NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+1MTL

CBJ

38-23-11

MTL

40-21-10

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

NHLThu, Mar 26FinalSeriestied 1-1VegasMTL -112

Recap · NHL

ontreal Canadiens held off Columbus Blue Jackets, 2–1.

CBJ +1.5 cashed (MTL won by 1). Total stayed UNDER 6.5 by 3.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

CBJ · top performer

Boone Jenner

C · #38

1Points

—

SOG

MTL · top performer

Zack Bolduc

RW · #76

2Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

CBJ38-23-11

MTL40-21-10

CBJ38-23-11MTL40-21-10

CBJ

38-23-11

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Goalie	Skating	Goalie
Player	GA	SA	SV	SV%

MTL

40-21-10

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Goalie	Skating	Goalie
Player	GA	SA	SV	SV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Season series

Series tied 1-1

Nov 18

MTL3@

CBJ4

Mar 26

CBJ1@

MTL2today

Apr 11

CBJ5@

MTL2

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

MTL -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

CBJ-10852%

MTL-11253%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet MTL -1.5↗SpreadBet MTL -1.5↗

Line movement · 9 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

MTL beat CBJ 2-1.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	T
CBJ	1	0	0	1
MTL	1	0	1	2

Period scoring

CBJ won 0 · MTL won 1

CBJ

MTL

Play-by-play · 289 plays

period

event

player

3rd·20:00
Game End
CBJ 1·MTL 2
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
CBJ 1·MTL 2
3rd·19:52
Nick Suzuki faceoff won against Charlie Coyle
·
CBJ 1·MTL 2
3rd·19:52
Timeout - Visitor
CBJ 1·MTL 2
3rd·19:52
Icing
CBJ 1·MTL 2
3rd·19:23
Mason Marchment Snap Shot Wide Right
·
CBJ 1·MTL 2
3rd·19:22
Adam Fantilli Snap Shot saved by Jakub Dobes
·
CBJ 1·MTL 2
3rd·19:04
Giveaway by Kirill Marchenko
CBJ 1·MTL 2
3rd·18:55
Giveaway by Adam Fantilli
CBJ 1·MTL 2
3rd·18:16
Takeaway by Zach Werenski
CBJ 1·MTL 2
3rd·18:11
Sean Monahan Snap Shot saved by Jakub Dobes
·
CBJ 1·MTL 2
3rd·18:10
Conor Garland Snap Shot saved by Jakub Dobes
·
CBJ 1·MTL 2
3rd·18:05
Sean Monahan Backhand saved by Jakub Dobes
·
CBJ 1·MTL 2
3rd·17:13
Giveaway by Dante Fabbro
CBJ 1·MTL 2
3rd·16:42
Noah Dobson Slap Shot Above Crossbar
·
CBJ 1·MTL 2
3rd·16:37
Jake Evans faceoff won against Adam Fantilli
·
CBJ 1·MTL 2
3rd·16:37
Goalie Stopped
CBJ 1·MTL 2
3rd·16:35
Cole Caufield Snap Shot saved by Jet Greaves
·
CBJ 1·MTL 2
3rd·16:33
Cole Caufield Snap Shot saved by Jet Greaves
·
CBJ 1·MTL 2
3rd·16:07
Giveaway by Lane Hutson
CBJ 1·MTL 2
3rd·16:03
Nick Suzuki faceoff won against Charlie Coyle
·
CBJ 1·MTL 2
3rd·16:03
Goalie Stopped
CBJ 1·MTL 2
3rd·16:01
Lane Hutson Snap Shot saved by Jet Greaves
·
CBJ 1·MTL 2
3rd·15:43
Nick Suzuki faceoff won against Charlie Coyle
·
CBJ 1·MTL 2
3rd·15:43
Timeout - Home
CBJ 1·MTL 2
3rd·15:43
Puck in Netting
CBJ 1·MTL 2
3rd·15:41
Nick Suzuki shot blocked by Ivan Provorov
·
CBJ 1·MTL 2
3rd·14:44
Nick Suzuki faceoff won against Sean Monahan
·
CBJ 1·MTL 2
3rd·14:44
Boone Jenner Interference - Goalkeeper against Jakub Dobes
·
CBJ 1·MTL 2
3rd·14:38
Boone Jenner Tip-In Wide Right
·
CBJ 1·MTL 2

Team stats

CBJ

Away

Stat

MTL

Home

Shots

0.0

PCT

0.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Betting line

MTL -1.5·O/U 6.5·CBJ -108/MTL -112

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 27 skaters with EDGE

Lane HutsonMTL · D
DIST MI71.899+
Ivan ProvorovCBJ · D
DIST MI299.999+
Josh AndersonMTL · RW
BURSTS7699+
Mike MathesonMTL · D
DIST MI62.999
Cole CaufieldMTL · RW
DIST MI56.699

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · MTL favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(MTL win)
33%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(MTL win)
32%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(MTL win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

-112

Close price

-112

Open no-vig

50.4%

Close no-vig

50.4%

Line barely moved · Graded: hit

Player projections

MTL vs CBJ.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

141

projections · 126 high confidence

Shots on goal

Zach WerenskiCBJ
3.4± 2.5high
Kirill MarchenkoCBJ
2.8± 1.6high
Cole CaufieldMTL
2.8± 1.4high

Goals

Cole CaufieldMTL
0.5± 0.5high
Alex NewhookMTL
0.4± 0.7high
Adam FantilliCBJ
0.3± 0.5high

Points

Cole CaufieldMTL
0.9± 0.7high
Lane HutsonMTL
0.9± 0.7high
Nick SuzukiMTL
0.9± 1.2high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands