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FINAL+2VAN
ANA

ANA

28-23-3

02
VAN

VAN

18-31-5

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

NHLThu, Jan 29FinalSeriesVAN leads series 2-0VegasANA -155

Recap · NHL

ancouver Canucks held off Anaheim Ducks, 2–0.

VAN +1.5 cashed (ANA lost outright). Total stayed UNDER 6.5 by 4.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

ANA · top performer

ANA
Sam Colangelo

Sam Colangelo

RW · #12

0Points

0

G

0

A

—

SOG

VAN · top performer

VAN
Teddy Blueger

Teddy Blueger

C · #53

1Points

1

G

0

A

—

SOG

NHL · Anaheim Ducks at Vancouver Canucks · final

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final
0
2
ANA28-23-3VAN18-31-5
ANA

ANA

28-23-3

0
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%
VAN

VAN

18-31-5

2
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

6

PIM

6

Season series

VAN leads series 2-0

Nov 27VANVAN5@ANAANA4
Jan 30ANAANA0@VANVAN2today
Mar 25ANAANA5@VANVAN3
Apr 13VANVAN4@ANAANA3

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

ANA -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

ANAANA-15561%
VANVAN+13043%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet ANA -1.5↗SpreadBet ANA -1.5↗

Line movement · 8 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

VAN beat ANA 2-0.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team123T
ANA0000
VAN0022

Period scoring

ANA won 0 · VAN won 1

0
0

1

0
0

2

0
2

3

ANA
VAN

Play-by-play · 308 plays

period
event
player
  1. 3rd·20:00

    Game End

    ANA 0·VAN 2

  2. 3rd·20:00

    End of 3rd Period

    ANA 0·VAN 2

  3. 3rd·19:46

    Cutter Gauthier Tip-In Wide Left

    ·

    ANA 0·VAN 2

  4. 3rd·19:32

    Teddy Blueger faceoff won against Mikael Granlund

    ·

    ANA 0·VAN 2

  5. 3rd·19:32

    Teddy Blueger Goal (4) Wrist Shot, assists: Filip Hronek (27)

    ·

    ANA 0·VAN 2

  6. 3rd·19:11

    Mikael Granlund faceoff won against Teddy Blueger

    ·

    ANA 0·VAN 1

  7. 3rd·19:11

    Conor Garland Slashing against Olen Zellweger

    ·

    ANA 0·VAN 1

  8. 3rd·19:10

    Cutter Gauthier shot blocked by Marcus Pettersson

    · ·

    ANA 0·VAN 1

  9. 3rd·19:03

    Cutter Gauthier Wrist Shot saved by Nikita Tolopilo

    ·

    ANA 0·VAN 1

  10. 3rd·18:22

    Beckett Sennecke Snap Shot Wide Left

    ·

    ANA 0·VAN 1

  11. 3rd·18:14

    Mikael Granlund faceoff won against Elias Pettersson

    · ·

    ANA 0·VAN 1

  12. 3rd·18:14

    Puck in Netting

    ANA 0·VAN 1

  13. 3rd·18:12

    Alex Killorn Tip-In Above Crossbar

    ·

    ANA 0·VAN 1

  14. 3rd·17:47

    Elias Pettersson faceoff won against Mikael Granlund

    · ·

    ANA 0·VAN 1

  15. 3rd·17:47

    Icing

    ANA 0·VAN 1

  16. 3rd·17:41

    Elias Pettersson Snap Shot Wide Right

    · ·

    ANA 0·VAN 1

  17. 3rd·17:39

    Jackson LaCombe Wrap-around saved by Nikita Tolopilo

    ·

    ANA 0·VAN 1

  18. 3rd·17:35

    Beckett Sennecke shot blocked by Elias Pettersson

    · ·

    ANA 0·VAN 1

  19. 3rd·17:27

    Olen Zellweger hit Elias Pettersson

    · ·

    ANA 0·VAN 1

  20. 3rd·17:17

    Mikael Granlund faceoff won against Elias Pettersson

    · ·

    ANA 0·VAN 1

  21. 3rd·17:17

    Off-side

    ANA 0·VAN 1

  22. 3rd·17:11

    Mikael Granlund faceoff won against Elias Pettersson

    · ·

    ANA 0·VAN 1

  23. 3rd·17:11

    Puck in Netting

    ANA 0·VAN 1

  24. 3rd·16:26

    Teddy Blueger faceoff won against Ryan Poehling

    ·

    ANA 0·VAN 1

  25. 3rd·16:26

    Icing

    ANA 0·VAN 1

  26. 3rd·15:28

    Evander Kane shot blocked by Jackson LaCombe

    ·

    ANA 0·VAN 1

  27. 3rd·15:19

    Giveaway by Alex Killorn

    ANA 0·VAN 1

  28. 3rd·14:53

    Elias Pettersson faceoff won against Mikael Granlund

    · ·

    ANA 0·VAN 1

  29. 3rd·14:53

    Net Dislodged Offensive Skater

    ANA 0·VAN 1

  30. 3rd·14:40

    Jansen Harkins Wrist Shot saved by Nikita Tolopilo

    ·

    ANA 0·VAN 1

Team stats

ANA

Away

Stat

VAN

Home

33

Shots

26

0.0

PCT

0.0

6

PIM

6

30

Faceoffs W

32

13

Blocks

13

12

Giveaways

11

3

Takeaways

1

Betting line

ANA -1.5·O/U 6.5·ANA -155/VAN +130

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 26 skaters with EDGE
  • Ryan PoehlingANA · C
    SKATE MPH23.498
  • Filip HronekVAN · D
    DIST MI292.398
  • Jake DeBruskVAN · LW
    SKATE MPH23.595
  • Jackson LaCombeANA · D
    DIST MI47.993
  • Pierre-Olivier JosephVAN · D
    SKATE MPH23.092

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · VAN favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(VAN win)

    33%

    weight

  • Goalie Starter

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(VAN win)

    32%

    weight

  • Xg Blend

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(VAN win)

    34%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

+130

Close price

+130

Open no-vig

41.7%

Close no-vig

41.7%

Line barely moved · Graded: hit

Data via ESPN · NHL API · hockeyR