Live · 1
Free during beta —to track favorites + alerts
FINAL+1CAR
UTA

UTA

28-22-4

45
CAR

CAR

33-15-5

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

NHLThu, Jan 29FinalSeriesCAR leads series 1-0VegasCAR -192

Recap · NHL

arolina Hurricanes held off Utah Mammoth, 5–4.

UTA +1.5 cashed (CAR won by 1). Total cleared the 6.5 OVER by 2.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

UTA · top performer

UTA
Kailer Yamamoto

Kailer Yamamoto

RW · #56

3Points

2

G

1

A

—

SOG

CAR · top performer

CAR
Andrei Svechnikov

Andrei Svechnikov

RW · #37

3Points

2

G

1

A

—

SOG

NHL · Utah Mammoth at Carolina Hurricanes · final

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final
4
5
UTA28-22-4CAR33-15-5
UTA

UTA

28-22-4

4
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%
CAR

CAR

33-15-5

5
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

10

PIM

4

Season series

CAR leads series 1-0

Jan 30UTAUTA4@CARCAR5today
Apr 11CARCAR4@UTAUTA1

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

CAR -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

UTAUTA+16038%
CARCAR-19266%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet CAR -1.5↗SpreadBet CAR -1.5↗

Line movement · 7 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

CAR beat UTA 5-4.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team123T
UTA0314
CAR1135

Period scoring

UTA won 1 · CAR won 2

0
1

1

3
1

2

1
3

3

UTA
CAR

Play-by-play · 333 plays

period
event
player
  1. 3rd·20:00

    Game End

    UTA 4·CAR 5

  2. 3rd·20:00

    End of 3rd Period

    UTA 4·CAR 5

  3. 3rd·19:55

    Jalen Chatfield Snap Shot saved by Karel Vejmelka

    ·

    UTA 4·CAR 5

  4. 3rd·19:48

    Nick Schmaltz hit Sebastian Aho

    ·

    UTA 4·CAR 5

  5. 3rd·19:46

    Sebastian Aho Wrist Shot saved by Karel Vejmelka

    ·

    UTA 4·CAR 5

  6. 3rd·19:30

    Sebastian Aho faceoff won against Nick Schmaltz

    ·

    UTA 4·CAR 5

  7. 3rd·19:30

    Jordan Staal Goal (12) Tip-In, assists: Jordan Martinook (10), Jalen Chatfield (12)

    · ·

    UTA 4·CAR 5

  8. 3rd·19:28

    Jordan Martinook Tip-In Wide Left

    ·

    UTA 4·CAR 4

  9. 3rd·18:59

    Jordan Martinook Wrist Shot Wide Left

    ·

    UTA 4·CAR 4

  10. 3rd·18:57

    Jalen Chatfield Snap Shot saved by Karel Vejmelka

    ·

    UTA 4·CAR 4

  11. 3rd·18:44

    Jack McBain hit Jalen Chatfield

    ·

    UTA 4·CAR 4

  12. 3rd·18:38

    Jack McBain faceoff won against Jordan Staal

    ·

    UTA 4·CAR 4

  13. 3rd·18:38

    On-Ice Official

    UTA 4·CAR 4

  14. 3rd·18:38

    Puck in Benches

    UTA 4·CAR 4

  15. 3rd·18:33

    Jack McBain faceoff won against Jordan Staal

    ·

    UTA 4·CAR 4

  16. 3rd·18:33

    Shayne Gostisbehere Goal (8) Snap Shot, assists: Jackson Blake (16), Jaccob Slavin (3)

    · ·

    UTA 4·CAR 4

  17. 3rd·18:24

    Takeaway by Kevin Stenlund

    UTA 4·CAR 3

  18. 3rd·18:12

    Jackson Blake Wrist Shot saved by Karel Vejmelka

    ·

    UTA 4·CAR 3

  19. 3rd·18:08

    Giveaway by Lawson Crouse

    UTA 4·CAR 3

  20. 3rd·18:01

    Kevin Stenlund faceoff won against Jordan Staal

    ·

    UTA 4·CAR 3

  21. 3rd·18:01

    Andrei Svechnikov Goal (20) Snap Shot, assists: Shayne Gostisbehere (27), Nikolaj Ehlers (27)

    · ·

    UTA 4·CAR 3

  22. 3rd·17:59

    Shayne Gostisbehere Slap Shot Wide Left

    ·

    UTA 4·CAR 2

  23. 3rd·17:50

    Nikolaj Ehlers Snap Shot saved by Karel Vejmelka

    ·

    UTA 4·CAR 2

  24. 3rd·17:29

    Nikolaj Ehlers shot blocked by Jack McBain

    ·

    UTA 4·CAR 2

  25. 3rd·15:45

    Jack McBain faceoff won against Sebastian Aho

    ·

    UTA 4·CAR 2

  26. 3rd·15:45

    Icing

    UTA 4·CAR 2

  27. 3rd·15:27

    Shayne Gostisbehere Slap Shot Wide Left

    ·

    UTA 4·CAR 2

  28. 3rd·15:19

    Jordan Staal faceoff won against Kevin Stenlund

    ·

    UTA 4·CAR 2

  29. 3rd·15:19

    Goalie Stopped

    UTA 4·CAR 2

  30. 3rd·15:17

    Seth Jarvis Slap Shot saved by Karel Vejmelka

    ·

    UTA 4·CAR 2

Team stats

UTA

Away

Stat

CAR

Home

25

Shots

33

0.0

PCT

40.0

10

PIM

4

27

Faceoffs W

33

18

Blocks

8

24

Giveaways

17

5

Takeaways

6

Betting line

CAR -1.5·O/U 6.5·UTA +160/CAR -192

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 14 skaters with EDGE
  • Sean WalkerCAR · D
    SKATE MPH22.998
  • Taylor HallCAR · LW
    BURSTS4696
  • Sebastian AhoCAR · C
    DIST MI44.795
  • Nikolaj EhlersCAR · LW
    BURSTS3995
  • Seth JarvisCAR · C
    DIST MI39.992

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · CAR favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(CAR win)

    33%

    weight

  • Goalie Starter

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(CAR win)

    32%

    weight

  • Xg Blend

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(CAR win)

    34%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

+160

Close price

+160

Open no-vig

36.9%

Close no-vig

36.9%

Line barely moved · Graded: miss

Data via ESPN · NHL API · hockeyR