NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+4MIN

MIN

32-14-10

EDM

28-20-8

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

NHLSat, Jan 31FinalSeriesMIN wins series 3-0VegasEDM -130

Recap · NHL

innesota Wild went into Edmonton Oilers and beat them, 7–3.

MIN +1.5 cashed (EDM lost outright). Total cleared the 6.5 OVER by 3.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

MIN · top performer

Joel Eriksson Ek

C · #14

2Points

—

SOG

EDM · top performer

Leon Draisaitl

C · #29

1Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

MIN32-14-10

EDM28-20-8

MIN32-14-10EDM28-20-8

MIN

32-14-10

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Goalie	Skating	Goalie
Player	GA	SA	SV	SV%

EDM

28-20-8

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Goalie	Skating	Goalie
Player	GA	SA	SV	SV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Season series

MIN wins series 3-0

Dec 3

MIN1@

EDM0

Dec 20

EDM2@

MIN5

Feb 1

MIN7@

EDM3today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

EDM -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

MIN+11048%

EDM-13057%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet EDM -1.5↗SpreadBet EDM -1.5↗

Line movement · 8 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

MIN beat EDM 7-3.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	T
MIN	2	3	2	7
EDM	2	0	1	3

Period scoring

MIN won 2 · EDM won 0

MIN

EDM

Play-by-play · 346 plays

period

event

player

3rd·20:00
Game End
MIN 7·EDM 3
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
MIN 7·EDM 3
3rd·19:25
Matt Savoie Backhand Wide Right
·
MIN 7·EDM 3
3rd·19:17
Yakov Trenin faceoff won against Josh Samanski
·
MIN 7·EDM 3
3rd·19:17
Icing
MIN 7·EDM 3
3rd·19:13
Ty Emberson hit Vincent Hinostroza
·
MIN 7·EDM 3
3rd·19:05
Yakov Trenin hit Jack Roslovic
·
MIN 7·EDM 3
3rd·18:27
Kasperi Kapanen Wrist Shot saved by Jesper Wallstedt
·
MIN 7·EDM 3
3rd·18:15
Giveaway by Darnell Nurse
MIN 7·EDM 3
3rd·17:59
Ryan Hartman faceoff won against Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
·
MIN 7·EDM 3
3rd·17:59
Goalie Stopped
MIN 7·EDM 3
3rd·17:57
Jake Walman Slap Shot saved by Jesper Wallstedt
·
MIN 7·EDM 3
3rd·17:20
Curtis Lazar shot blocked by Brock Faber
·
MIN 7·EDM 3
3rd·16:29
Danila Yurov faceoff won against Jack Roslovic
·
MIN 7·EDM 3
3rd·16:29
Goalie Stopped
MIN 7·EDM 3
3rd·16:27
Evan Bouchard Slap Shot saved by Jesper Wallstedt
·
MIN 7·EDM 3
3rd·16:26
Marcus Foligno hit Kasperi Kapanen
·
MIN 7·EDM 3
3rd·15:56
Kasperi Kapanen Wrist Shot Wide Left
·
MIN 7·EDM 3
3rd·15:30
Josh Samanski hit Mats Zuccarello
·
MIN 7·EDM 3
3rd·15:08
Ty Emberson hit Daemon Hunt
·
MIN 7·EDM 3
3rd·14:37
Vincent Hinostroza Wrist Shot saved by Connor Ingram
·
MIN 7·EDM 3
3rd·14:24
Giveaway by Quinn Hughes
MIN 7·EDM 3
3rd·14:17
Yakov Trenin faceoff won against Trent Frederic
·
MIN 7·EDM 3
3rd·14:17
Brock Faber Goal (12) Wrist Shot, assists: Matt Boldy (27), Jake Middleton (11)
· ·
MIN 7·EDM 3
3rd·14:01
Connor McDavid Snap Shot Short
·
MIN 6·EDM 3
3rd·13:59
Evan Bouchard Wrist Shot Hit Left Post
·
MIN 6·EDM 3
3rd·13:30
Joel Eriksson Ek faceoff won against Connor McDavid
·
MIN 6·EDM 3
3rd·13:30
Goalie Stopped
MIN 6·EDM 3
3rd·13:27
Jake Walman Slap Shot saved by Jesper Wallstedt
·
MIN 6·EDM 3
3rd·13:20
Jack Roslovic Wrist Shot saved by Jesper Wallstedt
·
MIN 6·EDM 3

Team stats

MIN

Away

Stat

EDM

Home

Shots

66.7

PCT

0.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Betting line

EDM -1.5·O/U 6.5·MIN +110/EDM -130

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 27 skaters with EDGE

Brock FaberMIN · D
BURSTS2799+
Jake WalmanEDM · D
SHOT MPH99.599
Connor McDavidEDM · C
BURSTS5498
Matt BoldyMIN · LW
SHOT MPH92.897
Vinnie HinostrozaFLA · C
SKATE MPH23.696

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · EDM favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(EDM win)
33%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(EDM win)
32%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(EDM win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.