Mar 16, 26sim 97
84
13(H)1
EloWin probTime of year
FINAL+2NJ
LA
27-24-15
46
NJ
33-31-2
Historical comparables
Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates
basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year
Recap · NHL
ew Jersey Devils held off Los Angeles Kings, 6–4.
NJ -1.5 cashed (won by 2). Total cleared the 5.5 OVER by 4.5.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
LA · top performer
Artemi Panarin
LW · #10
3Points
1
G
2
A
—
SOG
NJ · top performer
Nico Hischier
C · #13
4Points
2
G
2
A
—
SOG
NHL · Los Angeles Kings at New Jersey Devils · final
NHL · Box scoreEDGE
Final
LA27-24-15
46
NJ33-31-2
LA27-24-15NJ33-31-2
LA
27-24-15
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Goalie | Skating | Goalie | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | GA | SA | SV | SV% |
NJ
33-31-2
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Goalie | Skating | Goalie | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | GA | SA | SV | SV% |
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
6
PIM
6
Season series
NJ wins series 2-0
Nov 2NJ4@LA1
NJ4@LA1Mar 14LA4@NJ6today
LA4@NJ6todayVegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
NJ -1.5
Total
5.5
Defensive · -3.0 vs avg
Moneyline
LA+13043%NJ-15561%Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 11 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
1.5
0.0 since open
Total
5.5
0.0 since open
How it ended
NJ beat LA 6-4.
Last play
Game End
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LA | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| NJ | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 |
Period scoring
LA won 1 · NJ won 2
0
2
1
3
0
2
1
4
3
LA
NJ
Play-by-play · 307 plays
period
event
player
- 3rd·20:00
Game End
LA 4·NJ 6
- 3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
LA 4·NJ 6
- 3rd·19:52
Samuel Helenius faceoff won against Nick Bjugstad
·
LA 4·NJ 6
- 3rd·19:52
Timo Meier Goal (18) Snap Shot, assists: Nico Hischier (27)
·
LA 4·NJ 6
- 3rd·19:22
Timo Meier hit Artemi Panarin
·
LA 4·NJ 5
- 3rd·18:40
Alex Laferriere Tip-In Wide Right
·
LA 4·NJ 5
- 3rd·18:13
Drew Doughty Snap Shot Wide Right
·
LA 4·NJ 5
- 3rd·17:41
Artemi Panarin shot blocked by Cody Glass
·
LA 4·NJ 5
- 3rd·17:38
Anze Kopitar faceoff won against Cody Glass
·
LA 4·NJ 5
- 3rd·17:38
Icing
LA 4·NJ 5
- 3rd·17:31
Cody Glass faceoff won against Quinton Byfield
·
LA 4·NJ 5
- 3rd·17:31
Jack Hughes Goal (17) Snap Shot, assists: Nico Hischier (26), Dougie Hamilton (20)
· ·
LA 4·NJ 5
- 3rd·17:24
Nico Hischier faceoff won against Scott Laughton
·
LA 4·NJ 4
- 3rd·17:24
Brandt Clarke Holding against Jack Hughes
· ·
LA 4·NJ 4
- 3rd·17:20
Dawson Mercer Tip-In Wide Right
·
LA 4·NJ 4
- 3rd·17:06
Brandt Clarke shot blocked by Johnathan Kovacevic
·
LA 4·NJ 4
- 3rd·17:00
Anze Kopitar faceoff won against Jack Hughes
· ·
LA 4·NJ 4
- 3rd·17:00
Icing
LA 4·NJ 4
- 3rd·16:51
Cody Ceci shot blocked by Jared Wright
·
LA 4·NJ 4
- 3rd·16:07
Trevor Moore Tip-In Wide Left
·
LA 4·NJ 4
- 3rd·15:59
Luke Hughes shot blocked by Alex Laferriere
· ·
LA 4·NJ 4
- 3rd·15:57
Cody Glass faceoff won against Quinton Byfield
·
LA 4·NJ 4
- 3rd·15:57
Goalie Stopped
LA 4·NJ 4
- 3rd·15:53
Jonas Siegenthaler Backhand saved by Anton Forsberg
·
LA 4·NJ 4
- 3rd·15:52
Johnathan Kovacevic Snap Shot saved by Anton Forsberg
·
LA 4·NJ 4
- 3rd·15:45
Jesper Bratt Wrist Shot Wide Left
·
LA 4·NJ 4
- 3rd·14:45
Mathieu Joseph hit Brenden Dillon
·
LA 4·NJ 4
- 3rd·14:24
Dougie Hamilton Wrist Shot saved by Anton Forsberg
·
LA 4·NJ 4
- 3rd·14:02
Quinton Byfield Snap Shot saved by Jake Allen
·
LA 4·NJ 4
- 3rd·13:42
Jack Hughes faceoff won against Quinton Byfield
· ·
LA 4·NJ 4
Team stats
LA
Away
Stat
NJ
Home
31
Shots
28
66.7
PCT
66.7
6
PIM
6
26
Faceoffs W
31
13
Blocks
14
13
Giveaways
17
2
Takeaways
4
Betting line
NJ -1.5·O/U 5.5·LA +130/NJ -155
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
50.6%
ensemble · NJ favored
Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(NJ win)
33%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(NJ win)
32%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(NJ win)
34%
weight
Disagreement
0.00 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
100% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
0 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.
Player projections
NJ vs LA.
Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.
138
projections · 126 high confidence
Shots on goal
- Jack HughesNJ4.3± 1.7high
- Timo MeierNJ3.3± 3.0high
- Alex LaferriereLA3.0± 1.6high
Goals
- Jack HughesNJ0.6± 0.8high
- Adrian KempeLA0.5± 0.7high
- Quinton ByfieldLA0.4± 0.7high
Points
- Jack HughesNJ1.6± 1.7high
- Jesper BrattNJ1.0± 1.7high
- Nico HischierNJ0.9± 1.1high
Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands