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FINAL+2PHI
BOS

BOS

33-21-5

13
PHI

PHI

27-21-11

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

NHLSat, Feb 28FinalSeriestied 1-1VegasPHI -115

Recap · NHL

hiladelphia Flyers held off Boston Bruins, 3–1.

PHI -1.5 cashed (won by 2). Total stayed UNDER 6.5 by 2.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

BOS · top performer

BOS
Pavel Zacha

Pavel Zacha

C · #18

1Points

0

G

1

A

—

SOG

PHI · top performer

PHI
Christian Dvorak

Christian Dvorak

C · #22

2Points

0

G

2

A

—

SOG

NHL · Boston Bruins at Philadelphia Flyers · final

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final
1
3
BOS33-21-5PHI27-21-11
BOS

BOS

33-21-5

1
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%
PHI

PHI

27-21-11

3
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

9

PIM

11

Season series

Series tied 1-1

Jan 30PHIPHI3@BOSBOS6
Feb 28BOSBOS1@PHIPHI3today
Apr 5BOSBOS1@PHIPHI2

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

PHI -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

BOSBOS-10551%
PHIPHI-11553%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet PHI -1.5↗SpreadBet PHI -1.5↗

Line movement · 10 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

PHI beat BOS 3-1.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team123T
BOS0011
PHI0033

Period scoring

BOS won 0 · PHI won 1

0
0

1

0
0

2

1
3

3

BOS
PHI

Play-by-play · 316 plays

period
event
player
  1. 3rd·20:00

    Game End

    BOS 1·PHI 3

  2. 3rd·20:00

    End of 3rd Period

    BOS 1·PHI 3

  3. 3rd·19:50

    Hampus Lindholm Snap Shot Wide Right

    · ·

    BOS 1·PHI 3

  4. 3rd·19:07

    Sean Kuraly faceoff won against Sean Couturier

    ·

    BOS 1·PHI 3

  5. 3rd·19:07

    Sean Couturier Goal (6) Wrist Shot, assists: Noah Cates (18)

    ·

    BOS 1·PHI 3

  6. 3rd·18:43

    Sean Couturier faceoff won against Elias Lindholm

    · ·

    BOS 1·PHI 2

  7. 3rd·18:43

    Hand Pass

    BOS 1·PHI 2

  8. 3rd·18:28

    Christian Dvorak shot blocked by Pavel Zacha

    ·

    BOS 1·PHI 2

  9. 3rd·18:27

    Giveaway by David Pastrnak

    BOS 1·PHI 2

  10. 3rd·18:14

    David Pastrnak Snap Shot Wide Left

    ·

    BOS 1·PHI 2

  11. 3rd·18:10

    Morgan Geekie hit Travis Konecny

    ·

    BOS 1·PHI 2

  12. 3rd·18:04

    Morgan Geekie shot blocked by Travis Konecny

    ·

    BOS 1·PHI 2

  13. 3rd·18:01

    Elias Lindholm faceoff won against Christian Dvorak

    · ·

    BOS 1·PHI 2

  14. 3rd·18:01

    Icing

    BOS 1·PHI 2

  15. 3rd·17:40

    Viktor Arvidsson Backhand Wide Left

    ·

    BOS 1·PHI 2

  16. 3rd·17:32

    Pavel Zacha faceoff won against Sean Couturier

    ·

    BOS 1·PHI 2

  17. 3rd·17:32

    Puck in Netting

    BOS 1·PHI 2

  18. 3rd·17:31

    Hampus Lindholm shot blocked by Rasmus Ristolainen

    · ·

    BOS 1·PHI 2

  19. 3rd·16:48

    Mark Kastelic hit Garnet Hathaway

    ·

    BOS 1·PHI 2

  20. 3rd·16:17

    Mark Kastelic faceoff won against Sean Couturier

    ·

    BOS 1·PHI 2

  21. 3rd·16:17

    Off-side

    BOS 1·PHI 2

  22. 3rd·15:56

    Sean Couturier faceoff won against Elias Lindholm

    · ·

    BOS 1·PHI 2

  23. 3rd·15:56

    Goalie Stopped

    BOS 1·PHI 2

  24. 3rd·15:54

    Hampus Lindholm Snap Shot Wide Right

    · ·

    BOS 1·PHI 2

  25. 3rd·15:49

    Sean Couturier faceoff won against Elias Lindholm

    · ·

    BOS 1·PHI 2

  26. 3rd·15:49

    Goalie Stopped

    BOS 1·PHI 2

  27. 3rd·15:45

    Viktor Arvidsson Snap Shot saved by Dan Vladar

    ·

    BOS 1·PHI 2

  28. 3rd·15:40

    Noah Cates shot blocked by Hampus Lindholm

    · ·

    BOS 1·PHI 2

  29. 3rd·15:24

    Takeaway by Noah Cates

    BOS 1·PHI 2

  30. 3rd·15:12

    Henri Jokiharju hit Matvei Michkov

    ·

    BOS 1·PHI 2

Team stats

BOS

Away

Stat

PHI

Home

27

Shots

17

0.0

PCT

0.0

9

PIM

11

31

Faceoffs W

27

21

Blocks

14

10

Giveaways

17

2

Takeaways

7

Betting line

PHI -1.5·O/U 6.5·BOS -105/PHI -115

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 28 skaters with EDGE
  • Jamie DrysdalePHI · D
    SKATE MPH23.098
  • Travis SanheimPHI · D
    SKATE MPH22.795
  • Cam YorkPHI · D
    SKATE MPH22.693
  • Christian DvorakPHI · C
    BURSTS3492
  • Marat KhusnutdinovBOS · C
    SKATE MPH23.092

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · PHI favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(PHI win)

    33%

    weight

  • Goalie Starter

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(PHI win)

    32%

    weight

  • Xg Blend

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(PHI win)

    34%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Data via ESPN · NHL API · hockeyR