Live · 8
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FINAL+1NSH
NSH

NSH

25-23-6

43
NYI

NYI

30-20-5

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

NHLSat, Jan 31FinalSeriesNSH wins series 2-0VegasNYI -125

Recap · NHL

ashville Predators went into New York Islanders and beat them, 4–3.

NSH +1.5 cashed (NYI lost outright). Total cleared the 5.5 OVER by 1.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

NSH · top performer

NSH
Filip Forsberg

Filip Forsberg

LW · #9

2Points

2

G

0

A

—

SOG

NYI · top performer

NYI
Mathew Barzal

Mathew Barzal

C · #13

2Points

1

G

1

A

—

SOG

NHL · Nashville Predators at New York Islanders · final

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final
4
3
NSH25-23-6NYI30-20-5
NSH

NSH

25-23-6

4
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%
NYI

NYI

30-20-5

3
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

18

PIM

8

Season series

NSH wins series 2-0

Jan 9NYINYI1@NSHNSH2
Feb 1NSHNSH4@NYINYI3today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

NYI -1.5

Total

5.5

Defensive · -3.0 vs avg

Moneyline

NSHNSH+10549%
NYINYI-12556%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet NYI -1.5↗SpreadBet NYI -1.5↗

Line movement · 9 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

5.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

NSH beat NYI 4-3.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team123T
NSH2114
NYI2103

Period scoring

NSH won 1 · NYI won 0

2
2

1

1
1

2

1
0

3

NSH
NYI

Play-by-play · 319 plays

period
event
player
  1. 3rd·20:00

    Game End

    NSH 4·NYI 3

  2. 3rd·20:00

    End of 3rd Period

    NSH 4·NYI 3

  3. 3rd·19:49

    Emil Heineman Snap Shot saved by Juuse Saros

    ·

    NSH 4·NYI 3

  4. 3rd·19:47

    Ondrej Palat shot blocked by Ryan O'Reilly

    ·

    NSH 4·NYI 3

  5. 3rd·19:46

    Mathew Barzal Backhand saved by Juuse Saros

    ·

    NSH 4·NYI 3

  6. 3rd·18:46

    Bo Horvat faceoff won against Michael McCarron

    ·

    NSH 4·NYI 3

  7. 3rd·18:46

    Timeout - Home

    NSH 4·NYI 3

  8. 3rd·18:46

    Roman Josi Goal (10) Wrist Shot, assists: Adam Wilsby (9), Erik Haula (18)

    · ·

    NSH 4·NYI 3

  9. 3rd·18:10

    Steven Stamkos faceoff won against Bo Horvat

    ·

    NSH 3·NYI 3

  10. 3rd·18:10

    Off-side

    NSH 3·NYI 3

  11. 3rd·17:49

    Bo Horvat faceoff won against Ryan O'Reilly

    ·

    NSH 3·NYI 3

  12. 3rd·17:49

    TV Timeout

    NSH 3·NYI 3

  13. 3rd·17:49

    Cole Smith Roughing against Adam Pelech

    ·

    NSH 3·NYI 3

  14. 3rd·17:49

    Adam Pelech Interference against Cole Smith

    ·

    NSH 3·NYI 3

  15. 3rd·17:49

    Puck in Netting

    NSH 3·NYI 3

  16. 3rd·17:45

    Roman Josi shot blocked by Jean-Gabriel Pageau

    ·

    NSH 3·NYI 3

  17. 3rd·17:14

    Kyle MacLean hit Ozzy Wiesblatt

    ·

    NSH 3·NYI 3

  18. 3rd·17:00

    Kyle MacLean hit Ozzy Wiesblatt

    ·

    NSH 3·NYI 3

  19. 3rd·16:24

    Giveaway by Tony DeAngelo

    NSH 3·NYI 3

  20. 3rd·16:13

    Giveaway by Anthony Duclair

    NSH 3·NYI 3

  21. 3rd·15:42

    Michael Bunting Snap Shot Hit Left Post

    ·

    NSH 3·NYI 3

  22. 3rd·15:38

    Steven Stamkos Deflected saved by Ilya Sorokin

    ·

    NSH 3·NYI 3

  23. 3rd·15:34

    Giveaway by Scott Mayfield

    NSH 3·NYI 3

  24. 3rd·14:39

    Marc Gatcomb hit Michael McCarron

    ·

    NSH 3·NYI 3

  25. 3rd·13:27

    Erik Haula faceoff won against Bo Horvat

    ·

    NSH 3·NYI 3

  26. 3rd·13:27

    Goalie Stopped

    NSH 3·NYI 3

  27. 3rd·13:24

    Ryan O'Reilly Snap Shot saved by Ilya Sorokin

    ·

    NSH 3·NYI 3

  28. 3rd·12:19

    Michael McCarron faceoff won against Anders Lee

    ·

    NSH 3·NYI 3

  29. 3rd·12:19

    Adam Wilsby Tripping against Bo Horvat

    ·

    NSH 3·NYI 3

  30. 3rd·12:17

    Bo Horvat Backhand saved by Juuse Saros

    ·

    NSH 3·NYI 3

Team stats

NSH

Away

Stat

NYI

Home

42

Shots

30

50.0

PCT

0.0

18

PIM

8

23

Faceoffs W

31

6

Blocks

10

11

Giveaways

18

8

Takeaways

4

Betting line

NYI -1.5·O/U 5.5·NSH +105/NYI -125

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 27 skaters with EDGE
  • Matthew SchaeferNYI · D
    BURSTS26999+
  • Ryan PulockNYI · D
    SHOT MPH103.099+
  • Mathew BarzalNYI · C
    DIST MI274.399
  • Emil HeinemanNYI · LW
    SHOT MPH97.399
  • Ryan O'ReillyNSH · C
    DIST MI265.898

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · NYI favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(NYI win)

    33%

    weight

  • Goalie Starter

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(NYI win)

    32%

    weight

  • Xg Blend

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(NYI win)

    34%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

-125

Close price

-125

Open no-vig

53.2%

Close no-vig

53.2%

Line barely moved · Graded: miss

Data via ESPN · NHL API · hockeyR