NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+1NYI

NYI

30-19-5

NYR

22-27-6

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

NHLThu, Jan 29FinalSeriesNYI win series 4-0VegasNYI -142

Recap · NHL

ew York Islanders went into New York Rangers and beat them, 2–1.

NYR +1.5 cashed (NYI won by 1). Total stayed UNDER 5.5 by 2.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

NYI · top performer

Bo Horvat

C · #14

1Points

—

SOG

NYR · top performer

J.T. Miller

LW · #8

1Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

NYI30-19-5

NYR22-27-6

NYI30-19-5NYR22-27-6

NYI

30-19-5

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Goalie	Skating	Goalie
Player	GA	SA	SV	SV%

NYR

22-27-6

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Goalie	Skating	Goalie
Player	GA	SA	SV	SV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Season series

NYI win series 4-0

Nov 9

NYI5@

NYR0

Dec 27

NYR0@

NYI2

Jan 29

NYR2@

NYI5

Jan 30

NYI2@

NYR1today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

NYI -1.5

Total

5.5

Defensive · -3.0 vs avg

Moneyline

NYI-14259%

NYR+12045%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet NYI -1.5↗SpreadBet NYI -1.5↗

Line movement · 6 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

5.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

NYI beat NYR 2-1.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	T
NYI	0	2	0	2
NYR	0	0	1	1

Period scoring

NYI won 1 · NYR won 1

NYI

NYR

Play-by-play · 293 plays

period

event

player

3rd·20:00
Game End
NYI 2·NYR 1
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
NYI 2·NYR 1
3rd·19:41
Jean-Gabriel Pageau faceoff won against J.T. Miller
·
NYI 2·NYR 1
3rd·19:41
Timeout - Home
NYI 2·NYR 1
3rd·19:41
Vincent Trocheck Holding against Anders Lee
·
NYI 2·NYR 1
3rd·19:40
Matthew Schaefer shot blocked by Will Cuylle
·
NYI 2·NYR 1
3rd·19:26
Anders Lee Wrist Shot Wide Left
NYI 2·NYR 1
3rd·18:55
Mika Zibanejad shot blocked by Adam Pelech
·
NYI 2·NYR 1
3rd·18:21
J.T. Miller faceoff won against Bo Horvat
·
NYI 2·NYR 1
3rd·18:21
Off-side
NYI 2·NYR 1
3rd·18:11
Urho Vaakanainen shot blocked by Adam Pelech
·
NYI 2·NYR 1
3rd·17:44
Vincent Trocheck shot blocked by Simon Holmstrom
·
NYI 2·NYR 1
3rd·17:34
Will Cuylle hit Carson Soucy
·
NYI 2·NYR 1
3rd·17:18
Vincent Trocheck hit Jean-Gabriel Pageau
·
NYI 2·NYR 1
3rd·17:15
Will Cuylle hit Carson Soucy
·
NYI 2·NYR 1
3rd·16:31
J.T. Miller faceoff won against Bo Horvat
·
NYI 2·NYR 1
3rd·16:31
Puck Frozen - Goalie
NYI 2·NYR 1
3rd·16:25
Bo Horvat hit Urho Vaakanainen
·
NYI 2·NYR 1
3rd·15:05
Tony DeAngelo Wrist Shot saved by Jonathan Quick
·
NYI 2·NYR 1
3rd·15:03
Vladislav Gavrikov hit Mathew Barzal
·
NYI 2·NYR 1
3rd·14:55
Takeaway by Mathew Barzal
NYI 2·NYR 1
3rd·14:48
Mika Zibanejad Slap Shot saved by Ilya Sorokin
·
NYI 2·NYR 1
3rd·14:47
Giveaway by Mathew Barzal
NYI 2·NYR 1
3rd·14:32
Mika Zibanejad faceoff won against Jonathan Drouin
·
NYI 2·NYR 1
3rd·14:32
Icing
NYI 2·NYR 1
3rd·14:24
Mika Zibanejad faceoff won against Jonathan Drouin
·
NYI 2·NYR 1
3rd·14:24
Puck in Netting
NYI 2·NYR 1
3rd·14:21
Bo Horvat Snap Shot saved by Jonathan Quick
·
NYI 2·NYR 1
3rd·14:04
Bo Horvat faceoff won against Mika Zibanejad
·
NYI 2·NYR 1
3rd·14:04
Puck in Netting
NYI 2·NYR 1

Team stats

NYI

Away

Stat

NYR

Home

Shots

0.0

PCT

33.3

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Betting line

NYI -1.5·O/U 5.5·NYI -142/NYR +120

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 25 skaters with EDGE

Matthew SchaeferNYI · D
BURSTS26999+
J.T. MillerNYR · LW
SHOT MPH102.699+
Ryan PulockNYI · D
SHOT MPH103.099+
Mathew BarzalNYI · C
DIST MI274.399
Emil HeinemanNYI · LW
SHOT MPH97.399

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · NYR favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(NYR win)
33%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(NYR win)
32%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(NYR win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

+120

Close price

+120

Open no-vig

43.7%

Close no-vig

43.7%

Line barely moved · Graded: miss

Player projections

NYR vs NYI.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

138

projections · 120 high confidence

Shots on goal

Bo HorvatNYI
2.9± 0.9high
Kyle PalmieriNYI
2.7± 1.6high
Anders LeeNYI
2.3± 1.0high

Goals

Gabe PerreaultNYR
0.4± 1.0high
Anders LeeNYI
0.3± 0.5high
Bo HorvatNYI
0.3± 0.4high

Points

Adam FoxNYR
1.2± 1.0high
J.T. MillerNYR
1.0± 1.0high
Mika ZibanejadNYR
0.9± 1.0high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands