NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+1DAL

DET

36-23-8

DAL

42-14-10

NHLSat, Mar 14FinalSeriestied 1-1VegasDAL -192

DET · top performer

Moritz Seider

D · #53

1Points

—

SOG

DAL · top performer

Wyatt Johnston

C · #53

2Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final / OT

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
M. AppletonC · #22	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	10:10
J.T. CompherLW · #37	0	0	0	1	0	1	2	22:03
A. DeBrincatRW · #93	0	1	1	2	1	2	0	21:40
S. DriesC · #15	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	7:54
E. FinnieC · #58	0	1	1	1	3	2	0	17:05
P. KaneRW · #88	0	0	-1	2	1	0	0	20:28
M. KasperC · #92	0	0	-1	2	2	1	0	15:34
J. LeonardLW · #43	0	0	0	2	2	1	0	9:10
D. PerronLW · #57	0	0	-1	1	2	0	2	13:46
L. RaymondLW · #23	1	0	1	3	1	0	2	19:37
D. ShineRW · #65	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	8:33
J. van RiemsdykLW · #21	0	1	1	0	1	0	0	12:20

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. Bernard-DockerD · #25	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	11:43
B. ChiarotD · #8	0	0	0	1	3	2	0	20:23
S. EdvinssonD · #77	1	0	-1	3	1	1	0	21:24
J. FaulkD · #72	0	0	1	0	0	2	2	22:14
A. JohanssonD · #20	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	12:36
M. SeiderD · #53	0	1	0	6	1	0	2	27:44

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. GibsonG · #36	24	3	21	.875	62:06

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
O. BackC · #10	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	10:32
N. BastianRW · #11	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	7:33
J. BennLW · #14	0	0	-1	1	4	0	0	13:27
C. BlackwellC · #15	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	13:12
M. BourqueC · #22	0	1	0	0	2	0	0	17:58
M. BuntingLW · #58	1	0	0	3	1	0	0	14:38
M. DucheneC · #95	0	0	-1	1	0	2	0	16:42
J. HryckowianC · #49	0	1	0	1	3	1	0	18:42
A. HyryRW · #25	0	0	-1	0	1	1	0	9:29
W. JohnstonC · #53	1	1	1	2	0	0	0	19:52
J. RobertsonLW · #21	0	1	0	5	1	1	2	22:11
S. SteelC · #18	0	0	1	1	2	1	0	15:11

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
L. BichselD · #6	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	17:07
T. HarleyD · #55	1	0	0	3	0	2	0	22:43
M. HeiskanenD · #4	0	0	-1	2	0	1	2	25:39
E. LindellD · #23	0	0	0	2	0	0	2	21:42
N. LundkvistD · #5	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	12:56
T. MyersD · #57	0	0	0	1	2	2	2	16:58

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. OettingerG · #29	24	2	22	.917	61:52

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Team stats

DET

Away

Stat

DAL

Home

Shots

0.0

PCT

25.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Season series

Series tied 1-1

Dec 23

DAL3@

DET4

Mar 15

DET2@

DAL3today

Model & market

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

DAL -1.5

Total

5.5

Defensive · -3.0 vs avg

Moneyline

DET+16038%

DAL-19266%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet DAL -1.5↗SpreadBet DAL -1.5↗

Line movement · 40 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

5.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

DAL beat DET 3-2. W. Johnston led the way — 1 G · 1 A · 2 SOG.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	OT	T
DET	0	0	2	0	2
DAL	1	1	0	1	3

Period scoring

DET won 1 · DAL won 3

DET

DAL

Play-by-play · 294 plays

period

event

player

OT·2:06
Game End
DET 2·DAL 3
OT·2:06
End of OT
DET 2·DAL 3
OT·2:06
Thomas Harley Goal (6) Snap Shot, assists: Wyatt Johnston (37)
·
DET 2·DAL 3
OT·1:56
Marco Kasper Snap Shot saved by Jake Oettinger
·
DET 2·DAL 2
OT·0:58
Moritz Seider Wrist Shot saved by Jake Oettinger
·
DET 2·DAL 2
OT·0:00
J.T. Compher faceoff won against Justin Hryckowian
·
DET 2·DAL 2
OT·0:00
Start of Overtime
DET 2·DAL 2
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
DET 2·DAL 2
3rd·19:52
Colin Blackwell Snap Shot Wide Right
·
DET 2·DAL 2
3rd·18:53
Wyatt Johnston Tip-In Wide Right
·
DET 2·DAL 2
3rd·18:49
Jason Robertson Wrap-around Off Crossbar
·
DET 2·DAL 2
3rd·18:42
Thomas Harley shot blocked by Simon Edvinsson
·
DET 2·DAL 2
3rd·18:37
Mavrik Bourque hit John Leonard
·
DET 2·DAL 2
3rd·18:33
Lian Bichsel Snap Shot saved by John Gibson
·
DET 2·DAL 2
3rd·17:56
David Perron Wrist Shot Failed Bank Attempt
·
DET 2·DAL 2
3rd·17:48
Justin Faulk Snap Shot Wide Right
·
DET 2·DAL 2
3rd·17:44
Emmitt Finnie faceoff won against Wyatt Johnston
·
DET 2·DAL 2
3rd·17:44
High Stick
DET 2·DAL 2
3rd·17:39
Patrick Kane Snap Shot saved by Jake Oettinger
·
DET 2·DAL 2
3rd·17:38
Simon Edvinsson Wrap-around saved by Jake Oettinger
·
DET 2·DAL 2
3rd·17:31
Takeaway by J.T. Compher
DET 2·DAL 2
3rd·16:49
J.T. Compher faceoff won against Colin Blackwell
·
DET 2·DAL 2
3rd·16:49
Hand Pass
DET 2·DAL 2
3rd·16:44
Michael Bunting hit Lucas Raymond
·
DET 2·DAL 2
3rd·16:34
Colin Blackwell faceoff won against Emmitt Finnie
·
DET 2·DAL 2
3rd·16:34
Lucas Raymond Goal (21) Batted, assists: Emmitt Finnie (14), Alex DeBrincat (33)
· ·
DET 2·DAL 2
3rd·16:32
Lucas Raymond Snap Shot saved by Jake Oettinger
·
DET 1·DAL 2
3rd·16:24
Jason Robertson Snap Shot saved by John Gibson
·
DET 1·DAL 2
3rd·16:07
Moritz Seider Wrist Shot saved by Jake Oettinger
·
DET 1·DAL 2
3rd·16:00
Moritz Seider Backhand Wide Left
· ·
DET 1·DAL 2

Betting line

DAL -1.5·O/U 5.5·DET +160/DAL -192

DraftKings · via ESPN

Recap · NHL

allas Stars held off Detroit Red Wings, 3–2 in overtime.

DET +1.5 cashed (DAL won by 1). Total stayed UNDER 5.5 by 0.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

63.8%

ensemble · DAL favored

Elo Static
63.8%
P(DAL win)
69%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
63.8%
P(DAL win)
15%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
63.8%
P(DAL win)
16%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

1 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Team pages

Detroit Red WingsDallas Stars

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