Live · 8
Free during beta —to track favorites + alerts
FINAL+2OTT
ANA

ANA

36-27-3

02
OTT

OTT

33-23-9

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

NHLSat, Mar 14FinalSeriesOTT wins series 2-0VegasOTT -180

Recap · NHL

ttawa Senators held off Anaheim Ducks, 2–0.

OTT -1.5 cashed (won by 2). Total stayed UNDER 6.5 by 4.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

ANA · top performer

ANA
Leo Carlsson

Leo Carlsson

C · #91

0Points

0

G

0

A

—

SOG

OTT · top performer

OTT
Shane Pinto

Shane Pinto

C · #12

2Points

0

G

2

A

—

SOG

NHL · Anaheim Ducks at Ottawa Senators · final

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final
0
2
ANA36-27-3OTT33-23-9
ANA

ANA

36-27-3

0
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%
OTT

OTT

33-23-9

2
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

10

PIM

8

Season series

OTT wins series 2-0

Nov 21OTTOTT3@ANAANA2
Mar 14ANAANA0@OTTOTT2today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

OTT -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

ANAANA+15040%
OTTOTT-18064%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet OTT -1.5↗SpreadBet OTT -1.5↗

Line movement · 10 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

OTT beat ANA 2-0.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team123T
ANA0000
OTT0202

Period scoring

ANA won 0 · OTT won 1

0
0

1

0
2

2

0
0

3

ANA
OTT

Play-by-play · 337 plays

period
event
player
  1. 3rd·20:00

    Game End

    ANA 0·OTT 2

  2. 3rd·20:00

    End of 3rd Period

    ANA 0·OTT 2

  3. 3rd·19:58

    Tim Washe faceoff won against Dylan Cozens

    ·

    ANA 0·OTT 2

  4. 3rd·19:58

    Puck in Crowd

    ANA 0·OTT 2

  5. 3rd·19:44

    Giveaway by Jeffrey Viel

    ANA 0·OTT 2

  6. 3rd·19:35

    Ryan Poehling Backhand Wide Right

    ·

    ANA 0·OTT 2

  7. 3rd·19:35

    Giveaway by Dylan Cozens

    ANA 0·OTT 2

  8. 3rd·19:33

    Jeffrey Viel Backhand saved by Linus Ullmark

    ·

    ANA 0·OTT 2

  9. 3rd·18:48

    Giveaway by Chris Kreider

    ANA 0·OTT 2

  10. 3rd·18:41

    Jacob Trouba Snap Shot saved by Linus Ullmark

    ·

    ANA 0·OTT 2

  11. 3rd·18:24

    Artem Zub hit Mikael Granlund

    ·

    ANA 0·OTT 2

  12. 3rd·18:20

    Cutter Gauthier shot blocked by Thomas Chabot

    ·

    ANA 0·OTT 2

  13. 3rd·17:55

    Ridly Greig faceoff won against Cutter Gauthier

    ·

    ANA 0·OTT 2

  14. 3rd·17:55

    Icing

    ANA 0·OTT 2

  15. 3rd·17:51

    Artem Zub Wrist Shot Wide Left

    ANA 0·OTT 2

  16. 3rd·17:29

    Drake Batherson hit Ian Moore

    ·

    ANA 0·OTT 2

  17. 3rd·16:37

    Dylan Cozens Backhand Wide Left

    ·

    ANA 0·OTT 2

  18. 3rd·16:35

    Giveaway by Ville Husso

    ANA 0·OTT 2

  19. 3rd·16:29

    Giveaway by Chris Kreider

    ANA 0·OTT 2

  20. 3rd·16:06

    Leo Carlsson faceoff won against Ridly Greig

    ·

    ANA 0·OTT 2

  21. 3rd·16:06

    Off-side

    ANA 0·OTT 2

  22. 3rd·15:59

    Cutter Gauthier shot blocked by Thomas Chabot

    ·

    ANA 0·OTT 2

  23. 3rd·15:48

    Leo Carlsson faceoff won against Shane Pinto

    ·

    ANA 0·OTT 2

  24. 3rd·15:48

    Off-side

    ANA 0·OTT 2

  25. 3rd·15:44

    Chris Kreider Wrist Shot saved by Linus Ullmark

    ·

    ANA 0·OTT 2

  26. 3rd·15:33

    Thomas Chabot Backhand saved by Ville Husso

    ·

    ANA 0·OTT 2

  27. 3rd·15:13

    Drew Helleson Slap Shot Above Crossbar

    ·

    ANA 0·OTT 2

  28. 3rd·15:06

    Giveaway by Warren Foegele

    ANA 0·OTT 2

  29. 3rd·14:58

    Claude Giroux faceoff won against Ryan Poehling

    ·

    ANA 0·OTT 2

  30. 3rd·14:58

    Goalie Stopped

    ANA 0·OTT 2

Team stats

ANA

Away

Stat

OTT

Home

24

Shots

28

0.0

PCT

0.0

10

PIM

8

33

Faceoffs W

22

12

Blocks

17

18

Giveaways

23

4

Takeaways

10

Betting line

OTT -1.5·O/U 6.5·ANA +150/OTT -180

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 28 skaters with EDGE
  • Ryan PoehlingANA · C
    SKATE MPH23.498
  • Leo CarlssonANA · C
    BURSTS4996
  • Jackson LaCombeANA · D
    DIST MI47.993
  • Nikolas MatinpaloOTT · D
    SKATE MPH22.592
  • Cutter GauthierANA · LW
    SHOT MPH89.691

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · OTT favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(OTT win)

    33%

    weight

  • Goalie Starter

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(OTT win)

    32%

    weight

  • Xg Blend

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(OTT win)

    34%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

+150

Close price

+150

Open no-vig

38.4%

Close no-vig

38.4%

Line barely moved · Graded: miss

Data via ESPN · NHL API · hockeyR