NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+1NYR

PIT

30-15-13

NYR

23-29-7

NHLSat, Feb 28FinalSeriestied 2-2VegasPIT -125

PIT · top performer

Evgeni Malkin

C · #71

0Points

—

SOG

NYR · top performer

Mika Zibanejad

C · #93

1Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final/SO

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
N. AcciariC · #55	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	13:20
J. BrazeauRW · #16	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	13:01
E. ChinakhovRW · #59	0	0	0	2	2	0	0	16:41
C. DewarC · #19	0	0	1	1	1	2	0	14:06
A. HayesRW · #85	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	11:54
B. KindelC · #81	0	0	-1	6	1	1	0	17:12
B. LizotteC · #46	0	1	1	0	1	0	2	14:29
E. MalkinC · #71	0	0	0	7	2	0	0	20:28
A. ManthaRW · #39	1	0	-1	1	0	1	0	15:41
T. NovakC · #18	0	0	0	6	1	1	0	15:22
R. RakellRW · #67	0	0	0	0	2	1	2	20:08
B. RustRW · #17	0	1	-1	2	1	0	0	19:45

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
C. CliftonD · #75	0	1	1	1	2	5	0	16:16
S. GirardD · #49	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	20:57
E. KarlssonD · #65	0	1	0	3	1	1	0	24:14
K. LetangD · #58	0	0	-1	1	0	2	0	23:51
R. SheaD · #5	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	16:33
P. WotherspoonD · #28	0	0	-1	2	0	0	0	18:34

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
S. SkinnerG · #74	25	2	23	.920	64:37

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
B. BrissonC · #91	0	1	0	0	1	1	0	10:39
S. CarrickC · #39	0	0	1	0	3	0	0	9:41
W. CuylleLW · #50	0	0	0	2	4	0	0	19:17
T. KartyeLW · #24	0	0	-1	2	6	0	0	12:39
N. LabaC · #42	0	0	-1	3	1	1	0	13:13
A. LafreniereLW · #13	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	20:13
J.T. MillerLW · #8	0	1	0	1	4	0	0	20:53
G. PerreaultRW · #94	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	17:59
T. RaddyshRW · #14	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	9:48
C. ShearyLW · #43	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	14:36
V. TrocheckC · #16	0	1	0	0	1	0	12	16:47
M. ZibanejadC · #93	1	0	0	5	0	0	0	22:36

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
W. BorgenD · #17	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	18:32
A. FoxD · #23	0	0	1	1	1	2	0	25:33
V. GavrikovD · #44	0	1	0	3	2	0	2	24:17
S. MorrowD · #60	0	0	-1	1	2	1	0	15:31
M. RobertsonD · #29	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	17:38
B. SchneiderD · #4	0	0	0	0	1	4	2	20:28

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
I. ShesterkinG · #31	34	2	32	.941	65:00

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Team stats

PIT

Away

Stat

NYR

Home

Shots

33.3

PCT

50.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Season series

Series tied 2-2

Oct 8

PIT3@

NYR0

Oct 11

NYR6@

PIT1

Jan 31

NYR5@

PIT6

Feb 28

PIT2@

NYR3today

Model & market

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

PIT -1.5

Total

5.5

Defensive · -3.0 vs avg

Moneyline

PIT-12556%

NYR+10549%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet PIT -1.5↗SpreadBet PIT -1.5↗

Line movement · 21 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

5.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

NYR beat PIT 3-2. M. Zibanejad led the way — 1 G · 5 SOG.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	OT	SO	T
PIT	1	1	0	0	0	2
NYR	0	1	1	0	1	3

Period scoring

PIT won 1 · NYR won 2

PIT

NYR

Play-by-play · 329 plays

period

event

player

SO·0:00
Game End
PIT 0·NYR 1
SO·0:00
End of OT
PIT 0·NYR 1
SO·0:00
End of Shootout
PIT 0·NYR 1
SO·0:00
Tommy Novak Wrist Shot High and Wide Right
·
PIT 0·NYR 1
SO·0:00
J.T. Miller Wrist Shot saved by Stuart Skinner
·
PIT 0·NYR 1
SO·0:00
Egor Chinakhov Wrist Shot saved by Igor Shesterkin
·
PIT 0·NYR 1
SO·0:00
Vincent Trocheck Goal Wrist Shot
PIT 0·NYR 1
SO·0:00
Anthony Mantha Wrist Shot Wide Right
·
PIT 0·NYR 1
SO·0:00
Start of Shootout
PIT 0·NYR 1
OT·5:00
End of OT
PIT 2·NYR 2
OT·4:59
Evgeni Malkin Wrist Shot saved by Igor Shesterkin
·
PIT 2·NYR 2
OT·4:56
Vincent Trocheck faceoff won against Noel Acciari
·
PIT 2·NYR 2
OT·4:56
Timeout - Visitor
PIT 2·NYR 2
OT·4:56
Goalie Stopped
PIT 2·NYR 2
OT·4:54
Evgeni Malkin Wrist Shot saved by Igor Shesterkin
·
PIT 2·NYR 2
OT·4:49
Evgeni Malkin Wrist Shot saved by Igor Shesterkin
·
PIT 2·NYR 2
OT·4:17
Erik Karlsson Wrist Shot saved by Igor Shesterkin
·
PIT 2·NYR 2
OT·4:10
Alexis Lafrenière Wrist Shot saved by Stuart Skinner
·
PIT 2·NYR 2
OT·4:01
Braden Schneider Wrist Shot Wide Left
·
PIT 2·NYR 2
OT·3:35
Takeaway by Adam Fox
PIT 2·NYR 2
OT·3:02
Ben Kindel Backhand saved by Igor Shesterkin
·
PIT 2·NYR 2
OT·2:32
Will Cuylle Wrist Shot saved by Stuart Skinner
·
PIT 2·NYR 2
OT·2:13
J.T. Miller Wrist Shot Wide Left
·
PIT 2·NYR 2
OT·1:47
J.T. Miller Slap Shot High and Wide Right
·
PIT 2·NYR 2
OT·0:57
Vincent Trocheck faceoff won against Rickard Rakell
·
PIT 2·NYR 2
OT·0:57
Icing
PIT 2·NYR 2
OT·0:13
Ben Kindel Snap Shot saved by Igor Shesterkin
·
PIT 2·NYR 2
OT·0:00
Ben Kindel faceoff won against J.T. Miller
·
PIT 2·NYR 2
OT·0:00
Start of Overtime
PIT 2·NYR 2
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
PIT 2·NYR 2

Betting line

PIT -1.5·O/U 5.5·PIT -125/NYR +105

DraftKings · via ESPN

Recap · NHL

ew York Rangers held off Pittsburgh Penguins, 3–2.

NYR +1.5 cashed (PIT lost outright). Total stayed UNDER 5.5 by 0.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

48.1%

ensemble · PIT favored

Elo Static
48.1%
P(NYR win)
68%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
48.1%
P(NYR win)
15%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
48.1%
P(NYR win)
16%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

1 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Team pages

Pittsburgh PenguinsNew York Rangers

Elsewhere in the NHL