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COL#15 · National League
Colorado Rockies
43-67 (39.1%) · W1 · L10 3-7
Model verdict
Where they stand
The verdict · Pythagorean expectation (1.83 exponent)
#29 of 30
Pyth(1.83) .412 · exp 45.3-64.7 vs act 43-67 · n=110 · luck -2.3W · thru 2026-07-31 · mlb_game_results
Rank within the full 30-team population on a published metric — no invented composites. How we grade
Last 5 form
2026-07-25 → 2026-07-31 · Full ATS profile →
Lost by 3 at MIL, 5-8, 2026-07-25. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
Lost by 9 at MIL, 2-11, 2026-07-26. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
Lost by 1 at SD, 7-8, 2026-07-28. Covered the spread (closing line).
Lost by 2 at SD, 1-3, 2026-07-29. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
Won by 2 vs KC, 3-1, 2026-07-31. Covered the spread (closing line).
Stat leaders
Who carries them
OPS
- 1Hunter Goodman101 G.863
- 2TJ Rumfield107 G.839
- 3Jake McCarthy95 G.816
- 4Kyle Karros103 G.794
- 5Troy Johnston97 G.743
Home runs
- 1Hunter Goodman101 G31
- 2TJ Rumfield107 G13
- 3Willi Castro93 G11
- 4Jake McCarthy95 G10
- 5Kyle Karros103 G9
RBI
- 1Hunter Goodman101 G60
- 2Jake McCarthy95 G59
- 3TJ Rumfield107 G54
- 4Willi Castro93 G45
- 5Troy Johnston97 G41
Batting average
- 1TJ Rumfield107 G.293
- 2Jake McCarthy95 G.289
- 3Troy Johnston97 G.283
- 4Kyle Karros103 G.266
- 5Willi Castro93 G.259
Stolen bases
- 1Jake McCarthy95 G17
- 2Willi Castro93 G7
- 3Hunter Goodman101 G5
- 4Ezequiel Tovar101 G5
- 5Troy Johnston97 G4
2026 season · MLB Stats API · MLB-qualified pool (3.1 PA / 1.0 IP per team game; min 20 G hitters / 20 IP pitchers) — counting boards draw from the same qualified pool
Team rate stats · 2026
Hitting + pitching vs league
MLB Stats API
Hitting
AVG
.252vs .244Slight edge
OBP
.322vs .318League avg
SLG
.415vs .401Slight edge
OPS
.737vs .720Slight edge
HR
122
R / G
4.7
K / G
8.7
Pitching
ERA
5.50vs 4.18Below avg
FIP (approx)
4.81vs 4.19Below avg
WHIP
1.52vs 1.30Below avg
K / 9
7.2vs 8.5Below avg
BB / 9
3.3vs 3.4Slight edge
BAA
.289
HR / 9
1.4
GP
110
Tick mark on each bar is the league average for the 2026 season. ERA / FIP / WHIP / BB-9 are inverted (lower is better); the tone label still reads intuitively. FIP is approximate — fixed 3.10 constant, not the season-derived one.
Inning identity
When they score
Pattern by inning
12 games · for vs against
ForAgainst
4.3 avg / 6.2 allowed
Plate signature
The strike zone
Plate identity
From the catcher's view · last 30 games
Avg runs / game
5.23
Blowout wins (4+)
3
Shutout games
1
Form last 30
12-18
Pitch heat density activates with Statcast pitch-location ingest. Until then, the signature is the team's aggregate scoring identity.
Run-scoring identity
How they score
Scoring distribution
30 games · avg 5.2 runs
Form heatmap
The margin trail
Margin trail
Last 30 games · 2026-06-24 → 2026-07-31
Record
12-18
Win pct
40.0%
Avg margin
-0.6
Longest W
3
Longest L
4
Upset wins
12
Each cell = one game. Color = outcome. Intensity = margin. Diagonal slash = model called the wrong side. Click any cell to open that game's page.
Model rating arc
The Elo timeline
164 games · 2025-08-02 → 2026-07-31
Peak 1433 · Now 1415 · Trough 1351
Next 5 games
The road ahead
vsKCpwr —
vsKCpwr —
vsTBpwr 62
vsTBpwr 62
vsTBpwr 62
Recent transactions
Latest player movement
- Jun 12
Transferred RHP Chase Dollander to the 60-day IL. Selected the contract of LHP Sean Sullivan from Albuquerque (PCL). Optioned LHP Sammy Peralta to Albuquerque.
- Jun 11
Agreed to terms with 2B Ben Wilmes on a minor league contract.
- Jun 10
Sent RHP Keegan Thompson outright to Albuquerque (PCL).
- Jun 9
Sent RHPs Jimmy Herget and Victor Vodnik on rehab assignments to Albuquerque (PCL). Designated RHP Keegan Thompson for assignment. Placed RF Tyler Freeman on the 7-day IL. Selected the contract of OF Cole Carrigg from Albuquerque. Recalled RHP Jeff Criswell from Albuquerque.
- Jun 7
Recalled LHP Sammy Peralta from Albuquerque (PCL). Optioned RHP TJ Shook to Albuquerque.
Source · ESPN
Position players · 26
Hitters & fielders
A. Senzatela
RP · #49
B. Bernardino
RP · #83
B. Doyle
CF · #9
B. Sullivan
C · #26
C. Carrigg
CF · #16
E. Julien
2B · #6
E. Tovar
SS · #14
G. Hughes
SP · #43
H. Goodman
C · #15
J. McCarthy
CF · #31
J. Herget
RP · #44
J. Romano
RP · #68
J. Mejia
RP · #47
K. Freeland
SP · #21
K. Karros
3B · #12
M. Lorenzen
SP · #24
M. Moniak
LF · #22
R. Feltner
SP · #18
T. Gordon
RP · #29
T. Rumfield
1B · #7
T. Sugano
SP · #11
T. Johnston
RF · #20
T. Freeman
RF · #2
V. Vodnik
RP · #38
W. Castro
2B · #3
Z. Agnos
RP · #36