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FINAL+3SEA
SEA

SEA

30-26-9

52
VAN

VAN

20-38-8

NHLSat, Mar 14FinalSeriesSEA wins series 3-1VegasSEA -142

Recap · NHL

eattle Kraken went into Vancouver Canucks and beat them, 5–2.

SEA -1.5 cashed (won by 3). Total cleared the 6.5 OVER by 0.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

NHL · Seattle Kraken at Vancouver Canucks · final

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

Forwards

Defensemen

Goalies

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

4

PIM

6

Season series

SEA wins series 3-1

Dec 30VANVAN3@SEASEA2
Jan 3SEASEA4@VANVAN3
Mar 1VANVAN1@SEASEA5
Mar 15SEASEA5@VANVAN2today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

SEA -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

SEASEA-14259%
VANVAN+12045%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

Line movement · 10 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

Headlines · top performers

SEASEA
B. McMann

B. McMann

C

Top skater

2 G · 1 A · 4 SOG

P. Grubauer

P. Grubauer

G

Goaltender

32 SV · 2 GA · .941

VANVAN
E. Kane

E. Kane

LW

Top skater

1 G · 4 SOG

N. Tolopilo

N. Tolopilo

G

Goaltender

28 SV · 5 GA · .848

How it ended

SEA beat VAN 5-2. B. McMann led the way — 2 G · 1 A · 4 SOG.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team123T
SEA2125
VAN1012

Period scoring

SEA won 3 · VAN won 0

2
1

1

1
0

2

2
1

3

SEA
VAN

Play-by-play · 302 plays

period
event
player
  1. 3rd·20:00

    Game End

    SEA 5·VAN 2

  2. 3rd·20:00

    End of 3rd Period

    SEA 5·VAN 2

  3. 3rd·19:40

    Teddy Blueger faceoff won against Freddy Gaudreau

    ·

    SEA 5·VAN 2

  4. 3rd·19:40

    Marco Rossi Goal (8) Wrist Shot, assists: Brock Boeser (16)

    ·

    SEA 5·VAN 2

  5. 3rd·19:38

    Giveaway by Jamie Oleksiak

    SEA 5·VAN 1

  6. 3rd·19:35

    Liam Ohgren Wrist Shot saved by Philipp Grubauer

    ·

    SEA 5·VAN 1

  7. 3rd·19:04

    Marco Rossi faceoff won against Chandler Stephenson

    ·

    SEA 5·VAN 1

  8. 3rd·19:04

    Off-side

    SEA 5·VAN 1

  9. 3rd·18:37

    Berkly Catton Tip-In Wide Left

    ·

    SEA 5·VAN 1

  10. 3rd·18:32

    Brandon Montour shot blocked by Evander Kane

    ·

    SEA 5·VAN 1

  11. 3rd·18:17

    Kaapo Kakko hit Elias Pettersson

    · ·

    SEA 5·VAN 1

  12. 3rd·17:49

    Filip Hronek hit Ryan Winterton

    ·

    SEA 5·VAN 1

  13. 3rd·17:39

    Filip Hronek Wrist Shot saved by Philipp Grubauer

    ·

    SEA 5·VAN 1

  14. 3rd·17:24

    Ben Meyers Wrist Shot saved by Nikita Tolopilo

    ·

    SEA 5·VAN 1

  15. 3rd·17:19

    Giveaway by Linus Karlsson

    SEA 5·VAN 1

  16. 3rd·16:52

    Jordan Eberle Wrist Shot saved by Nikita Tolopilo

    ·

    SEA 5·VAN 1

  17. 3rd·16:28

    Matty Beniers faceoff won against Teddy Blueger

    ·

    SEA 5·VAN 1

  18. 3rd·16:28

    Goalie Stopped

    SEA 5·VAN 1

  19. 3rd·16:27

    Vince Dunn Wrist Shot saved by Nikita Tolopilo

    ·

    SEA 5·VAN 1

  20. 3rd·15:44

    Aatu Räty shot blocked by Brandon Montour

    ·

    SEA 5·VAN 1

  21. 3rd·15:42

    Aatu Räty Wrist Shot Wide Right

    ·

    SEA 5·VAN 1

  22. 3rd·15:24

    Bobby McMann Wrist Shot saved by Nikita Tolopilo

    ·

    SEA 5·VAN 1

  23. 3rd·15:03

    Aatu Räty faceoff won against Shane Wright

    ·

    SEA 5·VAN 1

  24. 3rd·15:03

    TV Timeout

    SEA 5·VAN 1

  25. 3rd·15:03

    Tom Willander Hooking against Ryan Winterton

    ·

    SEA 5·VAN 1

  26. 3rd·14:55

    Ben Meyers shot blocked by Elias Pettersson

    · ·

    SEA 5·VAN 1

  27. 3rd·14:53

    Takeaway by Frederick Gaudreau

    SEA 5·VAN 1

  28. 3rd·14:09

    Aatu Räty faceoff won against Eeli Tolvanen

    ·

    SEA 5·VAN 1

  29. 3rd·14:09

    Goalie Stopped

    SEA 5·VAN 1

  30. 3rd·14:08

    Brandon Montour Slap Shot saved by Nikita Tolopilo

    ·

    SEA 5·VAN 1

Team stats

SEA

Away

Stat

VAN

Home

33

Shots

34

33.3

PCT

0.0

4

PIM

6

19

Faceoffs W

31

9

Blocks

16

9

Giveaways

22

4

Takeaways

4

Betting line

SEA -1.5·O/U 6.5·SEA -142/VAN +120

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 27 skaters with EDGE
  • Bobby McMannSEA · C
    SKATE MPH24.399
  • Brandon MontourSEA · D
    SHOT MPH101.698
  • Brock BoeserVAN · RW
    SHOT MPH96.498
  • Jake DeBruskVAN · LW
    iXG34.998
  • Matty BeniersSEA · C
    DIST MI267.798

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

36.4%

ensemble · SEA favored

  • Elo Static

    47.8%

    P(VAN win)

    68%

    weight

  • Goalie Starter

    fallback · inputs missing

    47.8%

    P(VAN win)

    16%

    weight

  • Xg Blend

    fallback · inputs missing

    47.8%

    P(VAN win)

    16%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

1 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

+120

Close price

+120

Open no-vig

43.7%

Close no-vig

43.7%

Line barely moved · Graded: miss

Data via ESPN · NHL API