Which side does The One Analytics' model favor in LA at VAN?

The model favors VAN, based on a weighted edge across matchup factors. The pick is logged before the game and graded in public.

When is the pick logged, and can it change?

Every model pick is timestamped before the game starts and is never edited after the fact.

How is the pick graded?

In public, the moment the game goes final — wins and losses alike, with the full record on the model accuracy page.

NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+4LA

29-25-18

VAN

21-42-8

NHLThu, Mar 26FinalSeriesLA leads series 2-0VegasLA -175

LA · top performer

Trevor Moore

LW · #12

2Points

—

SOG

VAN · top performer

Teddy Blueger

C · #53

0Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. ArmiaRW · #40	0	0	0	2	3	1	2	14:12
Q. ByfieldRW · #55	1	1	3	4	2	0	2	17:53
S. HeleniusC · #79	0	0	0	2	3	0	0	7:16
M. JosephRW · #17	0	0	0	0	3	1	0	12:17
A. KempeRW · #9	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	17:31
A. KopitarC · #11	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	19:02
A. LaferriereRW · #14	0	1	2	3	4	0	0	20:43
S. LaughtonC · #21	1	0	0	5	1	0	0	16:00
J. MalottLW · #39	0	0	0	0	2	1	10	7:19
T. MooreLW · #12	1	1	2	5	1	0	0	17:57
A. PanarinLW · #10	1	0	1	4	0	1	0	20:22
J. WrightRW · #53	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	7:56

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
M. AndersonD · #44	0	2	2	2	1	3	0	21:01
C. CeciD · #5	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	16:52
B. ClarkeD · #92	0	0	1	3	0	3	15	21:00
D. DoughtyD · #8	0	1	2	3	1	0	0	23:52
B. DumoulinD · #2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	14:06
J. EdmundsonD · #6	0	0	1	1	2	0	0	20:41

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
D. KuemperG · #35	19	0	19	1.000	60:00

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
T. BluegerC · #53	0	0	0	3	1	0	0	17:34
B. BoeserRW · #6	0	0	-2	0	0	0	0	14:36
J. DeBruskLW · #74	0	0	-1	3	0	1	0	17:12
N. HoglanderLW · #21	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	9:58
E. KaneLW · #91	0	0	0	1	0	2	0	18:41
L. KarlssonC · #94	0	0	-1	0	2	0	10	17:06
D. O'ConnorLW · #18	0	0	-1	2	0	0	2	19:34
L. OhgrenLW · #92	0	0	-1	2	0	0	0	13:36
E. PetterssonC · #40	0	0	-2	2	0	2	0	16:54
A. RatyC · #54	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	12:10
M. RossiC · #93	0	0	-2	1	0	0	0	14:29
M. SassonC · #63	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	10:16

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Z. BuiumD · #24	0	0	-1	0	0	1	17	21:30
F. HronekD · #17	0	0	-1	1	2	2	0	25:07
P. JosephD · #7	0	0	0	2	1	1	0	15:21
M. PetterssonD · #29	0	0	-2	1	1	1	0	19:07
Elias N. PetterssonD · #25	0	0	-1	1	1	1	0	15:35
T. WillanderD · #5	0	0	-1	0	1	1	10	21:29

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
K. LankinenG · #32	37	3	34	.919	56:48

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Team stats

Away

Stat

VAN

Home

Shots

50.0

PCT

0.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Season series

LA leads series 2-0

Nov 30

VAN1@

LA2

Mar 27

LA4@

VAN0today

Apr 10

VAN1@

LA4

Apr 15

LA3@

VAN4

Model & market

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

LA -1.5

Total

5.5

Defensive · -3.0 vs avg

Moneyline

LA-17564%

VAN+14541%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet LA -1.5↗SpreadBet LA -1.5↗

Line movement · 33 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

5.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

LA beat VAN 4-0. T. Moore led the way — 1 G · 1 A · 5 SOG.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	T
LA	1	2	1	4
VAN	0	0	0	0

Period scoring

LA won 3 · VAN won 0

VAN

Play-by-play · 278 plays

period

event

player

3rd·20:00
Game End
LA 4·VAN 0
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
LA 4·VAN 0
3rd·19:51
Drew O'Connor shot blocked by Cody Ceci
·
LA 4·VAN 0
3rd·19:31
Pierre-Olivier Joseph hit Jared Wright
· ·
LA 4·VAN 0
3rd·19:23
Aatu Räty hit Brian Dumoulin
·
LA 4·VAN 0
3rd·19:07
Giveaway by Nils Hoglander
LA 4·VAN 0
3rd·18:47
Aatu Räty faceoff won against Scott Laughton
·
LA 4·VAN 0
3rd·18:47
Brandt Clarke Misconduct
LA 4·VAN 0
3rd·18:47
Zeev Buium Misconduct
LA 4·VAN 0
3rd·18:47
Tom Willander Misconduct
LA 4·VAN 0
3rd·18:47
Jeff Malott Misconduct
LA 4·VAN 0
3rd·18:47
Linus Karlsson Misconduct
LA 4·VAN 0
3rd·18:47
Zeev Buium Fighting against Brandt Clarke
·
LA 4·VAN 0
3rd·18:47
Brandt Clarke Fighting against Zeev Buium
·
LA 4·VAN 0
3rd·18:47
Goalie Stopped
LA 4·VAN 0
3rd·18:45
Jake DeBrusk Wrist Shot saved by Darcy Kuemper
·
LA 4·VAN 0
3rd·18:33
Samuel Helenius hit Tom Willander
·
LA 4·VAN 0
3rd·18:12
Joel Armia hit Aatu Räty
·
LA 4·VAN 0
3rd·17:52
Giveaway by Pierre-Olivier Joseph
·
LA 4·VAN 0
3rd·17:36
Scott Laughton faceoff won against Aatu Räty
·
LA 4·VAN 0
3rd·17:36
Quinton Byfield Goal (18) Wrist Shot, assists: Mikey Anderson (13), Drew Doughty (16)
· ·
LA 4·VAN 0
3rd·17:32
Giveaway by Marco Rossi
LA 3·VAN 0
3rd·17:27
Trevor Moore shot blocked by Filip Hronek
·
LA 3·VAN 0
3rd·17:18
Giveaway by Marco Rossi
LA 3·VAN 0
3rd·17:01
Drew O'Connor Wrist Shot saved by Darcy Kuemper
·
LA 3·VAN 0
3rd·16:53
Artemi Panarin shot blocked by Evander Kane
·
LA 3·VAN 0
3rd·16:37
Giveaway by Evander Kane
LA 3·VAN 0
3rd·16:33
Jake DeBrusk Wrist Shot Wide Left
·
LA 3·VAN 0
3rd·16:07
Artemi Panarin Wrist Shot Hit Left Post
LA 3·VAN 0
3rd·15:32
Alex Laferriere Wrist Shot Wide Right
LA 3·VAN 0

Betting line

LA -1.5·O/U 5.5·LA -175/VAN +145

DraftKings · via ESPN

Recap · NHL

os Angeles Kings went into Vancouver Canucks and beat them, 4–0.

LA -1.5 cashed (won by 4). Total stayed UNDER 5.5 by 1.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 13 skaters with EDGE

Brock BoeserVAN · RW
SHOT MPH96.498
Jake DeBruskVAN · LW
iXG34.998
Filip HronekVAN · D
DIST MI292.398
Nils HoglanderVAN · LW
SHOT MPH93.694
Pierre-Olivier JosephVAN · D
SKATE MPH23.092

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

39.3%

ensemble · LA favored

Elo Static
49.1%
P(VAN win)
68%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
49.1%
P(VAN win)
16%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
49.1%
P(VAN win)
17%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

1 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

+145

Close price

+145

Open no-vig

39.1%

Close no-vig

39.1%

Line barely moved · Graded: miss

Logged before tip · graded in public

How we read this game

Which side does The One Analytics' model favor in LA at VAN?: The model favors VAN, based on a weighted edge across matchup factors. The pick is logged before the game and graded in public.
When is the pick logged, and can it change?: Every model pick is timestamped before the game starts and is never edited after the fact.
How is the pick graded?: In public, the moment the game goes final — wins and losses alike, with the full record on the model accuracy page.