San Francisco Giants vs Colorado Rockies: Final Score & Box Score — Jul 5, 2026

FINAL+1COL

37-52

COL

37-54

Coors Field · Denver, Colorado

25,548 attended

Line movement

37 snapshots

COL spread

+1.5

open PK · +1.5

Total

O/U 13.0

open O/U 13.0

COL no-vig %

46.2%

open 45.8% · +0.4

Stepped lines reflect captured market snapshots from odds_snapshots. Spread sign convention: negative = COL favored. Live mode caps the in-game branch to the last 60 minutes.

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

43.5%

ensemble · SF favored

Elo Static
46.7%
P(COL win)
33%
weight
Elo Pitching
45.7%
P(COL win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
47.2%
P(COL win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.62 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

96% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

3 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

COL vs SF.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

127

projections · 100 high confidence

Strikeouts

Landen RouppSF
4.9± 2.0high
Robbie RaySF
4.8± 1.8high
Tyler MahleSF
4.8± 2.2medium

Hits

Luis ArraezSF
1.4± 1.4high
Cole CarriggCOL
1.1± 1.1high
Mickey MoniakCOL
1.1± 0.6high

Total bases

Hunter GoodmanCOL
2.0± 3.3high
Mickey MoniakCOL
2.0± 1.9high
Willi CastroCOL
2.0± 1.8high

RBIs

Osleivis BasabeSF
1.3± 3.1low
Hunter GoodmanCOL
0.8± 1.6high
Mickey MoniakCOL
0.8± 1.1high

Earned runs

Kyle FreelandCOL
4.2± 1.6high
Carson WhisenhuntSF
3.5± 2.6low
Ryan FeltnerCOL
3.3± 2.7medium

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

league avg

COL

.725

OPS

.720

▶

.741

.310

OBP

.318

▶

.323

4.20

Runs / G

4.50

▶

4.77

4.38

Team ERA

◀

4.18

5.50

1.35

WHIP

◀

1.31

1.52

7.7

K / 9

◀

8.5

7.1

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

COL wins

SF 6 · COL 7 (by 1)

Model verdict

✗ Missed

Picked SF +3pp

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
SF	0	2	0	1	2	1	0	0	0	6
COL	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	3	7

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Team pages

San Francisco GiantsColorado Rockies

Elsewhere in the MLB

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
L. Arraez2B	.326	4	0	0	0	0	1	0
C. SchmittLF	.283	4	1	1	1	1	0	1
H. RamosLF	.266	4	0	1	0	0	1	2
R. Devers1B	.248	5	2	2	2	2	0	2
J. LeeRF	.315	5	0	1	0	0	0	0
W. AdamesSS	.232	4	2	1	0	0	1	3
B. EldridgeDH	.274	3	0	0	0	0	1	2
D. GilbertCF	.243	4	1	4	3	1	0	0
D. CavanaughC	.200	3	0	0	0	0	0	2
J. CoxCF	.269	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team		36	6	10	6	4	4	12

Player

.326

.283

.266

.248

.315

.232

.274

.243

.200

.269

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
T. MahleSP	4.1	8	4	3	0	5	75
E. MillerRP	1.2	0	0	0	0	2	13
A. HouserSP	0.2	1	0	0	0	0	6
S. HentgesRP	0.1	0	0	0	0	1	8
D. SmithRP	1.0	2	3	3	0	1	20
Team	8.0	11	7	6	0	9	122

Player

4.1

1.2

0.2

0.1

1.0

Team

8.0

122

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. McCarthyCF	.306	4	1	1	0	0	0	2
M. MoniakLF	.277	3	0	0	0	0	0	2
H. GoodmanC	.254	4	1	2	1	0	0	1
T. Rumfield1B	.301	4	2	3	0	0	0	0
T. JohnstonRF	.313	2	0	1	1	0	0	0
K. Karros3B	.263	4	1	1	3	1	0	2
E. Julien2B	.227	4	1	1	0	0	0	1
B. SullivanC	.220	4	0	1	1	0	0	0
E. TovarSS	.208	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
C. CarriggCF	.289	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
B. FulfordDH	.188	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
T. FreemanRF	.268	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
W. Castro2B	.269	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
Team		33	7	11	6	1	0	9

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
T. GordonRP	5.0	6	5	5	2	7	94
B. BernardinoRP	1.0	1	1	0	1	0	20
J. HergetRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	20
V. VodnikRP	1.0	1	0	0	1	2	25
J. RomanoRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	21
Team	9.0	10	6	5	4	12	180

Team

COL

—

3 sub-models, blended.

COL vs SF.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

COL vs SF.

3 sub-models, blended.