
DET
34-20-6

CAR
38-15-6
Historical comparables
Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates
basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year
Recap · NHL
arolina Hurricanes held off Detroit Red Wings, 5–2.
CAR -1.5 cashed (won by 3). Total cleared the 6.5 OVER by 0.5.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
DET · top performer

J.T. Compher
LW · #37
0
G
1
A
—
SOG
CAR · top performer

Taylor Hall
LW · #71
1
G
2
A
—
SOG
NHL · Detroit Red Wings at Carolina Hurricanes · final
NHL · Box scoreEDGE


DET
34-20-6
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Goalie | Skating | Goalie | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | GA | SA | SV | SV% |
CAR
38-15-6
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Goalie | Skating | Goalie | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | GA | SA | SV | SV% |
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
10
PIM
4
Season series
CAR wins series 2-1
Vegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
CAR -1.5
Total
6.5
Defensive · -2.0 vs avg
Moneyline
Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 8 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
1.5
0.0 since open
Total
6.5
0.0 since open
How it ended
CAR beat DET 5-2.
Last play
Game End
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DET | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| CAR | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 |
Period scoring
DET won 1 · CAR won 2
1
2
3
Play-by-play · 316 plays
- 3rd·20:00
Game End
DET 2·CAR 5
- 3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
DET 2·CAR 5
- 3rd·19:47
Mark Jankowski Snap Shot Short
·
DET 2·CAR 5
- 3rd·19:43
William Carrier Wrist Shot Wide Left
·
DET 2·CAR 5
- 3rd·19:16
Moritz Seider hit Jordan Martinook
·
DET 2·CAR 5
- 3rd·19:01
Shayne Gostisbehere Slap Shot saved by Cam Talbot
·
DET 2·CAR 5
- 3rd·18:34
Moritz Seider hit Jordan Martinook
·
DET 2·CAR 5
- 3rd·18:31
Eric Robinson Tip-In saved by Cam Talbot
·
DET 2·CAR 5
- 3rd·18:23
Jordan Staal faceoff won against Marco Kasper
·
DET 2·CAR 5
- 3rd·18:23
Puck in Crowd
DET 2·CAR 5
- 3rd·18:20
Shayne Gostisbehere shot blocked by Jacob Bernard-Docker
·
DET 2·CAR 5
- 3rd·17:04
Moritz Seider hit Taylor Hall
·
DET 2·CAR 5
- 3rd·16:13
Sebastian Aho shot blocked by Michael Rasmussen
·
DET 2·CAR 5
- 3rd·15:29
Ben Chiarot Wrist Shot saved by Frederik Andersen
·
DET 2·CAR 5
- 3rd·15:26
Michael Rasmussen faceoff won against Jordan Staal
·
DET 2·CAR 5
- 3rd·15:26
Goalie Stopped
DET 2·CAR 5
- 3rd·15:24
Sebastian Aho Snap Shot saved by Cam Talbot
·
DET 2·CAR 5
- 3rd·15:16
Andrei Svechnikov Wrist Shot saved by Cam Talbot
·
DET 2·CAR 5
- 3rd·15:09
Jordan Staal faceoff won against Marco Kasper
·
DET 2·CAR 5
- 3rd·15:09
Simon Edvinsson High-sticking - double minor against Taylor Hall
·
DET 2·CAR 5
- 3rd·14:48
Logan Stankoven faceoff won against J.T. Compher
·
DET 2·CAR 5
- 3rd·14:48
Puck in Crowd
DET 2·CAR 5
- 3rd·14:46
Jaccob Slavin Snap Shot saved by Cam Talbot
·
DET 2·CAR 5
- 3rd·14:44
Jordan Staal faceoff won against Dylan Larkin
·
DET 2·CAR 5
- 3rd·14:44
Icing
DET 2·CAR 5
- 3rd·14:24
Moritz Seider hit Eric Robinson
·
DET 2·CAR 5
- 3rd·14:09
Mark Jankowski Snap Shot saved by Cam Talbot
·
DET 2·CAR 5
- 3rd·13:39
Andrew Copp faceoff won against Mark Jankowski
·
DET 2·CAR 5
- 3rd·13:39
Puck in Netting
DET 2·CAR 5
- 3rd·13:36
Andrei Svechnikov shot blocked by Jacob Bernard-Docker
·
DET 2·CAR 5
Team stats
DET
Away
Stat
CAR
Home
29
Shots
36
0.0
PCT
25.0
10
PIM
4
26
Faceoffs W
31
23
Blocks
6
14
Giveaways
20
2
Takeaways
8
Betting line
CAR -1.5·O/U 6.5·DET +160/CAR -192
NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts
5 of 27 skaters with EDGE
Moritz SeiderDET · DDIST MI299.899
Sean WalkerCAR · DSKATE MPH22.998
Taylor HallCAR · LWBURSTS4696
Alex DeBrincatDET · RWDIST MI252.196
Sebastian AhoCAR · CDIST MI44.795
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
50.1%
ensemble · CAR favored
Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CAR win)
33%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CAR win)
32%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CAR win)
34%
weight
Disagreement
0.00 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
100% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
0 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.
The receipts
Closing-line value.
0.00
CLV pp
Open price
+160
Close price
+160
Open no-vig
36.9%
Close no-vig
36.9%
Line barely moved · Graded: miss