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FINAL+2CBJ
CBJ

CBJ

27-20-7

53
STL

STL

20-26-9

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

NHLSat, Jan 31FinalSeriesCBJ win series 2-0VegasSTL -102

Recap · NHL

olumbus Blue Jackets went into St. Louis Blues and beat them, 5–3.

CBJ +1.5 cashed (STL lost outright). Total cleared the 6.5 OVER by 1.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

NHL · Columbus Blue Jackets at St. Louis Blues · final

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final
5
3
CBJ27-20-7STL20-26-9
CBJ

CBJ

27-20-7

5
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%
STL

STL

20-26-9

3
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

8

PIM

4

Season series

CBJ win series 2-0

Nov 1STLSTL2@CBJCBJ3
Feb 1CBJCBJ5@STLSTL3today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

STL -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

CBJCBJ-11854%
STLSTL-10250%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

Line movement · 8 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

CBJ beat STL 5-3.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team123T
CBJ2215
STL1203

Period scoring

CBJ won 2 · STL won 0

2
1

1

2
2

2

1
0

3

CBJ
STL

Play-by-play · 303 plays

period
event
player
  1. 3rd·20:00

    Game End

    CBJ 5·STL 3

  2. 3rd·20:00

    End of 3rd Period

    CBJ 5·STL 3

  3. 3rd·19:56

    Takeaway by Egor Zamula

    CBJ 5·STL 3

  4. 3rd·19:45

    Logan Mailloux shot blocked by Dmitri Voronkov

    ·

    CBJ 5·STL 3

  5. 3rd·19:43

    Giveaway by Boone Jenner

    CBJ 5·STL 3

  6. 3rd·19:30

    Nathan Walker faceoff won against Boone Jenner

    ·

    CBJ 5·STL 3

  7. 3rd·19:30

    Mason Marchment Goal (13) Wrist Shot, assists: Kirill Marchenko (27), Adam Fantilli (22)

    · ·

    CBJ 5·STL 3

  8. 3rd·19:23

    Jordan Kyrou shot blocked by Denton Mateychuk

    ·

    CBJ 4·STL 3

  9. 3rd·19:14

    Adam Fantilli faceoff won against Brayden Schenn

    ·

    CBJ 4·STL 3

  10. 3rd·19:14

    Icing

    CBJ 4·STL 3

  11. 3rd·19:09

    Kirill Marchenko Wrist Shot Wide Right

    CBJ 4·STL 3

  12. 3rd·19:05

    Cam Fowler shot blocked by Mason Marchment

    ·

    CBJ 4·STL 3

  13. 3rd·18:59

    Logan Mailloux shot blocked by Ivan Provorov

    ·

    CBJ 4·STL 3

  14. 3rd·18:42

    Giveaway by Kirill Marchenko

    CBJ 4·STL 3

  15. 3rd·18:39

    Kirill Marchenko shot blocked by Logan Mailloux

    ·

    CBJ 4·STL 3

  16. 3rd·18:37

    Adam Fantilli Wrist Shot Wide Right

    ·

    CBJ 4·STL 3

  17. 3rd·18:26

    Adam Fantilli hit Dalibor Dvorsky

    ·

    CBJ 4·STL 3

  18. 3rd·18:25

    Dalibor Dvorsky Wrist Shot Wide Left

    ·

    CBJ 4·STL 3

  19. 3rd·18:14

    Philip Broberg hit Denton Mateychuk

    ·

    CBJ 4·STL 3

  20. 3rd·17:50

    Mathieu Olivier Backhand saved by Jordan Binnington

    ·

    CBJ 4·STL 3

  21. 3rd·17:48

    Mathieu Olivier Tip-In Wide Right

    ·

    CBJ 4·STL 3

  22. 3rd·17:30

    Zach Werenski Wrist Shot Wide Right

    ·

    CBJ 4·STL 3

  23. 3rd·16:48

    Nick Bjugstad faceoff won against Isac Lundeström

    ·

    CBJ 4·STL 3

  24. 3rd·16:48

    Puck in Benches

    CBJ 4·STL 3

  25. 3rd·16:39

    Nick Bjugstad faceoff won against Isac Lundeström

    ·

    CBJ 4·STL 3

  26. 3rd·16:39

    Goalie Stopped

    CBJ 4·STL 3

  27. 3rd·16:36

    Miles Wood Wrist Shot saved by Jordan Binnington

    ·

    CBJ 4·STL 3

  28. 3rd·16:32

    Giveaway by Jimmy Snuggerud

    CBJ 4·STL 3

  29. 3rd·16:05

    Mathieu Olivier hit Cam Fowler

    ·

    CBJ 4·STL 3

  30. 3rd·15:57

    Cam Fowler shot blocked by Mathieu Olivier

    ·

    CBJ 4·STL 3

Team stats

CBJ

Away

Stat

STL

Home

23

Shots

33

50.0

PCT

25.0

8

PIM

4

27

Faceoffs W

30

11

Blocks

10

15

Giveaways

17

5

Takeaways

3

Betting line

STL -1.5·O/U 6.5·CBJ -118/STL -102

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 27 skaters with EDGE
  • Ivan ProvorovCBJ · D
    DIST MI299.999+
  • Kirill MarchenkoCBJ · RW
    BURSTS30199
  • Philip BrobergSTL · D
    BURSTS15898
  • Zach WerenskiCBJ · D
    DIST MI289.198
  • Jimmy SnuggerudSTL · RW
    SHOT MPH95.697

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · STL favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(STL win)

    33%

    weight

  • Goalie Starter

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(STL win)

    32%

    weight

  • Xg Blend

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(STL win)

    34%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

-102

Close price

-102

Open no-vig

48.3%

Close no-vig

48.3%

Line barely moved · Graded: miss

Player projections

STL vs CBJ.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

138

projections · 126 high confidence

Shots on goal

  • Zach WerenskiCBJ
    3.4± 2.5high
  • Dylan HollowaySTL
    3.1± 1.3high
  • Kirill MarchenkoCBJ
    2.8± 1.6high

Goals

  • Robert ThomasSTL
    0.7± 1.2high
  • Dylan HollowaySTL
    0.4± 0.8high
  • Jimmy SnuggerudSTL
    0.4± 0.7high

Points

  • Robert ThomasSTL
    1.4± 1.1high
  • Dylan HollowaySTL
    1.2± 1.1high
  • Jimmy SnuggerudSTL
    1.0± 1.4high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Data via ESPN · NHL API · hockeyR