Kansas City Royals vs Los Angeles Angels: Final Score & Box Score — Sep 24, 2025

FINAL+1LAA

79-79

LAA

71-87

Angel Stadium · Anaheim, California

29,266 attended

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

38.5%

ensemble · KC favored

Elo Static
43.9%
P(LAA win)
33%
weight
Elo Pitching
43.3%
P(LAA win)
33%
weight
Bullpen Park
43.0%
P(LAA win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.38 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

98% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

3 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

LAA vs KC.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

122

projections · 95 high confidence

Strikeouts

Reid DetmersLAA
6.3± 2.0high
Noah CameronKC
5.3± 3.4high
Walbert UrenaLAA
5.1± 1.5high

Hits

Bobby Witt Jr.KC
1.0± 1.3high
Jac CaglianoneKC
1.0± 0.8high
Vaughn GrissomLAA
1.0± 1.1high

Total bases

Jac CaglianoneKC
1.7± 1.7high
Luke MaileKC
1.6± 2.0low
Salvador PerezKC
1.6± 1.5high

RBIs

Luke MaileKC
1.0± 1.6low
Jac CaglianoneKC
0.6± 0.9high
Michael MasseyKC
0.5± 0.7high

Earned runs

Grayson RodriguezLAA
3.5± 2.7low
Ryan JohnsonLAA
3.1± 3.5low
Noah CameronKC
3.0± 2.6high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

league avg

LAA

.708

OPS

◀

.720

.693

.312

OBP

.318

.312

4.14

Runs / G

4.50

4.15

4.80

Team ERA

4.18

▶

4.46

1.42

WHIP

1.30

▶

1.36

7.6

K / 9

8.5

▶

9.1

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

LAA wins

KC 2 · LAA 3 (by 1)

Model verdict

✗ Missed

Picked KC +6pp

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
KC	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	2
LAA	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	3

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Team pages

Kansas City RoyalsLos Angeles Angels

Elsewhere in the MLB

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
M. Garcia3B	.286	4	0	0	0	0	0	0
B. Witt Jr.SS	.291	4	0	0	0	0	0	0
V. Pasquantino1B	.267	4	0	0	0	0	0	3
S. PerezDH	.241	4	0	0	0	0	0	2
R. GrichukDH	.204	2	1	1	1	1	0	0
J. India2B	.233	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
L. MaileC	.244	2	0	0	0	0	0	2
J. CaglianoneRF	.163	2	0	0	0	0	1	0
T. TolbertSS	.280	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
M. YastrzemskiLF	.225	1	1	0	0	0	0	1
C. JensenC	.304	1	0	1	1	0	0	0
A. Frazier2B	.281	0	0	0	0	0	1	0
Team		29	2	2	2	1	2	9

Player

.286

.291

.267

.241

.204

.233

.244

.163

.280

.225

.304

.281

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
S. KolekSP	6.0	5	3	2	2	2	94
J. BowlanRP	2.0	1	0	0	1	4	35
Team	8.0	6	3	2	3	6	129

Player

S. KolekSP

6.0

J. BowlanRP

2.0

Team

8.0

129

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
N. Schanuel1B	.267	3	0	0	0	0	1	0
T. WardLF	.228	4	1	1	1	1	0	1
Y. Moncada3B	.238	3	0	1	0	0	1	1
J. AdellRF	.235	4	0	0	0	0	0	1
L. RengifoLF	.240	4	1	1	0	0	0	0
C. Moore2B	.208	4	0	2	0	0	0	2
O. Peraza2B	.193	4	1	1	1	0	0	0
S. RiveroC	.172	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
B. TeodosioLF	.209	2	0	0	0	0	1	1
Team		31	3	6	2	1	3	6

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Y. KikuchiSP	5.0	1	1	1	1	6	66
J. FerminRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	11
C. SilsethRP	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	19
L. GarciaRP	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	18
K. JansenRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	8
Team	9.0	2	2	2	2	9	122

Team

LAA

—

3 sub-models, blended.

LAA vs KC.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

LAA vs KC.

3 sub-models, blended.