NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+4SEA

VAN

18-34-7

SEA

28-22-9

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

NHLSat, Feb 28FinalSeriesSEA leads series 2-1VegasSEA -162

Recap · NHL

eattle Kraken held off Vancouver Canucks, 5–1.

SEA -1.5 cashed (won by 4). Total stayed UNDER 6.5 by 0.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

VAN · top performer

Conor Garland

RW · #8

1Points

—

SOG

SEA · top performer

Jordan Eberle

RW · #7

3Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

VAN18-34-7

SEA28-22-9

VAN18-34-7SEA28-22-9

VAN

18-34-7

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Goalie	Skating	Goalie
Player	GA	SA	SV	SV%

SEA

28-22-9

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Goalie	Skating	Goalie
Player	GA	SA	SV	SV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Season series

SEA leads series 2-1

Dec 30

VAN3@

SEA2

Jan 3

SEA4@

VAN3

Mar 1

VAN1@

SEA5today

Mar 15

SEA5@

VAN2

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

SEA -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

VAN+13642%

SEA-16262%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet SEA -1.5↗SpreadBet SEA -1.5↗

Line movement · 6 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

SEA beat VAN 5-1.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	T
VAN	0	1	0	1
SEA	2	1	2	5

Period scoring

VAN won 0 · SEA won 2

VAN

SEA

Play-by-play · 273 plays

period

event

player

3rd·20:00
Game End
VAN 1·SEA 5
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
VAN 1·SEA 5
3rd·19:43
Linus Karlsson Snap Shot Wide Right
·
VAN 1·SEA 5
3rd·19:17
Teddy Blueger faceoff won against Shane Wright
·
VAN 1·SEA 5
3rd·19:17
Goalie Stopped
VAN 1·SEA 5
3rd·19:14
Adam Larsson Wrist Shot saved by Kevin Lankinen
·
VAN 1·SEA 5
3rd·19:08
Giveaway by Pierre-Olivier Joseph
VAN 1·SEA 5
3rd·18:37
Zeev Buium shot blocked by Ben Meyers
·
VAN 1·SEA 5
3rd·17:58
Jacob Melanson Snap Shot Wide Right
·
VAN 1·SEA 5
3rd·17:46
Ben Meyers faceoff won against David Kampf
·
VAN 1·SEA 5
3rd·17:46
Puck in Netting
VAN 1·SEA 5
3rd·17:44
Pierre-Olivier Joseph Slap Shot saved by Joey Daccord
·
VAN 1·SEA 5
3rd·17:00
Shane Wright faceoff won against Marco Rossi
·
VAN 1·SEA 5
3rd·17:00
Objects on Ice
VAN 1·SEA 5
3rd·17:00
Jordan Eberle Goal (22) Wrist Shot, assists: Jared McCann (16), Jamie Oleksiak (7)
· ·
VAN 1·SEA 5
3rd·16:43
Giveaway by Marcus Pettersson
· ·
VAN 1·SEA 4
3rd·15:54
Jared McCann shot blocked by Tom Willander
·
VAN 1·SEA 4
3rd·15:48
Freddy Gaudreau faceoff won against Teddy Blueger
·
VAN 1·SEA 4
3rd·15:48
Icing
VAN 1·SEA 4
3rd·15:43
Joey Daccord Wrist Shot Wide Left
VAN 1·SEA 4
3rd·15:25
Filip Hronek shot blocked by Freddy Gaudreau
·
VAN 1·SEA 4
3rd·15:08
Conor Garland Wrist Shot saved by Joey Daccord
·
VAN 1·SEA 4
3rd·15:00
Filip Hronek Slap Shot saved by Joey Daccord
·
VAN 1·SEA 4
3rd·14:37
Marco Rossi faceoff won against Ben Meyers
·
VAN 1·SEA 4
3rd·14:37
Goalie Stopped
VAN 1·SEA 4
3rd·14:35
Zeev Buium Wrist Shot saved by Joey Daccord
·
VAN 1·SEA 4
3rd·14:30
Tom Willander Backhand saved by Joey Daccord
·
VAN 1·SEA 4
3rd·14:19
Takeaway by Brock Boeser
VAN 1·SEA 4
3rd·14:15
Brandon Montour Wrist Shot Off Crossbar
·
VAN 1·SEA 4
3rd·13:54
Filip Hronek hit Shane Wright
·
VAN 1·SEA 4

Team stats

VAN

Away

Stat

SEA

Home

Shots

0.0

PCT

50.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Betting line

SEA -1.5·O/U 6.5·VAN +136/SEA -162

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 26 skaters with EDGE

Brandon MontourSEA · D
SHOT MPH101.698
Brock BoeserVAN · RW
SHOT MPH96.498
Matty BeniersSEA · C
DIST MI267.798
Filip HronekVAN · D
DIST MI292.398
Jared McCannSEA · LW
SHOT MPH94.496

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.6%

ensemble · SEA favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(SEA win)
33%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(SEA win)
32%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(SEA win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

-162

Close price

-162

Open no-vig

59.3%

Close no-vig

59.3%

Line barely moved · Graded: hit

Player projections

SEA vs VAN.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

138

projections · 129 high confidence

Shots on goal

Jake DeBruskVAN
3.1± 2.4high
Bobby McMannSEA
3.0± 1.8high
Brandon MontourSEA
3.0± 1.3high

Goals

Jake DeBruskVAN
0.5± 0.7high
Brock BoeserVAN
0.4± 1.0high
Bobby McMannSEA
0.3± 0.5high

Points

Brock BoeserVAN
0.9± 1.3high
Filip HronekVAN
0.7± 0.6high
Jake DeBruskVAN
0.7± 0.6high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands