Which side does The One Analytics' model favor in CBJ at BOS?

The model favors BOS, based on a weighted edge across matchup factors. The pick is logged before the game and graded in public.

When is the pick logged, and can it change?

Every model pick is timestamped before the game starts and is never edited after the fact.

How is the pick graded?

In public, the moment the game goes final — wins and losses alike, with the full record on the model accuracy page.

NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+2BOS

CBJ

29-21-7

BOS

33-20-5

NHLThu, Feb 26FinalSeriesBOS leads series 1-0VegasBOS -115

CBJ · top performer

Adam Fantilli

C · #19

2Points

—

SOG

BOS · top performer

Viktor Arvidsson

LW · #71

2Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
C. CoyleC · #3	0	0	-1	3	1	1	0	17:12
A. FantilliC · #19	1	1	0	5	6	1	0	19:09
B. JennerC · #38	0	0	-1	2	1	0	0	12:57
K. JohnsonC · #91	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	12:28
I. LundestromC · #21	0	0	-1	1	2	0	0	11:40
K. MarchenkoRW · #86	1	0	0	2	0	0	2	19:43
M. MarchmentLW · #17	0	2	0	0	2	0	2	18:32
S. MonahanC · #23	0	0	-1	0	0	0	0	16:33
M. OlivierRW · #24	0	0	0	5	3	0	0	13:42
C. SillingerC · #4	0	0	0	2	4	0	0	14:51
D. VoronkovLW · #10	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	12:06
M. WoodLW · #11	0	0	-1	2	1	0	2	10:07

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
D. FabbroD · #15	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	14:56
E. GudbransonD · #44	0	0	0	0	2	2	0	15:20
D. MateychukD · #5	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	16:43
I. ProvorovD · #9	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	19:43
D. SeversonD · #78	0	0	0	1	1	2	0	22:31
Z. WerenskiD · #8	0	1	-1	7	1	2	0	28:34

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
E. MerzlikinsG · #90	22	3	19	.864	58:32

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
V. ArvidssonLW · #71	2	0	1	3	0	0	0	14:29
M. EyssimontC · #81	0	0	0	3	0	0	2	10:03
M. GeekieC · #39	1	0	0	1	2	0	0	17:50
T. JeannotLW · #84	0	1	0	0	3	1	0	13:14
M. KastelicC · #47	0	0	0	0	3	2	0	11:45
M. KhusnutdinovC · #92	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	12:50
S. KuralyC · #52	1	0	0	2	1	0	0	12:42
E. LindholmC · #28	0	1	0	2	0	0	0	19:35
F. MintenC · #93	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	15:19
C. MittelstadtC · #11	0	1	1	2	1	0	0	15:40
D. PastrnakRW · #88	0	1	0	2	1	2	0	22:20
P. ZachaC · #18	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	15:29

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. AspirotD · #45	0	1	1	0	1	7	0	21:11
H. JokiharjuD · #20	0	0	0	2	0	2	0	16:18
H. LindholmD · #27	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	20:16
M. LohreiD · #6	0	0	2	3	1	0	0	17:25
C. McAvoyD · #73	0	1	0	0	0	2	0	23:55
N. ZadorovD · #91	0	0	-1	1	2	2	0	17:39

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
M. DiPietroG · #80	2	0	2	1.000	6:03
J. KorpisaloG · #70	38	2	36	.947	53:57

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Team stats

CBJ

Away

Stat

BOS

Home

Shots

0.0

PCT

33.3

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Season series

BOS leads series 1-0

Feb 27

CBJ2@

BOS4today

Mar 29

BOS4@

CBJ3

Apr 12

BOS3@

CBJ2

Model & market

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

BOS -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

CBJ-10551%

BOS-11553%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet BOS -1.5↗SpreadBet BOS -1.5↗

Line movement · 23 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

BOS beat CBJ 4-2. V. Arvidsson led the way — 2 G · 3 SOG.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	T
CBJ	1	0	1	2
BOS	1	1	2	4

Period scoring

CBJ won 0 · BOS won 2

CBJ

BOS

Play-by-play · 330 plays

period

event

player

3rd·20:00
Game End
CBJ 2·BOS 4
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
CBJ 2·BOS 4
3rd·19:27
Sean Kuraly faceoff won against Isac Lundeström
·
CBJ 2·BOS 4
3rd·19:27
Viktor Arvidsson Goal (16) Snap Shot, assists: Charlie McAvoy (36), Casey Mittelstadt (17)
· ·
CBJ 2·BOS 4
3rd·19:13
Sean Monahan faceoff won against Pavel Zacha
·
CBJ 2·BOS 3
3rd·19:13
Goalie Stopped
CBJ 2·BOS 3
3rd·19:11
Zach Werenski Slap Shot saved by Joonas Korpisalo
·
CBJ 2·BOS 3
3rd·19:05
Kirill Marchenko shot blocked by David Pastrnak
·
CBJ 2·BOS 3
3rd·18:50
Elias Lindholm faceoff won against Sean Monahan
· ·
CBJ 2·BOS 3
3rd·18:50
Icing
CBJ 2·BOS 3
3rd·18:46
David Pastrnak Backhand Wide Left
CBJ 2·BOS 3
3rd·18:44
Giveaway by Sean Monahan
CBJ 2·BOS 3
3rd·18:28
Sean Monahan faceoff won against Elias Lindholm
· ·
CBJ 2·BOS 3
3rd·18:28
Timeout - Visitor
CBJ 2·BOS 3
3rd·18:28
Goalie Stopped
CBJ 2·BOS 3
3rd·18:24
Zach Werenski Wrist Shot saved by Joonas Korpisalo
·
CBJ 2·BOS 3
3rd·18:18
Sean Monahan shot blocked by Nikita Zadorov
·
CBJ 2·BOS 3
3rd·18:17
Kirill Marchenko shot blocked by Mason Marchment
·
CBJ 2·BOS 3
3rd·18:13
Elias Lindholm faceoff won against Sean Monahan
· ·
CBJ 2·BOS 3
3rd·18:13
Icing
CBJ 2·BOS 3
3rd·18:08
David Pastrnak Wrist Shot Wide Left
CBJ 2·BOS 3
3rd·18:04
Adam Fantilli shot blocked by Jonathan Aspirot
·
CBJ 2·BOS 3
3rd·17:55
Kent Johnson shot blocked by Jonathan Aspirot
·
CBJ 2·BOS 3
3rd·17:43
Zach Werenski shot blocked by David Pastrnak
·
CBJ 2·BOS 3
3rd·17:40
Sean Monahan faceoff won against Elias Lindholm
· ·
CBJ 2·BOS 3
3rd·17:40
Puck in Netting
CBJ 2·BOS 3
3rd·17:38
Denton Mateychuk shot blocked by Jonathan Aspirot
·
CBJ 2·BOS 3
3rd·16:52
Mathieu Olivier hit Hampus Lindholm
· ·
CBJ 2·BOS 3
3rd·16:48
Sean Kuraly hit Charlie Coyle
·
CBJ 2·BOS 3
3rd·16:39
Cole Sillinger Backhand saved by Joonas Korpisalo
·
CBJ 2·BOS 3

Betting line

BOS -1.5·O/U 6.5·CBJ -105/BOS -115

DraftKings · via ESPN

Recap · NHL

oston Bruins held off Columbus Blue Jackets, 4–2.

BOS -1.5 cashed (won by 2). Total stayed UNDER 6.5 by 0.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

58.3%

ensemble · BOS favored

Elo Static
58.3%
P(BOS win)
69%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
58.3%
P(BOS win)
15%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
58.3%
P(BOS win)
16%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

1 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

-115

Close price

-115

Open no-vig

51.1%

Close no-vig

51.1%

Line barely moved · Graded: hit

Logged before tip · graded in public

How we read this game

Which side does The One Analytics' model favor in CBJ at BOS?: The model favors BOS, based on a weighted edge across matchup factors. The pick is logged before the game and graded in public.
When is the pick logged, and can it change?: Every model pick is timestamped before the game starts and is never edited after the fact.
How is the pick graded?: In public, the moment the game goes final — wins and losses alike, with the full record on the model accuracy page.

Team pages

Columbus Blue JacketsBoston Bruins

Elsewhere in the NHL