WSH
17-61
BKN
19-59
Recap · NBA
rooklyn Nets held off Washington Wizards, 121–115.
BKN -3.5 cashed (won by 6). Total cleared the 230.5 OVER by 5.5.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
WSH · top performer
Will Riley
G · #27
30
Pts
4
Reb
6
Ast
BKN · top performer
Jalen Wilson
F · #22
19
Pts
5
Reb
4
Ast
NBA · Washington Wizards at Brooklyn Nets · final
NBA · Box scoreTRACKING
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starters | ||||||||
| 41 | 17 | 8-10 | 0-1 | 1-1 | -5 | 5 | 3 | |
| 42 | 8 | 3-9 | 2-6 | — | -11 | 5 | 1 | |
| 44 | 17 | 8-16 | — | 1-5 | -12 | 16 | 1 | |
| 44 | 20 | 7-11 | 2-5 | 4-6 | -5 | 8 | 2 | |
| 17 | 13 | 6-8 | 1-2 | — | +6 | 3 | 3 | |
| Bench | ||||||||
| 3 | 2 | 1-1 | — | — | +1 | 0 | 1 | |
| 14 | 8 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 3-4 | +3 | 0 | 3 | |
| 35 | 30 | 9-16 | 3-7 | 9-12 | -7 | 4 | 6 | |
| Team | 115 | 44-79 | 9-25 | 18-28 | 41 | 20 | ||
| DNP: J. Champagnie, T. Vukcevic, B. Coulibaly, T. Johnson | ||||||||
DNP: J. Champagnie, T. Vukcevic, B. Coulibaly, T. Johnson
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starters | ||||||||
| 26 | 19 | 6-9 | 2-4 | 5-6 | +10 | 5 | 4 | |
| 30 | 15 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 3-4 | +8 | 5 | 2 | |
| 21 | 9 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | +7 | 5 | 1 | |
| 29 | 13 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 2-2 | +13 | 1 | 2 | |
| 28 | 23 | 7-18 | 5-11 | 4-4 | +6 | 2 | 7 | |
| Bench | ||||||||
| 28 | 4 | 2-5 | 0-2 | — | +3 | 8 | 3 | |
| 18 | 15 | 6-11 | 1-5 | 2-3 | -2 | 1 | 1 | |
| 18 | 12 | 5-11 | 2-4 | — | -2 | 4 | 2 | |
| 21 | 2 | 1-6 | 0-4 | — | -13 | 4 | 3 | |
| 20 | 9 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | |
| Team | 121 | 43-88 | 15-40 | 20-23 | 35 | 29 | ||
| DNP: Z. Williams, B. Saraf | ||||||||
DNP: Z. Williams, B. Saraf
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
56
FG %
49
20
Ast
29
Season series
BKN wins series 3-1
BKN129@WSH106BKN99@WSH119WSH113@BKN127WSH115@BKN121todayVegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
BKN -3.5
Between — and 5
Total
230.5
Standard · +4.5 vs avg
Moneyline
WSH+13642%BKN-16262%Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 5 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
3.5
0.0 since open
Total
230.5
0.0 since open
Headlines · top performers
Biggest swing: 16pp · 4th Quarter · 1:32
WSHW. Riley
GGame leader · 35 min30-point game
30 PTS · 4 REB · 6 AST
BKNJ. Wilson
FGame leader · 26 min
19 PTS · 5 REB · 4 AST
How it ended
BKN beat WSH 121-115. J. Wilson led with 19 PTS, 5 REB, 4 AST. BKN outscored the other side 35-23 in the 1st quarter.
Last play
End of Game
Win probability
BKN vs WSH
Starters vs bench
production by unitWSHstarters 65% of ptsStarters(5)
75 PTS · 37 REB · 10 AST
GS 61
Bench(3)
40 PTS · 4 REB · 10 AST
GS 27
BKNstarters 65% of ptsStarters(5)
79 PTS · 18 REB · 16 AST
GS 68
Bench(5)
42 PTS · 17 REB · 13 AST
GS 41
Clutch moments · top swings
ranked by WP impactDrake Powell · shooting foul
Nolan Traore · makes 24-foot three point jumper (Trevon Scott assists)
Jalen Wilson · makes 25-foot three point jumper (Nolan Traore assists)
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WSH | 23 | 31 | 30 | 31 | 115 |
| BKN | 35 | 24 | 26 | 36 | 121 |
Period scoring
WSH won 2 · BKN won 2
Q1
Gill 7
Wilson 9
Q2
Riley 11
Minott 4
Q3
Carrington 9
Liddell 6
Q4
Riley 12
Traore 10
Shooting comparison
56%
44-79
FG
49%
43-88
36%
9-25
3PT
38%
15-40
64%
18-28
FT
87%
20-23
Play-by-play · 443 plays
- Q4·0.0
End of Game
WSH 115·BKN 121
- Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
WSH 115·BKN 121
- Q4·8.8
Will Riley makes 2-foot two point shot
WSH 115·BKN 121
- Q4·14.0
Jalen Wilson makes free throw 2 of 2
WSH 113·BKN 121
- Q4·14.0
Jalen Wilson makes free throw 1 of 2
WSH 113·BKN 120
- Q4·14.0
Will Riley personal foul
WSH 113·BKN 119
+1pp
- Q4·17.8
Will Riley makes driving layup
WSH 113·BKN 119
- Q4·23.2
Nolan Traore makes free throw 2 of 2
WSH 111·BKN 119
−0.5pp
- Q4·23.2
Nolan Traore makes free throw 1 of 2
WSH 111·BKN 118
- Q4·23.2
Jamir Watkins personal take foul
WSH 111·BKN 117
+1pp
- Q4·26.3
Nets Full timeout
WSH 111·BKN 117
−1pp
- Q4·26.3
Jamir Watkins personal foul
WSH 111·BKN 117
+2pp
- Q4·34.6
Will Riley makes 25-foot three pointer
WSH 111·BKN 117
−2pp
- Q4·42.0
Trevon Scott makes 2-foot layup (Jalen Wilson assists)
·
WSH 108·BKN 117
+1pp
- Q4·59.9
E.J. Liddell defensive rebound
WSH 108·BKN 115
- Q4·1:04
Julian Reese misses free throw 2 of 2
WSH 108·BKN 115
+2pp
- Q4·1:04
Wizards offensive team rebound
WSH 108·BKN 115
+2pp
- Q4·1:04
Julian Reese misses free throw 1 of 2
WSH 108·BKN 115
+3pp
- Q4·1:04
E.J. Liddell personal foulBIG MOMENT
WSH 108·BKN 115
−5pp
- Q4·1:15
Nolan Traore makes 25-foot three point jumper (Jalen Wilson assists)BIG MOMENT
·
WSH 108·BKN 115
+7pp
- Q4·1:17
Trevon Scott offensive rebound
WSH 108·BKN 112
+5pp
- Q4·1:21
Jalen Wilson misses 24-foot three point jumper
WSH 108·BKN 112
−4pp
- Q4·1:31
Will Riley out of bounds bad pass turnoverBIG MOMENT
WSH 108·BKN 112
+6pp
- Q4·1:31
Wizards Full timeout
WSH 108·BKN 112
- Q4·1:32
Jalen Wilson makes 25-foot three point jumper (Nolan Traore assists)BIG MOMENT
·
WSH 108·BKN 112
+16pp
- Q4·1:49
Leaky Black makes 23-foot three point jumper (Julian Reese assists)BIG MOMENT
·
WSH 108·BKN 109
−15pp
- Q4·2:07
Nolan Traore makes driving layup (Jalen Wilson assists)BIG MOMENT
·
WSH 105·BKN 109
+7pp
- Q4·2:16
Jalen Wilson defensive rebound
WSH 105·BKN 107
+2pp
- Q4·2:20
Leaky Black misses 25-foot three point jumperBIG MOMENT
WSH 105·BKN 107
+7pp
- Q4·2:33
Drake Powell makes two point shotBIG MOMENT
WSH 105·BKN 107
+8pp
Team stats
WSH
Away
Stat
BKN
Home
44-79
fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted
43-88
56
FG %
49
9-25
threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted
15-40
18-28
freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted
20-23
20
Assists
29
20
Turnovers
11
Betting line
BKN -3.5·O/U 230.5·WSH +136/BKN -162
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
38.2%
ensemble · WSH favored
Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(BKN win)
33%
weight
Elo Recent
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(BKN win)
34%
weight
Pace Efficiency
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(BKN win)
33%
weight
Disagreement
0.00 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
100% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
0 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.
Player projections
BKN vs WSH.
Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.
180
projections · 150 high confidence
Points
- Michael Porter Jr.BKN22.7± 6.2high
- Anthony DavisWSH20.5± 9.2high
- Trae YoungWSH17.5± 10.4medium
Rebounds
- Anthony DavisWSH11.3± 4.3high
- Julian ReeseWSH10.5± 6.4low
- Michael Porter Jr.BKN6.9± 5.2high
Assists
- Trae YoungWSH8.1± 3.5medium
- Bub CarringtonWSH5.1± 1.9high
- Nolan TraoreBKN4.2± 2.3high
Blocks
- Anthony DavisWSH1.7± 1.5high
- Alex SarrWSH1.6± 1.4high
- Bilal CoulibalyWSH1.0± 1.1high
Steals
- Ziaire WilliamsBKN1.7± 1.6high
- Julian ReeseWSH1.4± 1.7low
- Leaky BlackWSH1.4± 1.7medium
Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands
Matchup · 2026
Team rate stats vs league
hoopR-data
WSH
league avg
BKN
53.5%
Effective FG%
54.4
52.0%
46.3%
FG%
47.0
44.3%
112.9
PPG
114.9
105.9
25.0
Assists / G
25.0
25.0
15.1
Turnovers / G
14.0
15.0