HomeScoresLiveTonight's picks
Live · 12
  • MLBMid 7
    ARI 2@CIN 2
    -7.3pppeak
  • MLBTop 1
    TB 0@LAA 0
    -4.4ppmedium
  • MLBTop 7
    NYY 5@TOR 7
    +63.5pplow
  • MLBMid 4
    STL 3@MIN 1
    -39.7pplow
  • MLBBot 8
    SD 3@BAL 7
    +50.3pplow
  • MLBTop 4
    ATL 2@NYM 6
    +58.9pplow
  • MLBTop 4
    HOU 9@KC 5
    -49.3pplow
  • MLBBot 2
    SEA 5@WSH 0
    -47.1pplow
  • MLBMid 8
    TEX 1@BOS 7
    +51.9pplow
  • MLBBot 6
    LAD 2@CHW 8
    +53.3pplow
  • MLBEnd 8
    PHI 0@MIL 6
    +40.0pplow
  • WNBA30.9 - 4th
    TOR 83@WSH 84
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THE ONE Analytics
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FINAL+10TEX
CLE

CLE

64-64

0
10
TEX

TEX

65-66

Globe Life Field · Arlington, Texas
37,006 attended

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

CLE

CLE

league avg

TEX

TEX

.689

OPS

.715

▶

.699

.317

OBP

.319

.317

4.03

Runs / G

4.50

4.00

3.79

Team ERA

4.17

▶

3.71

1.26

WHIP

1.31

▶

1.23

9.3

K / 9

◀

8.5

8.5

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

TEX wins

CLE 0 · TEX 10 (by 10)

Model verdict

✓ Hit

Picked TEX +5pp

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team123456789R
CLE0000000000
TEX0232210010

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →
Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

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21+

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Model heartbeat

Cross-sport · last 14 days

67%Last 7 · 65-32
61%Last 30 · 303-190
Receipts →
MLB·Sat, Aug 23·Final/SeriesTEX wins series 3-0

Recap · MLB

Texas Rangers held off Cleveland Guardians, 10–0. It was a wire-to-wire rout.

ESPN didn't ship a closing line for this game; book settlement summary unavailable.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

Win-probability impactWPA · win prob added
  1. 1L. AllenCLE−30.9pp
  2. 2J. JungTEX+26.6pp
  3. 3C. FreemanTEX+20.5pp

CLE · top performer

CLE
Angel Martinez

Angel Martinez

LF

2.000OPS

1-1

AB-H

0

R

0

RBI

TEX · top performer

TEX
Josh Jung

Josh Jung

3B

2.417OPS

3-2

AB-H

3

R

2

RBI

MLB · Cleveland Guardians at Texas Rangers · final

MLB · Box scoreSTATCAST

Final

Batters

batting box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
PlayerAVGABRHRBIHRBBK
S. KwanCF
.2753000000
D. SchneemannCF
.2274000002
J. Ramirez3B
.2893000001
K. Manzardo1B
.2334010001
D. FryRF
.1673000003
C. KayfusLF
.2323000000
G. AriasSS
.2243010001
B. RocchioSS
.2283000002
A. HedgesC
.1403000001
- N. JonesRF
.2130000000
- A. MartinezLF
.2331010000
Team300300011

Pitchers

pitching box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
PlayerIPHRERBBKPC
L. AllenRP
5.08993296
K. AllardRP
3.02111156
Team8.010101043152

Batters

batting box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
PlayerAVGABRHRBIHRBBK
W. LangfordLF
.2483120010
E. Duran2B
.2255013000
C. SeagerSS
.2672000011
K. HigashiokaC
.2464101001
J. Jung3B
.2403322110
A. GarciaRF
.2244112100
C. Freeman3B
.1724222100
J. HeimC
.2244110000
M. HelmanCF
.2004110000
- A. OsunaLF
.1480000010
- J. Smith2B
.2561000001
Team34101010343

Pitchers

pitching box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
PlayerIPHRERBBKPC
J. LeiterSP
7.020001093
L. CurveloRP
1.0000006
J. WebbRP
1.01000117
Team9.0300011116

Pitcher arsenals · per-pitch detail

Statcast · via Baseball Savant

CLE

  • L. Allen
    96 pitches·21% CSW
    • FF
      51%·91.5 mph·11% whiff
    • CH
      25%·82.8 mph·0% whiff
    • ST
      13%·79.7 mph·20% whiff
    • SI
      6%·90.2 mph·33% whiff
    • FC
      5%·86.4 mph·67% whiff
  • K. Allard
    56 pitches·25% CSW
    • FF
      50%·89.3 mph·8% whiff
    • CH
      25%·81.1 mph·0% whiff
    • CU
      11%·71.2 mph·0% whiff
    • FC
      11%·84.0 mph·33% whiff
    • SI
      4%·89.6 mph·0% whiff

TEX

  • J. Leiter
    93 pitches·32% CSW
    • FF
      48%·97.0 mph·25% whiff
    • CH
      19%·91.2 mph·11% whiff
    • CU
      13%·82.7 mph·0% whiff
    • SL
      12%·87.3 mph·50% whiff
    • SI
      8%·96.4 mph·0% whiff
  • J. Webb
    17 pitches·35% CSW
    • FF
      59%·93.1 mph·0% whiff
    • CH
      29%·85.0 mph·60% whiff
    • ST
      12%·81.3 mph·0% whiff
  • L. Curvelo
    6 pitches·33% CSW
    • FF
      50%·96.1 mph·33% whiff
    • SL
      33%·84.4 mph·0% whiff
    • SI
      17%·96.2 mph·— whiff

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

3

Hits

10

0

Runs

10

0

Errors

0

Current series

TEX wins series 3-0

Aug 23CLECLE3@TEXTEX4
Aug 23CLECLE0@TEXTEX10today
Aug 24CLECLE0@TEXTEX5

Season series

TEX leads series 2-0

Aug 23CLECLE3@TEXTEX4
Aug 23CLECLE0@TEXTEX10today
Aug 24CLECLE0@TEXTEX5
Sep 26TEXTEX7@CLECLE3
Sep 27TEXTEX2@CLECLE3
Sep 28TEXTEX8@CLECLE9

Headlines · top performers

Game flowCLE ↔ TEX

Biggest swing: 18pp · Bottom 2nd Inning

CLECLE
A. Martinez

A. Martinez

LF

Batter of the gamePerfect day

1-for-1 · 2.000 OPS

L. Allen

L. Allen

RP

Starting pitcher

5.0 IP · 2 K · 9 ER · 8 H · 3 BB

TEXTEX
J. Jung

J. Jung

3B

Batter of the gamePerfect day

2-for-3 · 1 HR · 2.417 OPS

J. Leiter

J. Leiter

SP

Starting pitcherGem

7.0 IP · 10 K · 0 ER · 2 H

How it ended

TEX beat CLE 10-0. Freeman's play in the bottom 2nd inning drove the biggest swing of the night (18pp).

Win probability

TEX vs CLE

0255075100I2I3I4I5I6I7I8I9

Clutch moments · top swings

ranked by WP impact
TEXBottom 2nd Inning · 0-2
+18pp→ 79% WP

Freeman · homered to left (385 feet), Jung scored.

TEXBottom 3rd Inning · 0-5
+8pp→ 94% WP

Jung · homered to left center (390 feet), Higashioka scored.

Linescore (innings)

Team123456789R
CLE0000000000
TEX02322100—10

Period scoring

CLE won 0 · TEX won 5

0
0

Inn 1

0
2

Inn 2

Freeman 2

0
3

Inn 3

Jung 2

0
2

Inn 4

Duran 2

0
2

Inn 5

Garc 2

0
1

Inn 6

Duran 1

0
0

Inn 7

0
0

Inn 8

0

Inn 9

CLE
TEX

Play-by-play · 516 plays

period
event
player
  1. T9

    · ·

    CLE 0·TEX 10

  2. T9

    Manzardo grounded out to pitcher.

    · ·

    CLE 0·TEX 10

  3. T9

    Pitch 4 : Ball In Play

    · ·

    CLE 0·TEX 10

  4. T9

    Pitch 3 : Strike 2 Looking

    · ·

    CLE 0·TEX 10

  5. T9

    Pitch 2 : Strike 1 Foul

    · ·

    CLE 0·TEX 10

  6. T9

    Pitch 1 : Ball 1

    · ·

    CLE 0·TEX 10

  7. T9

    Jacob Webb pitches to Kyle Manzardo

    · ·

    CLE 0·TEX 10

  8. T9

    · ·

    CLE 0·TEX 10

  9. T9

    Martínez singled to center, Jones to second.

    · ·

    CLE 0·TEX 10

  10. T9

    Pitch 3 : Ball In Play

    · ·

    CLE 0·TEX 10

  11. T9

    Pitch 2 : Strike 1 Swinging

    · ·

    CLE 0·TEX 10

  12. T9

    Pitch 1 : Ball 1

    · ·

    CLE 0·TEX 10

  13. T9

    Jacob Webb pitches to Angel Martinez

    · ·

    CLE 0·TEX 10

  14. T9

    · ·

    CLE 0·TEX 10

  15. T9

    Schneemann struck out swinging.

    · ·

    CLE 0·TEX 10

  16. T9

    Pitch 5 : Strike 3 Swinging

    · ·

    CLE 0·TEX 10

  17. T9

    Pitch 4 : Strike 2 Swinging

    · ·

    CLE 0·TEX 10

  18. T9

    Pitch 3 : Strike 1 Foul

    · ·

    CLE 0·TEX 10

  19. T9

    Pitch 2 : Ball 2

    · ·

    CLE 0·TEX 10

  20. T9

    Pitch 1 : Ball 1

    · ·

    CLE 0·TEX 10

  21. T9

    Jacob Webb pitches to Daniel Schneemann

    · ·

    CLE 0·TEX 10

  22. T9

    ·

    CLE 0·TEX 10

  23. T9

    Jones hit by pitch.

    ·

    CLE 0·TEX 10

  24. T9

    Pitch 2 : Ball In Play

    ·

    CLE 0·TEX 10

  25. T9

    Pitch 1 : Strike 1 Looking

    ·

    CLE 0·TEX 10

  26. T9

    Jacob Webb pitches to Nolan Jones

    ·

    CLE 0·TEX 10

  27. T9

    ·

    CLE 0·TEX 10

  28. T9

    Hedges fouled out to catcher.

    ·

    CLE 0·TEX 10

  29. T9

    Pitch 3 : Ball In Play

    ·

    CLE 0·TEX 10

  30. T9

    Pitch 2 : Strike 2 Swinging

    ·

    CLE 0·TEX 10

Team stats

CLE

Away

Stat

TEX

Home

0

Runs

10

3

Hits

10

0

Errors

0

3

TB

22

0

HR

3

0

BB

4

11

K

3

7

LOB

15

STATCAST · Tonight’s standouts

3 of 14 players in cohort
  • Ezequiel DuranTEX · 2B
    SPRINT28.891
  • Wyatt LangfordTEX · LF
    SPRINT2872
  • Alejandro OsunaTEX · LF
    SPRINT2872

Player projections

TEX vs CLE.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

128

projections · 86 high confidence

Strikeouts

  • Gavin WilliamsCLE
    7.0± 3.5low
  • Jacob deGromTEX
    6.3± 3.5low
  • Parker MessickCLE
    5.8± 2.3low

Hits

  • Josh JungTEX
    1.2± 0.8high
  • Jose RamirezCLE
    1.1± 1.1high
  • Ezequiel DuranTEX
    1.1± 1.4high

Total bases

  • Jose RamirezCLE
    2.0± 2.3high
  • Josh JungTEX
    1.7± 1.5high
  • Angel MartinezCLE
    1.6± 1.8high

RBIs

  • Elias DiazTEX
    0.7± 1.1low
  • Ezequiel DuranTEX
    0.6± 1.1high
  • Josh JungTEX
    0.6± 0.8high

Earned runs

  • Jack LeiterTEX
    2.9± 2.6low
  • Slade CecconiCLE
    2.8± 2.5low
  • Joey CantilloCLE
    2.7± 3.0low

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

55.3%

ensemble · TEX favored

  • Elo Static

    55.1%

    P(TEX win)

    33%

    weight

  • Elo Pitching

    55.5%

    P(TEX win)

    32%

    weight

  • Bullpen Park

    55.8%

    P(TEX win)

    34%

    weight

Disagreement

0.29 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

98% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

3 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.