Live · 2
Free during beta —to track favorites + alerts
FINAL+1NYR
PIT

PIT

30-15-13

23
NYR

NYR

23-29-7

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

NHLSat, Feb 28FinalSeriestied 2-2VegasPIT -125

Recap · NHL

ew York Rangers held off Pittsburgh Penguins, 3–2.

NYR +1.5 cashed (PIT lost outright). Total stayed UNDER 5.5 by 0.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

PIT · top performer

PIT
Blake Lizotte

Blake Lizotte

C · #46

1Points

0

G

1

A

—

SOG

NYR · top performer

NYR
Brendan Brisson

Brendan Brisson

C · #91

1Points

0

G

1

A

—

SOG

NHL · Pittsburgh Penguins at New York Rangers · final

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final/SO
2
3
PIT30-15-13NYR23-29-7
PIT

PIT

30-15-13

2
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%
NYR

NYR

23-29-7

3
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

4

PIM

16

Season series

Series tied 2-2

Oct 8PITPIT3@NYRNYR0
Oct 11NYRNYR6@PITPIT1
Jan 31NYRNYR5@PITPIT6
Feb 28PITPIT2@NYRNYR3today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

PIT -1.5

Total

5.5

Defensive · -3.0 vs avg

Moneyline

PITPIT-12556%
NYRNYR+10549%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet PIT -1.5↗SpreadBet PIT -1.5↗

Line movement · 10 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

5.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

NYR beat PIT 3-2.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team123OTSOT
PIT110002
NYR011013

Period scoring

PIT won 1 · NYR won 2

1
0

1

1
1

2

0
1

3

0
0

OT

0
1

SO

PIT
NYR

Play-by-play · 329 plays

period
event
player
  1. SO·0:00

    Game End

    PIT 0·NYR 1

  2. SO·0:00

    End of OT

    PIT 0·NYR 1

  3. SO·0:00

    End of Shootout

    PIT 0·NYR 1

  4. SO·0:00

    Tommy Novak Wrist Shot High and Wide Right

    ·

    PIT 0·NYR 1

  5. SO·0:00

    J.T. Miller Wrist Shot saved by Stuart Skinner

    ·

    PIT 0·NYR 1

  6. SO·0:00

    Egor Chinakhov Wrist Shot saved by Igor Shesterkin

    ·

    PIT 0·NYR 1

  7. SO·0:00

    Vincent Trocheck Goal Wrist Shot

    PIT 0·NYR 1

  8. SO·0:00

    Anthony Mantha Wrist Shot Wide Right

    ·

    PIT 0·NYR 1

  9. SO·0:00

    Start of Shootout

    PIT 0·NYR 1

  10. OT·5:00

    End of OT

    PIT 2·NYR 2

  11. OT·4:59

    Evgeni Malkin Wrist Shot saved by Igor Shesterkin

    ·

    PIT 2·NYR 2

  12. OT·4:56

    Vincent Trocheck faceoff won against Noel Acciari

    ·

    PIT 2·NYR 2

  13. OT·4:56

    Timeout - Visitor

    PIT 2·NYR 2

  14. OT·4:56

    Goalie Stopped

    PIT 2·NYR 2

  15. OT·4:54

    Evgeni Malkin Wrist Shot saved by Igor Shesterkin

    ·

    PIT 2·NYR 2

  16. OT·4:49

    Evgeni Malkin Wrist Shot saved by Igor Shesterkin

    ·

    PIT 2·NYR 2

  17. OT·4:17

    Erik Karlsson Wrist Shot saved by Igor Shesterkin

    ·

    PIT 2·NYR 2

  18. OT·4:10

    Alexis Lafrenière Wrist Shot saved by Stuart Skinner

    ·

    PIT 2·NYR 2

  19. OT·4:01

    Braden Schneider Wrist Shot Wide Left

    ·

    PIT 2·NYR 2

  20. OT·3:35

    Takeaway by Adam Fox

    PIT 2·NYR 2

  21. OT·3:02

    Ben Kindel Backhand saved by Igor Shesterkin

    ·

    PIT 2·NYR 2

  22. OT·2:32

    Will Cuylle Wrist Shot saved by Stuart Skinner

    ·

    PIT 2·NYR 2

  23. OT·2:13

    J.T. Miller Wrist Shot Wide Left

    ·

    PIT 2·NYR 2

  24. OT·1:47

    J.T. Miller Slap Shot High and Wide Right

    ·

    PIT 2·NYR 2

  25. OT·0:57

    Vincent Trocheck faceoff won against Rickard Rakell

    ·

    PIT 2·NYR 2

  26. OT·0:57

    Icing

    PIT 2·NYR 2

  27. OT·0:13

    Ben Kindel Snap Shot saved by Igor Shesterkin

    ·

    PIT 2·NYR 2

  28. OT·0:00

    Ben Kindel faceoff won against J.T. Miller

    ·

    PIT 2·NYR 2

  29. OT·0:00

    Start of Overtime

    PIT 2·NYR 2

  30. 3rd·20:00

    End of 3rd Period

    PIT 2·NYR 2

Team stats

PIT

Away

Stat

NYR

Home

34

Shots

25

33.3

PCT

50.0

4

PIM

16

12

Faceoffs W

40

19

Blocks

11

15

Giveaways

16

6

Takeaways

4

Betting line

PIT -1.5·O/U 5.5·PIT -125/NYR +105

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 25 skaters with EDGE
  • J.T. MillerNYR · LW
    SHOT MPH102.699+
  • Egor ChinakhovPIT · RW
    SHOT MPH94.799
  • Erik KarlssonPIT · D
    SKATE MPH22.897
  • Vladislav GavrikovNYR · D
    DIST MI263.494
  • Noah LabaNYR · C
    BURSTS17992

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · NYR favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(NYR win)

    33%

    weight

  • Goalie Starter

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(NYR win)

    32%

    weight

  • Xg Blend

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(NYR win)

    34%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

NYR vs PIT.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

141

projections · 117 high confidence

Shots on goal

  • Rickard RakellPIT
    3.0± 2.1high
  • Sidney CrosbyPIT
    2.7± 1.7high
  • Bryan RustPIT
    2.3± 1.4high

Goals

  • Evgeni MalkinPIT
    0.5± 1.0high
  • Gabe PerreaultNYR
    0.4± 1.0high
  • Adam FoxNYR
    0.3± 0.5high

Points

  • Adam FoxNYR
    1.2± 1.0high
  • Evgeni MalkinPIT
    1.1± 1.4high
  • Sidney CrosbyPIT
    1.1± 1.1high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Data via ESPN · NHL API · hockeyR