Cincinnati Reds vs Colorado Rockies: Final Score & Box Score — Jul 18, 2026

FINAL+7COL

CIN

44-53

310

COL

40-60

Coors Field · Denver, Colorado

31,585 attended

Line movement

200 snapshots

COL spread

+1.5

open +1.5

Total

O/U 13.0

open O/U 13.0

COL no-vig %

49.4%

open 49.6% · -0.2

Stepped lines reflect captured market snapshots from odds_snapshots. Spread sign convention: negative = COL favored. Live mode caps the in-game branch to the last 60 minutes.

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.9%

ensemble · COL favored

Elo Static
49.9%
P(COL win)
33%
weight
Elo Pitching
51.1%
P(COL win)
33%
weight
Bullpen Park
50.4%
P(COL win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.49 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

97% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

3 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Line shopping · 1 book

Where to bet this game.

Same model, different prices. The same moneyline can vary 25¢ across books — taking the worst price wipes out a real edge instantly. Star marks the best-paying book per side.

+50.2pp

best edge · COL · DraftKings

CIN

no live price

COL

★ best

—DraftKings

edge +50.2pp · implied 0.0%

Book	CIN	COL	Best edge
DraftKings	+1520	—★	+50.2

Edges shown are model probability minus no-vig implied probability for that side at that book. Stars mark the highest-paying cell per side. Lines refresh every 60 seconds.

Player projections

COL vs CIN.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

130

projections · 109 high confidence

Strikeouts

Hunter GreeneCIN
6.6± 4.7low
Chase BurnsCIN
6.5± 2.5high
Brady SingerCIN
5.0± 1.1high

Hits

Nathaniel LoweCIN
1.2± 1.2high
Cole CarriggCOL
1.2± 1.3high
Elly De La CruzCIN
1.1± 1.0high

Total bases

Jose TrevinoCIN
2.0± 3.2high
Hunter GoodmanCOL
2.0± 3.3high
Elly De La CruzCIN
1.9± 2.1high

RBIs

Sal StewartCIN
1.0± 1.4high
Hunter GoodmanCOL
0.8± 1.6high
Jake McCarthyCOL
0.7± 1.1high

Earned runs

Hunter GreeneCIN
4.2± 4.1low
Kyle FreelandCOL
3.9± 1.9high
Ryan FeltnerCOL
3.3± 2.7medium

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

CIN

league avg

COL

.708

OPS

.719

▶

.743

.310

OBP

.318

▶

.324

4.16

Runs / G

4.50

▶

4.80

4.41

Team ERA

◀

4.18

5.46

1.41

WHIP

◀

1.30

1.51

8.1

K / 9

◀

8.5

7.2

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

COL wins

CIN 3 · COL 10 (by 7)

Model verdict

✗ Missed

Picked CIN +0pp

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
CIN	0	0	1	0	1	0	1	0	0	3
COL	2	4	2	0	0	2	0	0	10

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
E. De La CruzSS	.282	4	0	1	0	0	0	0
S. Stewart1B	.254	4	0	0	0	0	0	1
J. BledayLF	.243	4	0	1	0	0	0	2
S. Steer1B	.250	4	0	1	0	0	0	0
E. SuarezDH	.210	4	0	0	0	0	0	2
N. MarteRF	.197	4	1	1	0	0	0	0
D. MyersCF	.248	3	0	0	0	0	1	1
J. TrevinoC	.268	4	2	3	2	2	0	0
E. Arroyo2B	.236	2	0	1	0	0	0	0
N. LoweDH	.250	2	0	1	1	0	0	0
Team		35	3	9	3	2	1	6

Player

.282

.254

.243

.250

.210

.197

.248

.268

.236

.250

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
R. LowderSP	2.1	11	8	8	0	2	48
J. GarciaRP	2.2	2	0	0	0	2	32
C. FergusonRP	1.0	1	2	2	1	2	18
S. MollRP	1.0	0	0	0	2	1	20
P. JohnsonRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	15
Team	8.0	14	10	10	3	8	133

Player

2.1

2.2

1.0

1.0

1.0

Team

8.0

133

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. McCarthyCF	.303	5	2	2	2	0	0	0
M. MoniakLF	.276	5	1	2	2	0	0	1
C. CarriggCF	.288	4	3	2	1	0	1	0
T. Rumfield1B	.302	5	1	4	4	1	0	1
W. Castro2B	.264	4	0	1	1	0	0	1
T. JohnstonRF	.297	4	0	0	0	0	0	1
E. Julien2B	.223	3	1	1	0	0	1	1
B. SullivanC	.222	4	1	1	0	0	0	2
E. TovarSS	.199	3	1	1	0	0	1	1
B. FulfordDH	.193	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team		37	10	14	10	1	3	8

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
T. SuganoSP	6.1	6	3	3	0	3	77
J. MejiaRP	0.2	1	0	0	1	0	16
B. BernardinoRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	3	17
Z. AgnosRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	9
Team	9.0	9	3	3	1	6	119

Team

CIN

COL

—

3 sub-models, blended.

Where to bet this game.

COL vs CIN.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Where to bet this game.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

COL vs CIN.

3 sub-models, blended.