Jan 14, 26sim 98
33
29(H)5
EloWin probTime of year
FINAL+1LA
LA
23-17-13
32
PHI
24-20-10
Historical comparables
Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates
basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year
Recap · NHL
os Angeles Kings went into Philadelphia Flyers and beat them, 3–2 in overtime.
PHI +1.5 cashed (LA won by 1). Total stayed UNDER 5.5 by 0.5.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
LA · top performer
Adrian Kempe
RW · #9
3Points
2
G
1
A
—
SOG
PHI · top performer
Travis Konecny
RW · #11
2Points
1
G
1
A
—
SOG
NHL · Los Angeles Kings at Philadelphia Flyers · final
NHL · Box scoreEDGE
Final / OT
LA23-17-13
32
PHI24-20-10
LA23-17-13PHI24-20-10
LA
23-17-13
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Goalie | Skating | Goalie | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | GA | SA | SV | SV% |
PHI
24-20-10
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Goalie | Skating | Goalie | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | GA | SA | SV | SV% |
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
4
PIM
4
Season series
LA leads series 1-0
Jan 31LA3@PHI2today
LA3@PHI2todayMar 20PHI4@LA3
PHI4@LA3Vegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
LA -1.5
Total
5.5
Defensive · -3.0 vs avg
Moneyline
LA-11253%PHI-10852%Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 9 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
1.5
0.0 since open
Total
5.5
0.0 since open
How it ended
LA beat PHI 3-2.
Last play
Game End
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LA | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| PHI | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
Period scoring
LA won 2 · PHI won 2
2
0
1
0
1
2
0
1
3
1
0
OT
LA
PHI
Play-by-play · 334 plays
period
event
player
- OT·2:48
Game End
LA 3·PHI 2
- OT·2:48
End of OT
LA 3·PHI 2
- OT·2:48
Quinton Byfield Goal (10) Snap Shot, assists: Adrian Kempe (24), Drew Doughty (11)
· ·
LA 3·PHI 2
- OT·1:30
Travis Konecny Wrist Shot Hit Right Post
·
LA 2·PHI 2
- OT·1:19
Brandt Clarke shot blocked by Christian Dvorak
·
LA 2·PHI 2
- OT·0:00
Adrian Kempe faceoff won against Christian Dvorak
·
LA 2·PHI 2
- OT·0:00
Start of Overtime
LA 2·PHI 2
- 3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
LA 2·PHI 2
- 3rd·19:57
Alex Laferriere shot blocked by Joel Edmundson
·
LA 2·PHI 2
- 3rd·19:41
Alex Laferriere faceoff won against Christian Dvorak
·
LA 2·PHI 2
- 3rd·19:41
Off-side
LA 2·PHI 2
- 3rd·19:22
Trevor Moore Snap Shot Wide Left
·
LA 2·PHI 2
- 3rd·19:20
Trevor Moore hit Cam York
·
LA 2·PHI 2
- 3rd·19:07
Anze Kopitar faceoff won against Sean Couturier
·
LA 2·PHI 2
- 3rd·19:07
Icing
LA 2·PHI 2
- 3rd·18:54
Owen Tippett hit Drew Doughty
·
LA 2·PHI 2
- 3rd·18:46
Giveaway by Taylor Ward
LA 2·PHI 2
- 3rd·17:55
Adrian Kempe faceoff won against Christian Dvorak
·
LA 2·PHI 2
- 3rd·17:55
Puck in Benches
LA 2·PHI 2
- 3rd·17:35
Christian Dvorak faceoff won against Adrian Kempe
·
LA 2·PHI 2
- 3rd·17:35
On-Ice Official
LA 2·PHI 2
- 3rd·17:17
Anze Kopitar Wrist Shot saved by Dan Vladar
·
LA 2·PHI 2
- 3rd·16:51
Trevor Moore Backhand saved by Dan Vladar
·
LA 2·PHI 2
- 3rd·16:11
Brian Dumoulin shot blocked by Travis Sanheim
·
LA 2·PHI 2
- 3rd·15:54
Christian Dvorak Tip-In Wide Left
·
LA 2·PHI 2
- 3rd·15:26
Anze Kopitar faceoff won against Christian Dvorak
·
LA 2·PHI 2
- 3rd·15:26
Goalie Stopped
LA 2·PHI 2
- 3rd·15:24
Nick Seeler Wrist Shot saved by Darcy Kuemper
·
LA 2·PHI 2
- 3rd·15:08
Sean Couturier Wrist Shot saved by Darcy Kuemper
·
LA 2·PHI 2
- 3rd·14:50
Giveaway by Trevor Zegras
LA 2·PHI 2
Team stats
LA
Away
Stat
PHI
Home
21
Shots
21
0.0
PCT
50.0
4
PIM
4
32
Faceoffs W
36
11
Blocks
16
7
Giveaways
18
2
Takeaways
4
Betting line
LA -1.5·O/U 5.5·LA -112/PHI -108
NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts
5 of 14 skaters with EDGE
Jamie DrysdalePHI · DSKATE MPH23.098
Travis SanheimPHI · DSKATE MPH22.795
Cam YorkPHI · DSKATE MPH22.693
Christian DvorakPHI · CBURSTS3492
Denver BarkeyPHI · CBURSTS2178
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
50.1%
ensemble · PHI favored
Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(PHI win)
33%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(PHI win)
32%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(PHI win)
34%
weight
Disagreement
0.00 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
100% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
0 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.
The receipts
Closing-line value.
0.00
CLV pp
Open price
-108
Close price
-108
Open no-vig
49.6%
Close no-vig
49.6%
Line barely moved · Graded: miss