San Francisco Giants vs Milwaukee Brewers: Final Score & Box Score — Aug 23, 2025

FINAL+6SF

62-68

MIL

81-49

American Family Field · Milwaukee, Wisconsin

41,034 attended

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

73.2%

ensemble · MIL favored

Elo Static
73.5%
P(MIL win)
33%
weight
Elo Pitching
74.1%
P(MIL win)
33%
weight
Bullpen Park
75.3%
P(MIL win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.75 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

95% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

3 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

MIL vs SF.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

127

projections · 96 high confidence

Strikeouts

Jacob MisiorowskiMIL
9.4± 2.7high
Logan HendersonMIL
6.2± 2.8low
Dustin MayMIL
5.3± 2.9high

Hits

Jackson ChourioMIL
1.2± 0.9high
Jung Hoo LeeSF
1.2± 0.9high
Brice TurangMIL
1.1± 0.9high

Total bases

Osleivis BasabeSF
2.5± 3.4low
Jung Hoo LeeSF
2.3± 2.8high
Jake BauersMIL
2.0± 1.7high

RBIs

Osleivis BasabeSF
1.3± 2.0low
Luis LaraMIL
0.8± 1.5medium
Brice TurangMIL
0.7± 0.9high

Earned runs

Carson WhisenhuntSF
3.5± 2.6low
Landen RouppSF
2.7± 1.9high
Robert GasserMIL
2.5± 3.1low

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

league avg

MIL

.723

OPS

.720

▶

.735

.309

OBP

.318

▶

.337

4.20

Runs / G

4.50

▶

4.97

4.37

Team ERA

4.18

▶

3.47

1.36

WHIP

1.30

▶

1.16

7.8

K / 9

8.5

▶

9.8

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

SF wins

SF 7 · MIL 1 (by 6)

Model verdict

✗ Missed

Picked MIL +24pp

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
SF	0	0	0	0	0	3	4	0	0	7
MIL	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1

Final play

“End of the 9th inning”

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. LeeRF	.259	5	0	1	0	0	0	0
R. Devers1B	.227	4	1	1	0	0	1	2
W. AdamesSS	.222	4	1	0	0	0	1	1
D. SmithDH	.285	5	2	2	0	0	0	1
C. SchmittLF	.249	4	2	2	4	1	1	0
M. Chapman3B	.227	3	1	0	0	0	2	2
L. MatosRF	.200	4	0	2	1	0	1	0
P. BaileyC	.211	5	0	2	1	0	0	3
D. GilbertCF	.107	4	0	0	0	0	0	1
Team		38	7	10	6	1	6	10

Player

.259

.227

.222

.285

.249

.227

.200

.211

.107

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
L. WebbSP	6.0	5	1	1	2	5	94
J. LucchesiRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	12
S. BivensRP	2.0	1	0	0	0	2	31
Team	9.0	7	1	1	2	7	137

Player

L. WebbSP

6.0

J. LucchesiRP

1.0

S. BivensRP

2.0

Team

9.0

137

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
S. FrelickRF	.299	4	0	1	0	0	0	0
I. CollinsLF	.274	4	0	1	0	0	0	1
W. ContrerasC	.256	4	0	0	0	0	0	1
C. YelichDH	.265	4	0	2	0	0	0	1
J. Bauers1B	.194	2	1	0	0	0	1	2
C. Durbin3B	.246	3	0	1	1	0	0	1
A. Seigler2B	.212	3	0	1	0	0	1	0
B. PerkinsCF	.222	4	0	0	0	0	0	1
A. MonasterioSS	.257	4	0	1	0	0	0	0
Team		32	1	7	1	0	2	7

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
F. PeraltaSP	5.0	2	0	0	4	6	96
G. AndersonRP	1.0	3	3	0	0	1	26
C. RodriguezRP	3.0	5	4	4	2	3	64
Team	9.0	10	7	4	6	10	186

Team

MIL

3 sub-models, blended.

MIL vs SF.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

MIL vs SF.

3 sub-models, blended.