NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+2NJ

29-29-2

STL

21-29-9

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

NHLSat, Feb 28FinalSeriesNJ wins series 2-0VegasNJ -118

Recap · NHL

ew Jersey Devils went into St. Louis Blues and beat them, 3–1.

NJ -1.5 cashed (won by 2). Total stayed UNDER 5.5 by 1.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

NJ · top performer

Jesper Bratt

LW · #63

1Points

—

SOG

STL · top performer

Pavel Buchnevich

LW · #89

1Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

NJ29-29-2

STL21-29-9

NJ29-29-2STL21-29-9

29-29-2

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Goalie	Skating	Goalie
Player	GA	SA	SV	SV%

STL

21-29-9

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Goalie	Skating	Goalie
Player	GA	SA	SV	SV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Season series

NJ wins series 2-0

Nov 27

STL2@

NJ3

Feb 28

NJ3@

STL1today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

NJ -1.5

Total

5.5

Defensive · -3.0 vs avg

Moneyline

NJ-11854%

STL-10250%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet NJ -1.5↗SpreadBet NJ -1.5↗

Line movement · 7 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

5.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

NJ beat STL 3-1.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	T
NJ	0	2	1	3
STL	0	0	1	1

Period scoring

NJ won 1 · STL won 0

STL

Play-by-play · 309 plays

period

event

player

3rd·20:00
Game End
NJ 3·STL 1
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
NJ 3·STL 1
3rd·19:55
Nick Bjugstad faceoff won against Jack Finley
·
NJ 3·STL 1
3rd·19:55
Nico Hischier Goal (20) Wrist Shot, assists: Jesper Bratt (30), Connor Brown (13)
· ·
NJ 3·STL 1
3rd·19:26
Pius Suter faceoff won against Nico Hischier
·
NJ 2·STL 1
3rd·19:26
Icing
NJ 2·STL 1
3rd·19:15
Nico Hischier faceoff won against Pius Suter
·
NJ 2·STL 1
3rd·19:15
Puck in Benches
NJ 2·STL 1
3rd·19:12
Takeaway by Dougie Hamilton
NJ 2·STL 1
3rd·18:42
Brayden Schenn faceoff won against Nico Hischier
·
NJ 2·STL 1
3rd·18:42
Timeout - Visitor
NJ 2·STL 1
3rd·18:42
Pavel Buchnevich Goal (13) Wrist Shot, assists: Pius Suter (11)
·
NJ 2·STL 1
3rd·18:38
Jacob Markstrom shot blocked by Pavel Buchnevich
·
NJ 2·STL 0
3rd·18:12
Giveaway by Brett Pesce
NJ 2·STL 0
3rd·18:07
Jimmy Snuggerud Slap Shot saved by Jacob Markstrom
·
NJ 2·STL 0
3rd·17:58
Pius Suter faceoff won against Nico Hischier
·
NJ 2·STL 0
3rd·17:58
Icing
NJ 2·STL 0
3rd·17:53
Dawson Mercer Wrist Shot Wide Left
NJ 2·STL 0
3rd·17:51
Giveaway by Jordan Kyrou
NJ 2·STL 0
3rd·17:38
Jordan Kyrou shot blocked by Brett Pesce
·
NJ 2·STL 0
3rd·17:22
Dylan Holloway faceoff won against Nico Hischier
·
NJ 2·STL 0
3rd·17:22
Puck Frozen - Skater
NJ 2·STL 0
3rd·17:12
Brayden Schenn faceoff won against Cody Glass
·
NJ 2·STL 0
3rd·17:12
Icing
NJ 2·STL 0
3rd·17:08
Jesper Bratt Wrist Shot Wide Right
NJ 2·STL 0
3rd·17:07
Giveaway by Cam Fowler
NJ 2·STL 0
3rd·16:44
Cody Glass faceoff won against Pius Suter
·
NJ 2·STL 0
3rd·16:44
Puck in Netting
NJ 2·STL 0
3rd·16:41
Pius Suter Wrist Shot Wide Left
·
NJ 2·STL 0
3rd·16:40
Dylan Holloway shot blocked by Brett Pesce
·
NJ 2·STL 0

Team stats

Away

Stat

STL

Home

Shots

50.0

PCT

0.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Betting line

NJ -1.5·O/U 5.5·NJ -118/STL -102

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 14 skaters with EDGE

Philip BrobergSTL · D
BURSTS15898
Cam FowlerSTL · D
DIST MI260.294
Dylan HollowaySTL · LW
SHOT MPH93.092
Pavel BuchnevichSTL · LW
DIST MI234.892
Justin FaulkDET · D
BURSTS6990

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · STL favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(STL win)
33%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(STL win)
32%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(STL win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

-102

Close price

-102

Open no-vig

48.3%

Close no-vig

48.3%

Line barely moved · Graded: miss

Player projections

STL vs NJ.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

138

projections · 120 high confidence

Shots on goal

Jack HughesNJ
4.3± 1.7high
Timo MeierNJ
3.3± 3.0high
Dylan HollowaySTL
3.1± 1.3high

Goals

Robert ThomasSTL
0.7± 1.2high
Jack HughesNJ
0.6± 0.8high
Dawson MercerNJ
0.4± 0.7high

Points

Jack HughesNJ
1.6± 1.7high
Robert ThomasSTL
1.4± 1.1high
Dylan HollowaySTL
1.2± 1.1high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands