Live · 4
Free during beta —to track favorites + alerts
FINAL+4PIT
CHI

CHI

21-24-9

26
PIT

PIT

27-14-11

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

NHLThu, Jan 29FinalSeriesPIT wins series 2-0VegasPIT -185

Recap · NHL

ittsburgh Penguins held off Chicago Blackhawks, 6–2.

PIT -1.5 cashed (won by 4). Total cleared the 6.5 OVER by 1.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

CHI · top performer

CHI
Frank Nazar

Frank Nazar

C · #91

2Points

0

G

2

A

—

SOG

PIT · top performer

PIT
Anthony Mantha

Anthony Mantha

RW · #39

3Points

1

G

2

A

—

SOG

NHL · Chicago Blackhawks at Pittsburgh Penguins · final

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final
2
6
CHI21-24-9PIT27-14-11
CHI

CHI

21-24-9

2
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%
PIT

PIT

27-14-11

6
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

6

PIM

8

Season series

PIT wins series 2-0

Dec 29PITPIT7@CHICHI3
Jan 30CHICHI2@PITPIT6today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

PIT -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

CHICHI+15439%
PITPIT-18565%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet PIT -1.5↗SpreadBet PIT -1.5↗

Line movement · 5 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

PIT beat CHI 6-2.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team123T
CHI1012
PIT1416

Period scoring

CHI won 0 · PIT won 1

1
1

1

0
4

2

1
1

3

CHI
PIT

Play-by-play · 325 plays

period
event
player
  1. 3rd·20:00

    Game End

    CHI 2·PIT 6

  2. 3rd·20:00

    End of 3rd Period

    CHI 2·PIT 6

  3. 3rd·19:44

    Giveaway by Oliver Moore

    CHI 2·PIT 6

  4. 3rd·19:41

    Giveaway by Ryan Shea

    CHI 2·PIT 6

  5. 3rd·18:29

    Giveaway by Jason Dickinson

    CHI 2·PIT 6

  6. 3rd·18:24

    Matt Grzelcyk hit Rickard Rakell

    ·

    CHI 2·PIT 6

  7. 3rd·18:15

    Connor Dewar shot blocked by Connor Murphy

    ·

    CHI 2·PIT 6

  8. 3rd·18:09

    Sidney Crosby faceoff won against Jason Dickinson

    ·

    CHI 2·PIT 6

  9. 3rd·18:09

    Goalie Stopped

    CHI 2·PIT 6

  10. 3rd·18:07

    Rickard Rakell Tip-In saved by Arvid Soderblom

    ·

    CHI 2·PIT 6

  11. 3rd·17:50

    Rickard Rakell Tip-In saved by Arvid Soderblom

    ·

    CHI 2·PIT 6

  12. 3rd·17:49

    Brett Kulak shot blocked by Jason Dickinson

    ·

    CHI 2·PIT 6

  13. 3rd·17:47

    Sidney Crosby faceoff won against Ryan Greene

    ·

    CHI 2·PIT 6

  14. 3rd·17:47

    Puck in Netting

    CHI 2·PIT 6

  15. 3rd·17:44

    Sidney Crosby shot blocked by Jason Dickinson

    ·

    CHI 2·PIT 6

  16. 3rd·17:34

    Justin Brazeau Wrist Shot saved by Arvid Soderblom

    ·

    CHI 2·PIT 6

  17. 3rd·17:05

    Parker Wotherspoon hit Oliver Moore

    ·

    CHI 2·PIT 6

  18. 3rd·16:21

    Giveaway by Connor Dewar

    CHI 2·PIT 6

  19. 3rd·15:59

    Blake Lizotte shot blocked by Connor Murphy

    ·

    CHI 2·PIT 6

  20. 3rd·15:34

    Giveaway by Ryan Shea

    CHI 2·PIT 6

  21. 3rd·15:30

    Blake Lizotte faceoff won against Frank Nazar

    ·

    CHI 2·PIT 6

  22. 3rd·15:30

    Puck in Netting

    CHI 2·PIT 6

  23. 3rd·15:29

    Ryan Greene Wrist Shot saved by Arturs Silovs

    ·

    CHI 2·PIT 6

  24. 3rd·15:23

    Colton Dach Wrist Shot Short

    ·

    CHI 2·PIT 6

  25. 3rd·15:22

    Ryan Greene Wrist Shot saved by Arturs Silovs

    ·

    CHI 2·PIT 6

  26. 3rd·15:21

    Ryan Greene Snap Shot saved by Arturs Silovs

    ·

    CHI 2·PIT 6

  27. 3rd·15:17

    Wyatt Kaiser Slap Shot Wide Right

    ·

    CHI 2·PIT 6

  28. 3rd·15:09

    Ryan Shea hit Ryan Donato

    ·

    CHI 2·PIT 6

  29. 3rd·14:52

    Colton Dach hit Ilya Solovyov

    ·

    CHI 2·PIT 6

  30. 3rd·14:31

    Thomas Novak faceoff won against Ryan Greene

    ·

    CHI 2·PIT 6

Team stats

CHI

Away

Stat

PIT

Home

20

Shots

45

0.0

PCT

0.0

6

PIM

8

24

Faceoffs W

34

16

Blocks

12

17

Giveaways

17

4

Takeaways

8

Betting line

PIT -1.5·O/U 6.5·CHI +154/PIT -185

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 28 skaters with EDGE
  • Louis CrevierCHI · D
    SHOT MPH102.899
  • Egor ChinakhovPIT · RW
    SHOT MPH94.799
  • Erik KarlssonPIT · D
    SKATE MPH22.897
  • Connor BedardCHI · C
    BURSTS19595
  • Alex VlasicCHI · D
    BURSTS7190

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · PIT favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(PIT win)

    33%

    weight

  • Goalie Starter

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(PIT win)

    32%

    weight

  • Xg Blend

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(PIT win)

    34%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

-185

Close price

-185

Open no-vig

62.2%

Close no-vig

62.2%

Line barely moved · Graded: hit

Data via ESPN · NHL API · hockeyR