Free during beta —to track favorites + alerts
FINAL+1SEA
SEA

SEA

26-19-9

32
VGK

VGK

25-15-14

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

NHLSat, Jan 31FinalSeriesSEA leads series 2-0VegasVGK -192

Recap · NHL

eattle Kraken went into Vegas Golden Knights and beat them, 3–2.

SEA +1.5 cashed (VGK lost outright). Total stayed UNDER 6.5 by 1.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

SEA · top performer

SEA
Chandler Stephenson

Chandler Stephenson

C · #9

2Points

0

G

2

A

—

SOG

VGK · top performer

VGK
Jack Eichel

Jack Eichel

C · #9

2Points

0

G

2

A

—

SOG

NHL · Seattle Kraken at Vegas Golden Knights · final

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final
3
2
SEA26-19-9VGK25-15-14
SEA

SEA

26-19-9

3
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%
VGK

VGK

25-15-14

2
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

4

PIM

4

Season series

SEA leads series 2-0

Oct 12VGKVGK1@SEASEA2
Feb 1SEASEA3@VGKVGK2today
Apr 10VGKVGK3@SEASEA4
Apr 16SEASEA1@VGKVGK4

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

VGK -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

SEASEA+16038%
VGKVGK-19266%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet VGK -1.5↗SpreadBet VGK -1.5↗

Line movement · 11 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

SEA beat VGK 3-2.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team123T
SEA2013
VGK0202

Period scoring

SEA won 2 · VGK won 1

2
0

1

0
2

2

1
0

3

SEA
VGK

Play-by-play · 285 plays

period
event
player
  1. 3rd·20:00

    Game End

    SEA 3·VGK 2

  2. 3rd·20:00

    End of 3rd Period

    SEA 3·VGK 2

  3. 3rd·19:57

    Tomas Hertl shot blocked by Freddy Gaudreau

    ·

    SEA 3·VGK 2

  4. 3rd·19:55

    Jack Eichel Wrist Shot saved by Joey Daccord

    ·

    SEA 3·VGK 2

  5. 3rd·19:53

    Tomas Hertl faceoff won against Freddy Gaudreau

    ·

    SEA 3·VGK 2

  6. 3rd·19:53

    Goalie Stopped

    SEA 3·VGK 2

  7. 3rd·19:50

    Mitch Marner Slap Shot saved by Joey Daccord

    ·

    SEA 3·VGK 2

  8. 3rd·19:48

    Jack Eichel faceoff won against Chandler Stephenson

    ·

    SEA 3·VGK 2

  9. 3rd·19:48

    Goalie Stopped

    SEA 3·VGK 2

  10. 3rd·19:46

    Tomas Hertl Wrist Shot Wide Left

    ·

    SEA 3·VGK 2

  11. 3rd·19:45

    Mitch Marner shot blocked by Tomas Hertl

    ·

    SEA 3·VGK 2

  12. 3rd·19:40

    Tomas Hertl faceoff won against Freddy Gaudreau

    ·

    SEA 3·VGK 2

  13. 3rd·19:40

    Puck in Netting

    SEA 3·VGK 2

  14. 3rd·19:38

    Jack Eichel shot blocked by Freddy Gaudreau

    ·

    SEA 3·VGK 2

  15. 3rd·19:29

    Adam Larsson hit Mark Stone

    ·

    SEA 3·VGK 2

  16. 3rd·19:14

    Tomas Hertl Snap Shot High and Wide Left

    ·

    SEA 3·VGK 2

  17. 3rd·19:05

    Freddy Gaudreau faceoff won against Tomas Hertl

    ·

    SEA 3·VGK 2

  18. 3rd·19:05

    Goalie Stopped

    SEA 3·VGK 2

  19. 3rd·19:02

    Jack Eichel Wrist Shot saved by Joey Daccord

    ·

    SEA 3·VGK 2

  20. 3rd·18:59

    Mitch Marner Wrist Shot Wide Right

    ·

    SEA 3·VGK 2

  21. 3rd·18:39

    Jack Eichel faceoff won against Chandler Stephenson

    ·

    SEA 3·VGK 2

  22. 3rd·18:39

    Icing

    SEA 3·VGK 2

  23. 3rd·17:44

    Giveaway by Reilly Smith

    SEA 3·VGK 2

  24. 3rd·17:26

    Chandler Stephenson Tip-In Wide Left

    ·

    SEA 3·VGK 2

  25. 3rd·17:06

    Giveaway by Frederick Gaudreau

    SEA 3·VGK 2

  26. 3rd·17:04

    Giveaway by Ivan Barbashev

    SEA 3·VGK 2

  27. 3rd·16:58

    Jaden Schwartz Wrist Shot saved by Akira Schmid

    ·

    SEA 3·VGK 2

  28. 3rd·16:50

    Brandon Montour hit Keegan Kolesar

    ·

    SEA 3·VGK 2

  29. 3rd·16:46

    Rasmus Andersson shot blocked by Jaden Schwartz

    ·

    SEA 3·VGK 2

  30. 3rd·16:45

    Giveaway by Brandon Montour

    SEA 3·VGK 2

Team stats

SEA

Away

Stat

VGK

Home

22

Shots

29

50.0

PCT

50.0

4

PIM

4

25

Faceoffs W

22

15

Blocks

11

14

Giveaways

17

5

Takeaways

2

Betting line

VGK -1.5·O/U 6.5·SEA +160/VGK -192

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 27 skaters with EDGE
  • Jack EichelVGK · C
    DIST MI58.999+
  • Shea TheodoreVGK · D
    SKATE MPH23.399
  • Brandon MontourSEA · D
    SHOT MPH101.698
  • Matty BeniersSEA · C
    DIST MI267.798
  • Mitch MarnerVGK · RW
    DIST MI53.598

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.6%

ensemble · VGK favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(VGK win)

    33%

    weight

  • Goalie Starter

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(VGK win)

    32%

    weight

  • Xg Blend

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(VGK win)

    34%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

+160

Close price

+160

Open no-vig

36.9%

Close no-vig

36.9%

Line barely moved · Graded: hit

Data via ESPN · NHL API · hockeyR