ryan O'Reilly Goal (21) Wrist Shot, assists: Roman Josi (29)
·
CHI 2·NSH 3
3rd·16:38
Giveaway by Teuvo Teravainen
CHI 2·NSH 2
3rd·16:32
Roman Josi shot blocked by Sam Rinzel
·
CHI 2·NSH 2
3rd·16:13
Ryan Donato hit Tyson Jost
·
CHI 2·NSH 2
3rd·15:54
Louis Crevier hit Zachary L'Heureux
·
CHI 2·NSH 2
3rd·15:43
Zachary L'Heureux hit Louis Crevier
·
CHI 2·NSH 2
3rd·15:39
Jason Dickinson faceoff won against Matthew Wood
·
CHI 2·NSH 2
3rd·15:39
TV Timeout
CHI 2·NSH 2
3rd·15:39
Puck in Netting
CHI 2·NSH 2
3rd·15:37
Michael Bunting shot blocked by Brady Skjei
·
CHI 2·NSH 2
3rd·14:48
Cole Smith hit Ryan Greene
·
CHI 2·NSH 2
3rd·14:15
Giveaway by Frank Nazar
CHI 2·NSH 2
3rd·14:11
Giveaway by Tyson Jost
CHI 2·NSH 2
3rd·14:08
Giveaway by Matt Grzelcyk
CHI 2·NSH 2
3rd·13:42
Frank Nazar faceoff won against Erik Haula
·
CHI 2·NSH 2
3rd·13:42
Puck in Netting
CHI 2·NSH 2
3rd·13:39
Erik Haula shot blocked by Artyom Levshunov
·
CHI 2·NSH 2
3rd·13:33
Giveaway by Connor Bedard
CHI 2·NSH 2
3rd·13:14
Connor Bedard shot blocked by Brady Skjei
·
CHI 2·NSH 2
3rd·13:07
Frank Nazar faceoff won against Ryan O'Reilly
·
CHI 2·NSH 2

Team stats

CHI

Away

Stat

NSH

Home

Shots

20.0

PCT

100.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Betting line

NSH -1.5·O/U 6.5·CHI +145/NSH -175

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 27 skaters with EDGE

Louis CrevierCHI · D
SHOT MPH102.899
Brady SkjeiNSH · D
SKATE MPH23.497
Ilya MikheyevCHI · RW
SKATE MPH23.595
Filip ForsbergNSH · LW
DIST MI246.195
Connor BedardCHI · C
BURSTS19595

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

57.6%

ensemble · NSH favored

Elo Static
61.5%
P(NSH win)
67%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
61.5%
P(NSH win)
16%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
61.5%
P(NSH win)
17%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

1 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.