NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+1NYI

NYI

34-21-5

CBJ

29-21-8

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

NHLSat, Feb 28FinalSeriesNYI lead series 2-1VegasCBJ -142

Recap · NHL

ew York Islanders went into Columbus Blue Jackets and beat them, 4–3 in overtime.

NYI +1.5 cashed (CBJ lost outright). Total cleared the 5.5 OVER by 1.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

NYI · top performer

Mathew Barzal

C · #13

2Points

—

SOG

CBJ · top performer

Charlie Coyle

C · #3

1Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final / OT

NYI34-21-5

CBJ29-21-8

NYI34-21-5CBJ29-21-8

NYI

34-21-5

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Goalie	Skating	Goalie
Player	GA	SA	SV	SV%

CBJ

29-21-8

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Goalie	Skating	Goalie
Player	GA	SA	SV	SV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Season series

NYI lead series 2-1

Nov 2

CBJ2@

NYI3

Dec 28

NYI2@

CBJ4

Feb 28

NYI4@

CBJ3today

Mar 22

CBJ0@

NYI1

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

CBJ -1.5

Total

5.5

Defensive · -3.0 vs avg

Moneyline

NYI+12045%

CBJ-14259%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet CBJ -1.5↗SpreadBet CBJ -1.5↗

Line movement · 10 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

5.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

NYI beat CBJ 4-3.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	OT	T
NYI	0	3	0	1	4
CBJ	1	2	0	0	3

Period scoring

NYI won 2 · CBJ won 1

NYI

CBJ

Play-by-play · 330 plays

period

event

player

OT·1:47
Game End
NYI 4·CBJ 3
OT·1:47
End of OT
NYI 4·CBJ 3
OT·1:47
Simon Holmstrom Goal (14) Wrist Shot, assists: Tony DeAngelo (22), Mathew Barzal (37)
· ·
NYI 4·CBJ 3
OT·0:00
Charlie Coyle faceoff won against Bo Horvat
·
NYI 3·CBJ 3
OT·0:00
Start of Overtime
NYI 3·CBJ 3
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
NYI 3·CBJ 3
3rd·19:51
Zach Werenski Snap Shot Wide Left
·
NYI 3·CBJ 3
3rd·19:35
Adam Fantilli hit Ryan Pulock
·
NYI 3·CBJ 3
3rd·19:23
Adam Fantilli faceoff won against Jean-Gabriel Pageau
·
NYI 3·CBJ 3
3rd·19:23
Puck in Netting
NYI 3·CBJ 3
3rd·19:21
Adam Fantilli shot blocked by Tony DeAngelo
·
NYI 3·CBJ 3
3rd·19:16
Emil Heineman hit Erik Gudbranson
·
NYI 3·CBJ 3
3rd·18:25
Giveaway by Bo Horvat
NYI 3·CBJ 3
3rd·18:16
Giveaway by Cole Sillinger
NYI 3·CBJ 3
3rd·18:14
Charlie Coyle hit Emil Heineman
·
NYI 3·CBJ 3
3rd·18:02
Charlie Coyle faceoff won against Bo Horvat
·
NYI 3·CBJ 3
3rd·18:02
Off-side
NYI 3·CBJ 3
3rd·17:54
Bo Horvat faceoff won against Charlie Coyle
·
NYI 3·CBJ 3
3rd·17:54
Puck Frozen - Goalie
NYI 3·CBJ 3
3rd·17:52
Adam Pelech Slap Shot Wide Right
·
NYI 3·CBJ 3
3rd·17:21
Ryan Pulock hit Mason Marchment
·
NYI 3·CBJ 3
3rd·17:21
Kirill Marchenko Snap Shot Wide Right
·
NYI 3·CBJ 3
3rd·16:34
Giveaway by Damon Severson
NYI 3·CBJ 3
3rd·15:56
Mathieu Olivier shot blocked by Ryan Pulock
·
NYI 3·CBJ 3
3rd·15:53
Zach Werenski shot blocked by Ryan Pulock
·
NYI 3·CBJ 3
3rd·15:50
Charlie Coyle faceoff won against Bo Horvat
·
NYI 3·CBJ 3
3rd·15:50
Goalie Stopped
NYI 3·CBJ 3
3rd·15:48
Boone Jenner Backhand Wide Left
·
NYI 3·CBJ 3
3rd·15:46
Zach Werenski Snap Shot Wide Right
·
NYI 3·CBJ 3
3rd·15:36
Boone Jenner hit Adam Pelech
·
NYI 3·CBJ 3

Team stats

NYI

Away

Stat

CBJ

Home

Shots

0.0

PCT

0.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Betting line

CBJ -1.5·O/U 5.5·NYI +120/CBJ -142

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 28 skaters with EDGE

Matthew SchaeferNYI · D
BURSTS26999+
Ryan PulockNYI · D
SHOT MPH103.099+
Ivan ProvorovCBJ · D
DIST MI299.999+
Mathew BarzalNYI · C
DIST MI274.399
Emil HeinemanNYI · LW
SHOT MPH97.399

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · CBJ favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CBJ win)
33%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CBJ win)
32%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CBJ win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

CBJ vs NYI.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

135

projections · 126 high confidence

Shots on goal

Zach WerenskiCBJ
3.4± 2.5high
Bo HorvatNYI
2.9± 0.9high
Kirill MarchenkoCBJ
2.8± 1.6high

Goals

Adam FantilliCBJ
0.3± 0.5high
Boone JennerCBJ
0.3± 0.5high
Charlie CoyleCBJ
0.3± 0.7high

Points

Kirill MarchenkoCBJ
0.8± 0.9high
Mason MarchmentCBJ
0.8± 0.7high
Mathew BarzalNYI
0.8± 0.7high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands