NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+1DAL

DAL

31-14-9

VGK

25-14-14

NHLThu, Jan 29FinalSeriesDAL leads series 1-0VegasVGK -120

DAL · top performer

Mavrik Bourque

C · #22

2Points

—

SOG

VGK · top performer

Ivan Barbashev

LW · #49

1Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final/SO

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
O. BackC · #10	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	12:01
J. BennLW · #14	0	2	1	1	1	2	0	13:00
M. BourqueC · #22	2	0	1	4	1	0	0	17:09
M. DucheneC · #95	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	17:26
A. ErneLW · #73	0	0	0	0	7	0	0	10:43
R. FaksaC · #12	0	0	0	1	2	1	0	12:14
R. HintzC · #24	0	1	-1	2	2	0	0	15:20
J. HryckowianC · #49	0	0	0	2	5	0	0	15:03
W. JohnstonC · #53	1	0	-1	4	3	1	0	20:39
M. RantanenRW · #96	0	1	-1	1	0	1	0	22:11
J. RobertsonLW · #21	0	1	-1	2	1	0	2	18:48
S. SteelC · #18	0	2	1	2	1	1	0	16:15

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
K. CapobiancoD · #20	0	0	2	1	0	2	0	12:20
T. HarleyD · #55	0	0	0	2	1	6	0	26:12
M. HeiskanenD · #4	0	0	-2	0	0	1	0	26:50
E. LindellD · #23	0	0	-3	3	1	3	0	23:51
N. LundkvistD · #5	0	0	2	1	1	2	0	19:33
A. PetrovicD · #28	0	0	2	0	1	3	0	13:25

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. OettingerG · #29	21	4	17	.810	65:00

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
I. BarbashevLW · #49	1	0	0	4	3	0	0	18:58
B. BowmanRW · #42	0	0	-1	3	0	1	0	13:04
P. DorofeyevRW · #16	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	17:17
J. EichelC · #9	0	0	2	0	3	0	2	22:48
T. HertlC · #48	0	1	-1	0	1	0	0	15:17
A. HoltzRW · #26	0	0	0	0	5	0	0	13:11
K. KolesarRW · #55	1	1	-1	2	5	1	0	14:38
T. LaczynskiC · #28	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	9:43
M. MarnerRW · #93	1	1	0	2	1	0	0	21:23
C. ReinhardtLW · #23	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	9:03
R. SmithRW · #19	1	0	-1	1	0	0	0	14:24
M. StoneRW · #61	0	1	2	0	0	1	0	20:09

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
R. AnderssonD · #4	0	1	0	3	0	2	0	22:44
N. HanifinD · #15	0	0	1	2	0	1	0	23:51
B. HuttonD · #17	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	15:50
K. KorczakD · #6	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	15:02
J. LauzonD · #5	0	0	-1	2	3	2	2	18:14
S. TheodoreD · #27	0	0	-1	1	0	1	0	26:19

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
A. HillG · #33	27	4	23	.852	64:05

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Team stats

DAL

Away

Stat

VGK

Home

Shots

0.0

PCT

0.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Season series

DAL leads series 1-0

Jan 30

DAL5@

VGK4today

Mar 11

VGK1@

DAL2

Mar 22

VGK3@

DAL2

Model & market

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

VGK -1.5

Total

5.5

Defensive · -3.0 vs avg

Moneyline

DAL+10050%

VGK-12055%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet VGK -1.5↗SpreadBet VGK -1.5↗

Line movement · 20 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

5.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

DAL beat VGK 5-4. M. Bourque led the way — 2 G · 4 SOG.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	OT	SO	T
DAL	1	3	0	0	1	5
VGK	0	1	3	0	0	4

Period scoring

DAL won 3 · VGK won 1

DAL

VGK

Play-by-play · 345 plays

period

event

player

SO·0:00
Game End
DAL 2·VGK 0
SO·0:00
End of OT
DAL 2·VGK 0
SO·0:00
End of Shootout
DAL 2·VGK 0
SO·0:00
Mikko Rantanen Goal Snap Shot
DAL 2·VGK 0
SO·0:00
Jack Eichel Wrist Shot saved by Jake Oettinger
·
DAL 2·VGK 0
SO·0:00
Matt Duchene Backhand Wide Right
· ·
DAL 2·VGK 0
SO·0:00
Pavel Dorofeyev Wrist Shot saved by Jake Oettinger
·
DAL 2·VGK 0
SO·0:00
Jason Robertson Goal Wrist Shot
DAL 2·VGK 0
SO·0:00
Start of Shootout
DAL 0·VGK 0
OT·5:00
End of OT
DAL 4·VGK 4
OT·4:39
Mark Stone Snap Shot Wide Right
·
DAL 4·VGK 4
OT·4:02
Jack Eichel faceoff won against Mikko Rantanen
·
DAL 4·VGK 4
OT·4:02
Puck in Netting
DAL 4·VGK 4
OT·3:28
Mavrik Bourque Wrist Shot saved by Adin Hill
·
DAL 4·VGK 4
OT·1:57
Jason Robertson Wrist Shot saved by Adin Hill
·
DAL 4·VGK 4
OT·1:30
Mitch Marner Wrist Shot Wide Right
·
DAL 4·VGK 4
OT·1:08
Mikko Rantanen faceoff won against Jack Eichel
·
DAL 4·VGK 4
OT·1:08
Puck in Netting
DAL 4·VGK 4
OT·1:06
Mitch Marner shot blocked by Sam Steel
·
DAL 4·VGK 4
OT·0:17
Sam Steel Wrist Shot saved by Adin Hill
·
DAL 4·VGK 4
OT·0:00
Roope Hintz faceoff won against Jack Eichel
·
DAL 4·VGK 4
OT·0:00
Start of Overtime
DAL 4·VGK 4
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
DAL 4·VGK 4
3rd·19:34
Tomas Hertl faceoff won against Radek Faksa
·
DAL 4·VGK 4
3rd·19:34
Off-side
DAL 4·VGK 4
3rd·19:32
Giveaway by Ivan Barbashev
DAL 4·VGK 4
3rd·19:11
Jack Eichel faceoff won against Roope Hintz
·
DAL 4·VGK 4
3rd·19:11
Mitch Marner Goal (13) Snap Shot, assists: Tomas Hertl (25)
·
DAL 4·VGK 4
3rd·19:06
Tomas Hertl faceoff won against Matt Duchene
·
DAL 4·VGK 3
3rd·19:06
Icing
DAL 4·VGK 3

Betting line

VGK -1.5·O/U 5.5·DAL +100/VGK -120

DraftKings · via ESPN

Recap · NHL

allas Stars went into Vegas Golden Knights and beat them, 5–4.

DAL +1.5 cashed (VGK lost outright). Total cleared the 5.5 OVER by 3.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

53.4%

ensemble · VGK favored

Elo Static
53.4%
P(VGK win)
69%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
53.4%
P(VGK win)
15%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
53.4%
P(VGK win)
16%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

1 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Team pages

Dallas StarsVegas Golden Knights

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