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COL#15 · National League
Colorado Rockies
27-46 (37.0%) · L1 · L10 3-7
Model verdict
Where they stand
The verdict · Pythagorean expectation (1.83 exponent)
#30 of 30
Pyth(1.83) .391 · exp 28.6-44.4 vs act 27-46 · n=73 · luck -1.6W · thru 2026-06-15 · mlb_game_results
Rank within the full 30-team population on a published metric — no invented composites. How we grade
Last 5 form
2026-06-11 → 2026-06-15 · Full ATS profile →
Lost by 6 vs CHC, 3-9, 2026-06-11. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
Lost by 2 at ATH, 4-6, 2026-06-12. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
Lost by 2 at ATH, 5-7, 2026-06-13. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
Won by 14 at ATH, 23-9, 2026-06-14. Covered the spread (closing line).
Lost by 1 at CHC, 4-5, 2026-06-15. Covered the spread (closing line).
Stat leaders
Who carries them
OPS
- 1Hunter Goodman67 G.864
- 2Troy Johnston68 G.821
- 3TJ Rumfield70 G.813
- 4Willi Castro61 G.760
- 5Kyle Karros69 G.696
Home runs
- 1Hunter Goodman67 G20
- 2TJ Rumfield70 G9
- 3Willi Castro61 G5
- 4Ezequiel Tovar68 G5
- 5Troy Johnston68 G3
RBI
- 1Hunter Goodman67 G37
- 2Troy Johnston68 G34
- 3TJ Rumfield70 G34
- 4Willi Castro61 G29
- 5Ezequiel Tovar68 G24
Batting average
- 1Troy Johnston68 G.316
- 2Willi Castro61 G.282
- 3TJ Rumfield70 G.275
- 4Hunter Goodman67 G.255
- 5Kyle Karros69 G.244
Stolen bases
- 1Willi Castro61 G5
- 2Hunter Goodman67 G5
- 3Troy Johnston68 G4
- 4Ezequiel Tovar68 G4
- 5Kyle Karros69 G2
ERA
- 1Tomoyuki Sugano73.3 IP4.79
WHIP
- 1Tomoyuki Sugano73.3 IP1.35
Strikeouts
- 1Tomoyuki Sugano73.3 IP41
2026 season · MLB Stats API · MLB-qualified pool (3.1 PA / 1.0 IP per team game; min 20 G hitters / 20 IP pitchers) — counting boards draw from the same qualified pool
Team rate stats · 2026
Hitting + pitching vs league
MLB Stats API
Hitting
AVG
.253vs .243Slight edge
OBP
.322vs .319League avg
SLG
.408vs .398Slight edge
OPS
.730vs .717Slight edge
HR
76
R / G
4.6
K / G
9.0
Pitching
ERA
5.63vs 4.18Below avg
FIP (approx)
4.82vs 4.18Below avg
WHIP
1.53vs 1.31Below avg
K / 9
7.4vs 8.5Below avg
BB / 9
3.5vs 3.5League avg
BAA
.288
HR / 9
1.4
GP
73
Tick mark on each bar is the league average for the 2026 season. ERA / FIP / WHIP / BB-9 are inverted (lower is better); the tone label still reads intuitively. FIP is approximate — fixed 3.10 constant, not the season-derived one.
Inning identity
When they score
Pattern by inning
12 games · for vs against
ForAgainst
5.9 avg / 6.5 allowed
Plate signature
The strike zone
Plate identity
From the catcher's view · last 30 games
Avg runs / game
4.90
Blowout wins (4+)
4
Shutout games
1
Form last 30
10-20
Pitch heat density activates with Statcast pitch-location ingest. Until then, the signature is the team's aggregate scoring identity.
Run-scoring identity
How they score
Scoring distribution
30 games · avg 4.9 runs
Form heatmap
The margin trail
Margin trail
Last 30 games · 2026-05-14 → 2026-06-15
Record
10-20
Win pct
33.3%
Avg margin
-2.0
Longest W
2
Longest L
5
Upset wins
10
Each cell = one game. Color = outcome. Intensity = margin. Diagonal slash = model called the wrong side. Click any cell to open that game's page.
Model rating arc
The Elo timeline
164 games · 2025-06-16 → 2026-06-15
Peak 1425 · Now 1383 · Trough 1351
Recent transactions
Latest player movement
- Jun 12
Transferred RHP Chase Dollander to the 60-day IL. Selected the contract of LHP Sean Sullivan from Albuquerque (PCL). Optioned LHP Sammy Peralta to Albuquerque.
- Jun 11
Agreed to terms with 2B Ben Wilmes on a minor league contract.
- Jun 10
Sent RHP Keegan Thompson outright to Albuquerque (PCL).
- Jun 9
Sent RHPs Jimmy Herget and Victor Vodnik on rehab assignments to Albuquerque (PCL). Designated RHP Keegan Thompson for assignment. Placed RF Tyler Freeman on the 7-day IL. Selected the contract of OF Cole Carrigg from Albuquerque. Recalled RHP Jeff Criswell from Albuquerque.
- Jun 7
Recalled LHP Sammy Peralta from Albuquerque (PCL). Optioned RHP TJ Shook to Albuquerque.
Source · ESPN
Position players · 26
Hitters & fielders
A. Senzatela
RP · #49
B. Castano
RP · #63
B. Fulford
C · #37
B. Bernardino
RP · #83
B. Sullivan
C · #26
C. Carrigg
CF · #16
E. Julien
2B · #6
E. Tovar
SS · #14
H. Goodman
C · #15
J. Hill
RP · #0
J. McCarthy
CF · #31
J. Mejia
RP · #47
K. Freeland
SP · #21
K. Karros
3B · #12
M. Lorenzen
SP · #24
R. Feltner
SP · #18
S. Sullivan
SP · #45
S. Halvorsen
RP · #54
S. Thompson
RF · #30
T. Rumfield
1B · #7
T. Sugano
SP · #11
T. Johnston
RF · #20
T. Freeman
RF · #2
V. Vodnik
RP · #38
W. Castro
2B · #3
Z. Agnos
RP · #36