Colorado Rockies vs Los Angeles Dodgers: Final Score & Box Score — Jul 7, 2026

FINAL+1COL

COL

38-55

LAD

60-33

Dodger Stadium · Los Angeles, California

47,806 attended

Line movement

33 snapshots

LAD spread

-1.5

open -1.5

Total

O/U 9.5

open O/U 9.5

LAD no-vig %

73.2%

open 73.2%

Stepped lines reflect captured market snapshots from odds_snapshots. Spread sign convention: negative = LAD favored. Live mode caps the in-game branch to the last 60 minutes.

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

74.0%

ensemble · LAD favored

Elo Static
73.5%
P(LAD win)
33%
weight
Elo Pitching
77.9%
P(LAD win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
73.9%
P(LAD win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

1.97 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

87% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

3 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

LAD vs COL.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

132

projections · 100 high confidence

Strikeouts

Tarik SkubalLAD
7.6± 2.7medium
Yoshinobu YamamotoLAD
6.1± 2.4high
Justin WrobleskiLAD
5.6± 3.5medium

Hits

Freddie FreemanLAD
1.8± 0.9high
Shohei OhtaniLAD
1.2± 1.0high
Cole CarriggCOL
1.1± 1.1high

Total bases

Freddie FreemanLAD
2.3± 1.4high
Shohei OhtaniLAD
2.2± 2.5high
Hunter GoodmanCOL
2.0± 3.3high

RBIs

Hunter GoodmanCOL
0.8± 1.6high
Mickey MoniakCOL
0.8± 1.1high
Shohei OhtaniLAD
0.7± 1.1high

Earned runs

Kyle FreelandCOL
4.2± 1.6high
Ryan FeltnerCOL
3.3± 2.7medium
Michael LorenzenCOL
3.1± 2.4high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

COL

league avg

LAD

.741

OPS

.720

▶

.774

.323

OBP

.318

▶

.341

4.77

Runs / G

4.50

▶

5.12

5.50

Team ERA

4.18

▶

3.60

1.52

WHIP

1.31

▶

1.14

7.1

K / 9

8.5

▶

9.1

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

COL wins

COL 4 · LAD 3 (by 1)

Model verdict

✗ Missed

Picked LAD +24pp

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
COL	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	0	4
LAD	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	3

Final play

“End of the 9th inning”

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

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Team pages

Colorado RockiesLos Angeles Dodgers

Elsewhere in the MLB

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
W. Castro2B	.267	4	0	1	0	0	1	3
K. Karros3B	.260	4	1	0	0	0	1	1
T. Rumfield1B	.297	3	0	1	0	0	1	1
C. CarriggCF	.318	4	2	2	0	0	0	0
T. FreemanRF	.273	4	1	1	0	0	0	0
J. McCarthyCF	.303	2	0	0	2	0	0	1
E. TovarSS	.207	4	0	0	0	0	0	1
B. FulfordDH	.189	4	0	1	0	0	0	3
M. MoniakLF	.282	4	0	2	0	0	0	1
Team		33	4	8	2	0	3	11

Player

.267

.260

.297

.318

.273

.303

.207

.189

.282

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
M. LorenzenSP	6.0	6	3	2	3	5	95
J. MejiaRP	2.0	1	0	0	0	1	24
J. RomanoRP	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	23
Team	9.0	8	3	2	4	7	142

Player

M. LorenzenSP

6.0

J. MejiaRP

2.0

J. RomanoRP

1.0

Team

9.0

142

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
S. OhtaniDH	.294	4	1	1	1	1	1	1
A. PagesCF	.263	4	0	1	1	0	1	0
F. Freeman1B	.293	5	0	2	0	0	0	1
M. Muncy3B	.264	4	0	0	0	0	0	2
T. Edman2B	.340	4	1	1	0	0	0	0
K. TuckerRF	.248	4	0	0	0	0	0	1
D. RushingC	.264	3	0	0	0	0	1	0
A. Freeland2B	.237	4	1	3	1	0	0	1
M. Rojas2B	.284	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
T. HernándezLF	.260	0	0	0	0	0	1	0
A. CallLF	.262	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team		35	3	8	3	1	4	7

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. WrobleskiSP	7.0	6	1	1	2	9	94
W. KleinRP	0.1	1	3	0	1	0	18
J. DreyerRP	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	2
E. PhillipsRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	17
Team	9.0	8	4	1	3	11	131

Team

COL

LAD

3 sub-models, blended.

LAD vs COL.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

LAD vs COL.

3 sub-models, blended.