
PHI
24-20-9

BOS
32-20-3
Historical comparables
Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates
basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year
Recap · NHL
oston Bruins held off Philadelphia Flyers, 6–3.
BOS -1.5 cashed (won by 3). Total cleared the 6.5 OVER by 2.5.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
PHI · top performer

Travis Konecny
RW · #11
1
G
1
A
—
SOG
BOS · top performer

Fraser Minten
C · #93
1
G
2
A
—
SOG
NHL · Philadelphia Flyers at Boston Bruins · final
NHL · Box scoreEDGE


PHI
24-20-9
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Goalie | Skating | Goalie | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | GA | SA | SV | SV% |
BOS
32-20-3
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Goalie | Skating | Goalie | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | GA | SA | SV | SV% |
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
8
PIM
12
Season series
BOS leads series 1-0
Vegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
BOS -1.5
Total
6.5
Defensive · -2.0 vs avg
Moneyline
Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 8 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
1.5
0.0 since open
Total
6.5
0.0 since open
How it ended
BOS beat PHI 6-3.
Last play
Game End
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| BOS | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
Period scoring
PHI won 0 · BOS won 2
1
2
3
Play-by-play · 318 plays
- 3rd·20:00
Game End
PHI 3·BOS 6
- 3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
PHI 3·BOS 6
- 3rd·19:47
Sean Kuraly faceoff won against Trevor Zegras
·
PHI 3·BOS 6
- 3rd·19:47
Puck in Crowd
PHI 3·BOS 6
- 3rd·19:24
Bobby Brink hit Mason Lohrei
·
PHI 3·BOS 6
- 3rd·19:21
Mark Kastelic faceoff won against Trevor Zegras
·
PHI 3·BOS 6
- 3rd·19:21
Goalie Stopped
PHI 3·BOS 6
- 3rd·19:20
Nikita Grebenkin Snap Shot saved by Jeremy Swayman
·
PHI 3·BOS 6
- 3rd·19:14
Giveaway by Nikita Zadorov
PHI 3·BOS 6
- 3rd·18:58
Sean Kuraly faceoff won against Trevor Zegras
·
PHI 3·BOS 6
- 3rd·18:58
Michael Eyssimont Roughing against Nick Seeler
·
PHI 3·BOS 6
- 3rd·18:58
Nick Seeler Roughing against Michael Eyssimont
·
PHI 3·BOS 6
- 3rd·18:58
Denver Barkey Roughing against Matthew Poitras
·
PHI 3·BOS 6
- 3rd·18:58
Matthew Poitras Roughing against Denver Barkey
·
PHI 3·BOS 6
- 3rd·18:36
Owen Tippett Snap Shot saved by Jeremy Swayman
·
PHI 3·BOS 6
- 3rd·18:19
Noah Cates faceoff won against Matthew Poitras
·
PHI 3·BOS 6
- 3rd·18:19
Matvei Michkov Goal (13) Wrist Shot, assists: Denver Barkey (7), Owen Tippett (16)
· ·
PHI 3·BOS 6
- 3rd·18:17
Denver Barkey Snap Shot Wide Right
·
PHI 2·BOS 6
- 3rd·18:15
Denver Barkey Snap Shot saved by Jeremy Swayman
·
PHI 2·BOS 6
- 3rd·18:14
Owen Tippett Slap Shot saved by Jeremy Swayman
·
PHI 2·BOS 6
- 3rd·18:08
Giveaway by Sean Kuraly
PHI 2·BOS 6
- 3rd·17:53
Mark Kastelic faceoff won against Noah Cates
·
PHI 2·BOS 6
- 3rd·17:53
Andrew Peeke Tripping against Rasmus Ristolainen
·
PHI 2·BOS 6
- 3rd·17:50
Rasmus Ristolainen Backhand saved by Jeremy Swayman
·
PHI 2·BOS 6
- 3rd·17:31
Fraser Minten faceoff won against Sean Couturier
·
PHI 2·BOS 6
- 3rd·17:31
Goalie Stopped
PHI 2·BOS 6
- 3rd·17:29
Nicolas Deslauriers Snap Shot saved by Jeremy Swayman
·
PHI 2·BOS 6
- 3rd·17:01
Mark Kastelic shot blocked by Trevor Zegras
·
PHI 2·BOS 6
- 3rd·16:45
Noah Juulsen hit Mark Kastelic
·
PHI 2·BOS 6
- 3rd·16:30
Sean Kuraly faceoff won against Trevor Zegras
·
PHI 2·BOS 6
Team stats
PHI
Away
Stat
BOS
Home
36
Shots
27
33.3
PCT
0.0
8
PIM
12
23
Faceoffs W
30
17
Blocks
9
19
Giveaways
19
4
Takeaways
6
Betting line
BOS -1.5·O/U 6.5·PHI +136/BOS -162
NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts
5 of 28 skaters with EDGE
Jamie DrysdalePHI · DSKATE MPH23.098
Travis SanheimPHI · DSKATE MPH22.795
Cam YorkPHI · DSKATE MPH22.693
Christian DvorakPHI · CBURSTS3492
Marat KhusnutdinovBOS · CSKATE MPH23.092
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
50.1%
ensemble · BOS favored
Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(BOS win)
33%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(BOS win)
32%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(BOS win)
34%
weight
Disagreement
0.00 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
100% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
0 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.
The receipts
Closing-line value.
0.00
CLV pp
Open price
-162
Close price
-162
Open no-vig
59.3%
Close no-vig
59.3%
Line barely moved · Graded: hit